Treasury Sells 7Y Paper In Another Mediocre, Tailing Auction; Bond Market Yawns

When the results for the sale of $28bn in 7 paper printed, the result was a modest tail, with a high yield of 1.389% tailing the 1.385% When Issued. As a reminder, last month's 7Y auction had an even bigger tail but that was due to concerns of a potential rate hike by the Fed in September; this time there was no such concern.

"Russian Roulette" - Credit Suisse CEO Admits "EU Banks Not Really Investable"

European banks are in a “very fragile situation” and are “not really investable as a sector" according to Credit Suisse chief executive Tidjane Thiam. Speaking at a conference in London this morning, The FT reports, the CEO of Europe's 'other Deutsche Bank' said "only a fool would try to make a five-year prediction in a world that is so random," wishing John Cryan (DB CEO) well, "I hope that they come out of their current predicament."

Turkey Contemplates Buying Deutsche Bank

Yigit Bulut, chief adviser to Turkish President Recep Erdogan, Turkey should consider "using a new wealth fund or a group of state-owned banks to buy" the embattled Deutsche Bank. Bulut made the proposal on Tuesday via his Twitter account, saying Germany’s largest lender should be made into a Turkish bank.

Can Donald Trump Really Save U.S. Coal?

On September 22, Donald Trump reaffirmed his intent to revive the American coal industry - without many details on how to do it. What influences the price and demand for coal? Can Donald Trump influence the forces behind these market drivers?

Saudi Devaluation Bets Surge, Stocks Crash As Debt Deal Falters On 9/11 Legislation Anxiety

Despite its peg, Spot Riyal is trading at its weakest in 8 months as turmoil mounts in The Kingdom as a failed 'deal' in Algiers, pay cuts for royalty, and now growing concerns that the US vote/veto on 9/11 Legislation will delay Saudi Arabia's first international bond sale. Forward bets on Saudi currency devaluation are surging and default risk is on the rise again as Bloomberg reports, a Senate vote to override President Barack Obama’s veto could cause some investors to balk at the issue.

Oil Oscillates As Production Drops; RBOB Plunges After Biggest Gasoline Build In 4 Months

Following the surprising across-the-board inventory draws report by API overnight, DOE confirmed crude's overall draw (-1.88mm bartrels vs +3mm exp). However, gasoline saw the biggest build in 4 months (as distillates saw the biggest draw in almost 2 months). Crude production dropped very modestly on the week but remains stuck around 8.5mm barrels. Oil prices popped then dropped and remain lower for now...

Janet Yellen Testimony Live Feed: Five Key Things To Look For

This morning, Janet Yellen testifies before the House Financial Services Committee on financial regulation topics. While there us unlikely to be much talk of monetary policy, it may come up, although most of the lawmakers’ questions are likely to relate to the Fed’s oversight of banks; other questions may touch on the Fed's recent bank commodity oversight push, the November election, and especially the recent Wells scandal.

"There's A Real Problem Here" - Did Fed's Plosser Just Admit Trump Is Right About Yellen?

Central bankers "wring their hands all the time," Plosser noted that The Fed was very "concerned about credibility," and was "pretty good at conjuring up reasons not to act." His mutinous discussion then concluded, sounding very Trumpian, by noting that The Fed "shouldn't be afraid a recession might come," exclaiming "there's a real problem here" with The Fed.

End Of An Era: BlackBerry To Stop Making Smartphones

What will Hillary do? The age of the iconic keyboard-ed smartphone is over as BlackBerry's John Chen confirmed that the firm will stop developing hardware in-house as its pivot to software shows “signs of momentum”.

Not Even An OPEC Deal Will Stop Oil Going Lower, Goldman Warns

Continuing to pile on the bearish oil case, Goldman warns today that not even an OPEC deal would stop oil going lower, adding that "we remain sceptical of its impact. For one, our production forecast continues to reflect a seasonal Saudi production decline into year-end, with no growth elsewhere. Second, even with this OPEC help, our updated oil supply-demand forecast now points to a renewed build in inventories in 4Q 2016 vs. a forecast for a draw only last month.

Will Yellen Resign If Trump Wins

Trump's attack on the Fed chairwoman during this week's presidential debate was so vicious that Paul Ashworth, chief US economist at Capital Economics, now thinks it's possible Yellen will have to resign if Trump ends up becoming president.

Frontrunning: September 28

  • Stocks Rally as Deutsche Bank Slump Ends, Oil Gains Before Talks (BBG)
  • German government prepare Deutsche Bank rescue plan (Reuters)
  • German financial watchdog not working on emergency plan for Deutsche Bank (Reuters)
  • Saudi Arabia Signals Openness to Future Oil Compromise With Iran (BBG)
  • Will Congressional Face-off Over Flint Lead to a Government Shutdown? (NBC)
  • Shimon Peres, Israel's last founding father, dies at 93 (Reuters)