Just 3 Things: Stocks "Are Not Magical Lottery Tickets"

"It’s not just volatility; it’s valuation. Instead of magical lottery tickets that automatically and necessarily reward those who wait, stocks are ownership units of businesses. That’s banal, I know, but everyone seems to forget it. And it means equity returns depend on how much you pay for their future profits, not on how much price volatility you can endure."

Trading Inauguration Day

While president-elect Donald Trump's post-election stock market gains are among the greatest in US History, he faces an uphill battle tomorrow as he steps to dais for inauguration. In the last 80 years, newly-elected presidents have seen inauguration-day-losses, two-thirds of the time.

Donald And The Dollar

John Connally, President Nixon’s Secretary of the Treasury, once remarked to the consternation of Europe’s financial elites over America’s inflationary monetary policy, that the dollar “is our currency, but your problem.”  Times have certainly changed and it now appears that the dollar has become an American problem.

US Government Caught Massively Fabricating Student Loan Default Data

Many more students have defaulted on their college loans than the U.S. government previously revealed. This stunning admission came last Friday, when the Education Department released a memo revealing that it had overstated student loan repayment rates at most colleges and trade schools. The explanation? the problem resulted from a "technical programming error."

Declassified CIA Memos Reveal Probes Into Gold Market Manipulation

he CIA recently released a series of declassified 1970s memos relating to the gold market and the newly created SDR. These memos give new insight how the CIA viewed the gold market, the perceived manipulation of gold and the potential for the SDR to become a gold substitute in the international monetary system.

Will The Fed Start Reducing Its Balance Sheet? Here Is Goldman's Answer

"We would be very surprised to see a discussion of asset sales under Chair Yellen’s leadership, but a shift to more active management of the maturity of new Treasury purchases could be an option; shortening the duration of new purchases would quicken portfolio runoff once it begins." - Goldman Sachs

Jewish Trust Sues Deutsche Bank For $3 Billion

A Jewish charitable trust has sued Deutsche Bank, alleging the German bank wrongly withheld as much as $3 billion from the heirs to a wealthy German family. According to Bloomberg, the lawsuit claims the bank refuses to return the funds initially deposited by the Wertheim family in accounts opened at what is now Credit Suisse Group AG before the rise of the Nazis in Germany.

Oil Tumbles After Unexpected Crude Inventory Build

A mixed bag of crude draw and gasoline builds from API combined with IEA comments on rising US Shale output offset by Saudi jawboning about more production cuts possible has pushedoil green before today's DOE data. However, oil prices tumbled when DOE printed an unexpected 2.347mm barrel crude build (1mm draw expected) and another major build in gasoline inventories. US crude production remains at 9-month highs.

The End Of The Obama World Order

For the past eight years, Barack Obama has been using the power of the U.S. presidency to impose his vision of a progressive world order on the entire globe.  As a result, much of the planet will greatly celebrate once the Obama era officially ends on Friday.

US Economic Expectations Soar To 15 Year Highs... What Now?

Bloomberg's survey of economic expectations has soared since Donald Trump was elected and at 56.0 in January, it is the highest since 2002. This spike in 'hope' is occurring as the current economic situation is seen as deteriorating and, as the chart below suggests, this might be as good as it gets...