ISIS Flag Found In German Train Axe Attacker's Bedroom

Just hours after a 17-year-old Afghan refugee attacked passengers with an ax and knife on a train in Germany on Monday night, AP reports ISIS has claimed responsibility. This is likely not a surprise to many as a witness said that the attacker was shouting 'Allahu akbar' during the attack and Joachim Herrmann, Bavaria's interior minister, told ZDF Television "during a search of his room, a hand-painted IS flag was found."

This 'Market' Discounts Nothing Except Monetary Cocaine

In short, the market is not trading on a rebound in GDP, revenue growth or a breakout of already elevated profit margins. It’s just high on one more dose of monetary cocaine that in short order will prove to have been not even that.

Goldman Beats On Rebound In FICC, Prop Trading As Headcount, Comp Slashed

After last quarter's brutal results, which saw the worst revenue for Goldman Sachs since Q4 2011, the question about Goldman's Q2 earnings report was not if it would beat but by how much. Moments ago we got the answer when the company reported Q2 EPS of $3.72, handily beating consensus estimates of $2.68, but down 21% from last year's $4.75 (ex-charges) EPS. The reason for the rebound was stronger top-line growth which at $7.93 billion, was the best print in one year, if still down 12.5% from a year ago. 

Frontrunning: July 19

  • Turkey's Erdogan recounts night of coup, mulls death penalty (AP)
  • Dissidents Silenced, GOP Convention Turns Attacks on Clinton (WSJ)
  • U.S. police deaths build momentum for law to treat attacks as hate crimes (Reuters)
  • Police across US patrolling in pairs after ambush attacks (AP)
  • UK will not invoke EU Article 50 this year, government lawyer says (Reuters)

Piling On To The "Surreal" Response To Turkish Turmoil: Here Comes The Central Bank

In less than half an hour, the Turkish central bank will steal the public spotlight, if only very briefly, from Erdogan when it announces whether it will cut rates by 50 bps, 25 bps, (or - less likely - it won't cut at all). But in light of the recent stunning transformation in the country's political landscape, does this decision really matter? According to the market yes; according to Bloomberg's Richard Breslow, it is simply one more indication of how surreal the response to the Turkish turmoil has become.

US Futures Dip, European Stocks Slide After EU Court Slams Italian Bank Bailout Plans

After a head-scratching S&P500 rally - which not even Goldman has been able to justify - pushed stocks to new all time highs with seemingly daily record highs regardless of fundamentals or geopolitical troubles, overnight US equity futures dipped modestly, tracking weak European stocks as demand for safe haven assets including U.S. Treasuries and gold rises. Asian stocks outside Japan fall. Crude oil trades near $45 a barrel. 

Hans-Hermann Hoppe: "Put Your Hope In Radical Decentralization"

"The EU is the first step on the way toward the creation of a European Super-State, and ultimately of a one-world government, dominated by the USA and its central bank, the FED... Don’t put your trust in democracy, but neither should you trust in a dictatorship. Rather, put your hope into radical political decentralization, not just in India and China, but everywhere."

Iron Ore Rally "Getting Carried Away Again" As China Inventories Soar To 20-Month Highs

Following the crash after March/April's 'mania', Iron ore prices have resurged to 2-month highs on the heels of stimulus-hype and rampant speculation. However, this echo-bubble appears to be bursting as Macquarie sounds the alarm that prices are "getting carried away again" with fundamental support entirely lacking as China inventories soar 30% year-over-year to 20-month highs.

Did "China" Just Buy The Most Important Company In The World?

The Chinese government has made a domestic semiconductor industry a major strategic goal.  Even going so far as to earmark $10B for intellectual property development. The fastest path is acquisition, and ARMH embodies the future.  For China that presents two problems: price (ARMH was $19B last week) and politics (China buying the crown jewels of the internet touches some nerves in the Western world). Today Softbank announced an offer to buy ARM Holdings.

RNC Day 1: Make America Safe Again - Live Feed

While the 'main event' is not until Thursday, Day 1 of the Republican National Convention's sub-theme is "Make America Safe Again" with Melania Trump headlining (introduced by her husband) along with Duck Dynasty's Willie Robertson, 'Lone Survivor' Marcus Luttrell, Governor Rick Perry, outspoken Milwaukee Sheriff David Clark, and Mark Geist & John Tiegen (Benghazi security team members).

How Aristocracies Benefit Both From Racism And From Anti-Racism

In theocratic Iran, the clergy determine what final choices the public will have; in aristocratic-dictatorial US, the aristocracy do. Bigotry, and its natural response – anti-bigotry – both advance the cause of the aristocracy, anywhere. It’s not just divide-and-conquer. It’s also redirect-and-distract.

It Is A Smoking Gun - Prince Bandar And Other Saudis Financed The 9/11 Terrorists

News reports about the recently released 28 pages of the Joint Inquiry into the 9/11 attacks are typically dismissive: this is nothing new, it’s just circumstantial evidence, and there’s no “smoking gun.” Yet given what the report actually says – and these news accounts are remarkably sparse when it comes to verbatim quotes – it’s hard to fathom what would constitute a smoking gun.

Millennials Face An Existential Crisis: "It Won't Be A Short Period Of Difficulty"

The Millennials (born from 1982 through about 2004) are beginning to take root in American culture... "It's not going to be a short period of difficulty. It will be an existential crisis, one in which society’s strongest institutions collapse (or are severely challenged and stressed) and national survival is in serious doubt. The Crisis can be economic, cultural, religious, military, or all the above."

After Eight Years Of "Hope And Change", Voters Are Angry

Eight years ago, Barbara Conley was one of the millions of Americans swept up in Barack Obama's promises of hope and change when he accepted the Democratic nomination at a packed football stadium a few miles from her home in the Denver suburbs. But those optimistic days are unrecognizable to Conley now.

Anti-Trump Dissidents Disrupt Convention, Fail To Stop Nomination

In a brief period of excitement (especially for completely unbiased John Harwood), Republican factions trying to stop Donald Trump's nomination noisily disrupted a vote on party convention rules. But, as The Hill reports, the Republican National Committee ignored the outcry from the angry delegates and adopted the convention's rules by a voice vote, rebuffing shouts by those looking to mount a last-ditch effort to sink Donald Trump. FOX reports the Trump camp is said to be "livid" at the revived push.