The Fed’s Fatal Flaw: Gold And The Predictable Endgame

When and what will break the chains on gold by those seemingly omnipotent forces that so assuredly keep its price in check? In essence, the belief is (and I expect for most honest and impartial analysts this is true) that because there is potentially significant downside risk to a global monetary system built upon a currency to which gold represents the proverbial kryptonite (we’ll discuss why), there are checks in place within the system, to ensure that kryptonite doesn’t become too potent. The architects of the existing system would have been foolish not to implement checks on gold.

"Goldbug" Analysts Capitulation

The gold market has been in a profound lethargy (at least in dollar terms) for over a year. This is as frustrating for the bulls as it is for the bears. These days we are witnessing an avalanche of bearish commentaries on the price of gold for the coming 6 to 12 months. The psychological $1,000 threshold is attracting analysts like a magnet attracts iron dust... They can’t continue to fight this market, because they’ve lost all their credibility, some capital, and are about to lose all of their clients! They capitulate... this is the kind of sign that is expected before a definitive trend reversal.

Did The Classic Car Bubble Just Quietly Burst?

It’s not just rare art and obscene homes that appear to be reaching peak insanity, it’s collector cars as well which, incidentally, speaks to the same dynamic that’s driving the art and mega mansions markets: namely, the relentless, central bank-fueled run up in financial assets has given the ultra rich more money than they know how to spend, leading directly to hyperinflation in the types of things billionaires buy when they get bored.

California Labor Commission Pops The Uber Bubble, Says Workers Are Employees

Without its drivers, Uber wouldn't have a business. The drivers are the backbone of the enterprise. Uber, with its "God view" monitoring system and volatile, sky-high surge pricing, definitely controls pricing and how the work is performed. Once Uber starts acting like a real business and faces normal business costs, we'll see how profitable they actually are. Until then, they are just a millennial sweatshop.

Greek Citizens Threaten To "Take The Heads" Of "Grave Digging" Creditors

They are going to turn us into murderers. If they come to seize my house I’m ready to take the head of whoever is standing there—and I’m not the only one thinking this way.”

"They can take our money, but they cannot take our hearts and souls. We live for our dignity."

America, You're Fired!

They call it "voting," and we're told it's our civic duty. But it's just an illusion. Just like in Caesar’s time, the election will go to the people who spend the most money. But we're not talking about the candidates. They're just puppets. Entertainers. We're talking about the people who bankroll them.

Meanwhile, In Greece, The Protests Return

On the eve of a critical Eurogroup meeting in Luxembourg where Greek FinMin Yanis Varoufakis says no new proposal will be tabled, Greeks are taking to the streets ahead of an anti-austerity protest planned for Wednesday evening.

PetroYuan Proliferation: Russia, China To Settle "Holy Grail" Pipeline Sales In Renminbi

Two critically important themes which have far-reaching geopolitical and economic consequences came together recently when it became apparent that Gazprom had begun settling all crude sales to China in yuan. This marked the intersection of yuan hegemony and the death of petrodollar mercantilism. Now, the trend continues as Russia and China will de-dollarize hundreds of millions in natural gas settlements.

Did Yellen Just Throw Greenspan/Bernanke Under The Bubble-Blowing Bus?

Reflecting on the rate hikes undertaken in the 2004-2006 period (ensuring the world not think that The Fed would repeat that) Janet Yellen appears to have thrown Greenspan and Bernanke under the bubble-blowing bus with an off the cuff comment that "with hindsight, The Fed should have hiked rates faster," during that period... which is odd since we assumed it was The Fed's job to inflate financial assets to prove the real economy was doing great?

FOMC Forecasts Economic Improvement But Sees Weaker Inflation, Sets Tone For September Rate Hike

With data showing very little sign of the Q2 post-weather bounce that The Fed forecast, and markets quaking in their boots on every 'good' data print, The Fed remains cornered - desperate to hike (to regain some ammo) but needing to lie through their teeth in order to rationalize why...

  • *FED FORECASTS IMPLY TWO QUARTER-POINT RATE INCREASES THIS YEAR
  • *FED SAYS ECONOMY EXPANDING `MODERATELY,' JOB GROWTH PICKED UP
  • *FED REPEATS INTL DEVELOPMENTS TO BE TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT

So the bottom line - The Fed has no idea still, is data-dependent (unless the data disagrees with them), and is now the world's plunge protection team. It seems the IMF's warnings have been ignored.

Pre-FOMC: S&P Futs 2091, 10Y 2.387%, EUR 1.1260, Gold $1178

The One Place The Fed Is Rapidly Renormalizing: The FOMC Statement Word Count

While Janet Yellen is hopelessly cornered (as explained yesterday, not hiking rates or worse doing even more QE, is the single "biggest risk to global equities" according to BofA as it would not only soak up even more liquidity and crush confidence in the economy, even worse than the Fed did hike rates and unleash the "Ghost of 1937") when it comes to monetary policy, one place where the Fed's desperate scramble to renormalize is distincly visible is in the FOMC statement itself.