Pending Home Sales Tumble, Unchanged Since June 2013

After modest bounces in existing and new home sales (despite weakness in starts and permits and mortgage application declines), pending home sales in May tumbled 0.8% MoM and were revised even lower (-1.7%) in April. This dismal print was below all economists' expectations, missing by 4 standard deviations. This is the 3rd straight monthly drop and 2nd straight annual decline in pending home sales.

Watch Live: Draghi, Kuroda, Carney, & Poloz Set The World's Markets Straight At The ECB Forum

Draghi's speech at the ECB Forum yesterday was intended to strike a balance between recognizing the currency bloc’s economic strength and warning that monetary support is still needed, according to Bloomberg, and it only took two post-speech clarifications to get the market to understand exactly what he was saying... which was nothing has changed. The main event today at the ECB Forum in Sintra is a policy panel With ECB's Draghi, BOE’s Carney, BOJ’s Kuroda, BOC’s Poloz due to appear at 2:30pm London...

N.Korea Issues Standing Order To Execute Former S.Korea President

North Korea said on Wednesday it has issued a standing order for the execution of former South Korean President Park Geun-hye and her spy chief for a plot to assassinate its leader. The North's official KCNA said "revelation showed" Park had masterminded a plot to execute its "supreme leadership" in 2015 and it was imposing the "death penalty on traitor Park Geun-hye".

Bill Blain: "The 1-, 4- And 10-Year Cycles Top Out Mid-August At Which Point Be Very Afraid... Or Something Like That"

"Steve has thrown his bag of market bones into the air, and based how they’ve landed, his market read is for the current cycle to bottom in the next few days and could well turn positive into August. He’s got a wary eye looking at 1 year, 4 year and 10-year cycles which don’t top out till mid-August – at which point… Be very afraid.. or something like that..."

Frontrunning: June 28

  • Global Bonds Sell Off, Sparking Fears of Further ‘Taper Tantrum’ (WSJ)
  • Facing revolt on healthcare, GOP senators delay vote (Reuters)
  • Global businesses dig out from latest cyber attack (Reuters)
  • Cyber attack hits property arm of French bank BNP Paribas (Reuters)
  • Obama Choked on Russia Long Before the 2016 Election (BBG)

Goldman Raises S&P500 Year-End Price Target From 2,300 To 2,400

"We raise our year-end 2017 S&P 500 price target to 2400 from 2300, reflecting a 1% decline over the next six months. This return would represent a 27th percentile event since 1975. We expect EPS growth of 9% this year will be offset by a 4% contraction in the forward P/E multiple to 17.3x from 18.1x. The prospect of accelerating inflation, higher policy rates, and rising 10-year bond yields will weigh on S&P 500 valuation."