Potential OPEC Cut? It Depends On Non-OPEC Nations Now

Eighty-five years after the birth of French filmmaker Jean-Luc Godard, and the crude complex is acting suitably surreal today. As expected, rhetoric is ratcheting up out of Vienna ahead of tomorrow’s OPEC meeting, with the crude market shaken up like a snowglobe.

Meet Syed Farook And Tashfeen Malik, The Husband And Wife San Bernardino Shooters

“Was there a link to terror?” That’s the question Americans are asking themselves the morning after a husband and wife opened fire with assault rifles killing 14 and wounding 17 at a San Bernardino County employee holiday party. The shooters, Syed Rizwan Farook, 28, and Tashfeen Malik, 27, left their young child with Farook’s mother in nearby Redlands on Wednesday morning before dressing in “assault clothing,” and crashing the party (literally).

RANsquawk Preview: Nonfarm Payrolls 4th December 2015


November’s NFP release is in strong focus after the stellar reading in October which saw the largest increase this year at 271K additions. Additionally, unemployment is expecting to remain at 5% which will maintain the reading at the lowest level since Apr’08. Furthermore, average hourly earnings are typically in focus due to being a key indicator of wage inflation for the Fed.

Citi Turns Bearish On Stocks On "Richer And Richer" Markets, Sees 65% Recession Probability; Janet Yellen Disagrees

"Given the surge back towards the all-time highs in the S&P 500, we think that the best might be over for US equities and that indices might range trade more in 2016. We have downgraded US equities to neutral. This takes our overall equity weighting down to neutral, in many respects an extension of what we’ve been doing for most of this year as richer and richer asset markets, against a global background of economic risks, have made us more cautious."

WTI Crude Surges On OPEC Hope, Dollar Drop

As the USDollar plunges under the weight of short-squeezed EUR FX traders, so commodities are making gains. With OPEC right around the corner, WTI continues to bethe highest beta and has soared back to yesterday's highs on no news whatsoever (apart from comments from OPEC that they will only cut if non-OPEC cuts).

There Go The Truckers: Unprecedented 59% Plunge In November Heavy Truck Orders

The rout beneath the relative calm of the market surface continues today as another sector has gotten crushed today in reaction to the domestic and global collapse in trade, the spreading domestic manufacturing recession and the bursting of the commodity bubble: truckers, and especially the heaviest, Class 8 trucks, those with a gross weight over 33K pounds, those which make up the backbone of U.S. trade infrastructure and logistics.

S&P 500 Tumbles Into Red For 2015, Breaks Key Technical Support

The S&P 500 (cash) index just broke back below the crucial 200-day moving-average (at 2,064) for the first time since the Paris terror attack rally began. This has dragged the index back to unchanged year-to-date with only Nasdaq holding gains in 2015.

'Insolvent' US Government Spends $375k To Study Senior-Citizen Dating Habits

It was just a few weeks ago that the International Monetary Fund predicted that Saudi Arabia would likely be bankrupt within the next five years. Saudi Arabia’s financial position is deteriorating rapidly, and the government is burning through cash like a coked-up rock star.  The Saudis followed this up with plans now to build the world’s tallest skyscraper, which would stand a full kilometer in height. Seriously, what are these people thinking? What kind of idiot goes out of his way to blow through cash when he’s rapidly going broke? Why, the United States of America of course.

DAX Crashes Most Since Black Monday - Erases Paris Attack Gains

Having ramped its way up to the cliff's edge of China devaluation and Black Monday's free-fall, Germany's DAX has come unbuttoned rapidly with a 480-plus point droip today. Down over 5.5% in the last 3 days, crushed back under 11,000 today with a 3.75% crash - the most since August 24th - all thanks to Draghi over-selling his "whatever-it-takes"-ness... after the Paris Terror attacks.

Bloodbath In Bonds - Yields Jump Most In 7 Months

The entire Treasury curve is getting battered with 30Y +13bps, back above 3.00%. The belly is the most dramatic with 7Y yields up over 11bps - the biggest single-day surge in 7 months. 5Y yields are up over 9bps pushing back to the "wall" of resistance...

Housing Bubble 2.0 Exposed (In 1 Simple Chart)

The gap between real house prices and real earnings is even wider than it was in Housing Bubble 1. History (and common sense) suggest that housing prices will once again fall sharply until the black line of house prices is well below the red line of real earnings. To expect anything different is unrealistic and highly dangerous to one's financial well-being.

President Obama Delivers Statement, Says Shooting "Possibly Terrorist-Related" - Live Feed

Having stated unequivocally last week that "we can't let this become the new normal.. enough is enough," following the Planned Parenthood shooting, President Obama - having seen a record amount of background checks for gun purchases over the Black Friday weekend - is set to make a statement (alongside his National Security Team) with regard the mass shooting in San Bernardino yesterday...