First Oil, Now Shale Gas Set To Crash Amid "Orgy Of Over-Production"

Spending cuts for oil-directed drilling have dominated first quarter 2015 energy news but rig counts for shale gas drilling are too high. Investors should pay attention to this growing problem. Bank of America fears sub-$2 gas prices now that winter heating worries are over. Low natural gas prices affect the economics for gas-rich oil production in the Eagle Ford Shale and Permian basin plays as well as for the shale gas plays. Meanwhile, an orgy of over-production is taking place in the Marcellus Shale... Investors should carefully examine why shale gas players have not reduced rig counts more. Continued drilling in the Marcellus will crush natural gas prices further.

Kunstler: "We Are The Michael Brown Among Nations"

We begin to understand why the death of Ferguson, Mo, teen Michael Brown sent such shock waves through America last year. He truly symbolized our country: an overgrown, oafish, wannabe thug making one bad choice after another until his final, suicidal lurch against authority — followed by all the exculpatory lying on his behalf: the “gentle giant,” hands up, don’t shoot! This is exactly how America acts on the world stage these days. We are the Michael Brown among nations, high on exceptionalism, stoned on entitlement, swaggering moronically from one place to another grabbing what we feel like, smashing things up as we go.

Rats And Sinking Ships: Chairman Of Greek Bank Rescue Fund Resigns

With "The objective of the Hellenic Financial Stability Fund is to contribute to the maintenance of the stability of the Greek banking system, for the sake of public interest," it appears the Fund's Chairman has decided to add some instability and leave the sinking ship:

  • *GREEK BANK RECAPITALIZATION FUND CHAIRMAN RESIGNS: STATEMENT

Ironic (or coincidental) timing as Draghi proclaims he is not blackmailing Greece and Merkel says "Nein" to more liquidity.

Merkel/Tsipras "Get Rid Of Stereotypes" Press Conference - Live Feed

The future of Europe being decided?

*'WE WANT GREECE TO BE ECONOMICALLY STRONG,' MERKEL SAYS SHE IS SEEKING TRUSTFUL COOPERATION WITH TSIPRAS
*TSIPRAS: GREEK BAILOUT INCREASED SOCIAL INEQUALITY
*TSIPRAS: GREEK ECONOMY NEEDS BAILOUT DISBURSEMENT (please?)
*MERKEL SAYS SHE CAN'T 'OFFER ANY LIQUIDITY' ON HER OWN (nein!)

Don't Show Stanley Fischer This Chart

Careful to follow the status quo's meme, Fed vice-Chair Stanley Fischer just uttered the following...

FISCHER SAYS DOLLAR'S RISE ALSO REFLECTS RELATIVE U.S. STRENGTH

Which is odd because a) Jim Bullard said this morning that it was ECB QE that was responsible for the strong dollar; and b) US growth expectations have collapsed as the USD soared. Don't show him this chart...

Fed Vice-Chair Stan Fischer Explains What Yellen Really Meant Last Week - Live Feed

*FISCHER SAYS RATE LIFTOFF LIKELY WARRANTED BEFORE END-2015

With the world now convinmced that Janet Yellen is as dovish as she has ever been on rate hikes, today comes the first post-FOMC speech. None other than Vice-chair Stanley Fischer is due to address The Economic Club of New York on the topic of "Monetary-policy lessons and the way ahead." As Art Cashin warned this morning, Fischer "seems to feel that the Fed must raise rates this year. He is also the only Fed official to concede that any rate hike will be different than any seen before."

Tech Startup Bubble Has America's Retirement Funds Chasing Unicorns

A shift in the mutual fund industry's stance towards grossly overvalued private tech startups may be embedding risk into the retirement accounts of unsuspecting Americans, suggesting that the rather creative valuations VCs and founders place on the latest app may be imperiling your 401k. It's called "chasing unicorns."

Following "Worst Election In 25 Years" Court Finds Rajoy's Ruling Party May Have Had Secret Accounts

It has not been a good week for Spain's embattled Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy. Following what Bloomberg calls "its worst election result in 25 years," in Andalusia (the nation's most populous region); the corruption scandals re-rear their ugly head:

*SPAIN RULING PEOPLE'S PARTY MAY HAVE HAD SECRET ACCOUNTS; COURT SEES POSSIBLE TAX FRAUD BY COUNTRY'S RULING PARTY

Spanish bond risk widened 4-5bps on the day as both events confirm the rise of anti-EU parties Podemos and Ciudadanos.

The Fed - Hawk, Dove, Or Chicken?

We often hear various Fed officials described as hawks or doves but Janet Yellen’s Fed brings to mind another avian metaphor. They are afraid to raise rates for fear that doing so would upset the asset market inflation process and derail what is left of their theory. In her press conference last week Yellen said that stock market valuations were on the high side of historical norms, an appellation that only works if one includes the stock bubble of the late 90s. It seems that she and the other members of the FOMC have decided that another epic stock market bubble is better than admitting they were wrong. This FOMC doesn’t have any hawks or doves, only chickens.

Existing Home Sales Miss (Again); Weather & "Unsuitably High Price Levels" Blamed

Following January's disastrous dive in Existing Home Sales (which must be weather, right? Nope!) to a SAAR 4.82 million homes, February (with its even worse weather) saw a 4th month of missed expectations with a 4.88mm print against 4.90 mm expectations. As always, weather was blamed - which is odd given that the only drop in sales that occurred happened in The Northeast which accounts for just 12% of total transactions. Perhaps more worrisome is NAR's Larry Yun noting  "unsuitable price levels" as a reason for weak sales due to low inventories (despite inventories rising 1.6% in February?!). May be it's time to blame The Fed... for not creating more rich people to buy more houses...

Biotech Behemoth Gilead In Trouble After Flagship Drug Related Death

Gilead is, by far, the largest income producer in the Nasdaq Biotech Index and today's warning from the Biotech behemoth which has dragged the stock down 2.8% this morning, is weighing heavily on the exponentially-expanding index. As Bloomberg reports, GILD said nine patients taking its hepatitis C drugs Harvoni or Sovaldi along with the heart treatment amiodarone developed abnormally slow heartbeats and one died of cardiac arrest. Now, of course, it's "just" 9 patients... so analysts will spin the diversification. The Nasdaq Biotech Index now trades with a P/E of 50x, with over 80% of the entire sector's earnings concentrated in just 5 companies... and the biggest of all just warned on the drugs that make up half its revenues!