Economists keep claiming economic recovery fulfilled, and yet it is found nowhere other than the BLS... and it is certainly not the view of funding and credit markets. In answering why economists and policymakers would throw out the vast and growing volume of especially market-based contradictions to their preferred labor view, we only have to note that this is an existential question for them.
The increasingly interconnected worlds of debt, energy, and economic growth are about to cause a very substantial disruption to the economy, as oil limits, as well as other energy limits, cause a rapid shift from the benevolent version of the economic supercycle to the portion of the economic supercycle reflecting contraction. Many people have talked about Peak Oil, the Limits to Growth, and the Debt Supercycle without realizing that the underlying problem is really the same - the fact the we are reaching the limits of a finite world.
- Theme 1: US economy appears insulated from global weakness
- Theme 2: Strong domestic consumer demand persists
- Theme 3: Managements remain devoted to share repurchases
- Theme 4: Outlook for China is positive despite recent turmoil
Based on the chart of the KBW Bank Index, Jamie Dimon’s decision to purchase shares of JPMorgan may have been well timed... but the credit markets have a very different perspective on what happens next.
According to Citi's Matt King, here is the biggest surprise about the recent global market crash: that on one hand it has been very orderly in some products, and yet very volatile, chaotic, and acute in others...
"I hoped to buy toilet paper, rice, pasta. But you can’t find them. The government is putting us through savage suffering."
If one had simply held a 50/50 portfolio of VXX/XIV (without rebalancing) for the several years shown -that is prior to the August crash- then their returns would have been >150%. And instead if one were long VXX and short XIV in just the past six months (mostly due to the August tumult but even including the subsequent temporary rally as well), their returns would be >450%.
Watch as Carrier workers in Indiana discover who's really "peddling fiction"...
Beware, we are now spiraling headlong into a collapse thanks to a nightmarish NIRP "doom loop" from which the global cabal of central bankers' gone full-Krugman will not allow us to escape.
Superpower America required a more dangerous enemy than a few lightly armed jihadists, so the “Russian threat” was created. To drive home the threat, Russia and her president are constantly demonized. The conclusion is unavoidable that the insouciant American people are being prepared for war.
The pressure of being wrong about Trump over and over was building, so when it appeared they were finally right about something, the release was earthshaking...
What we see happening today is the last gasps of a broken system ravished by the very much cancer-like progress of debt. Yes, it took longer than it should have, and than we thought. But that’s pretty much irrelevant, unless you were trying to get rich off of the downfall of your own world. Always a noble goal. There’s one reason for the delay only: central bank hubris. And now the entire shebang is falling to bits. That this would proceed in chaotic ways was always a given. People don’t know where to look first or last, neither central bankers nor investors nor anyone else.