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Weekend Reading: Bull Struggles & NIRP

"A good player knows when to pick up his marbles..."


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One Chartist Is Out With A Major Bearish Call

"If the market is to make a new high this rally must break through the resistance in the S&P 500 around the 1950 area on increasing volume. If it fails, then the decline will drop to the 1740 area which I have repeatedly said MUST HOLD or the markets are in a MAJOR BEAR MARKET that will test the lows reached in 2009."


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Trump Was Right: Immigration Declines Sharply Since Start Of Deportation Raids

Last month, Bernie Sanders as well as dozens of other lawmakers on Capitol Hill were outraged to learn that the Obama administration was set to start deporting hundreds of Central Americans who came to the US fleeing violence. Donald Trump applauded the move. A month later we learn that the deportations have sharply reduced the number of illegal immigrants coming into the country.


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Martin Armstrong Warns "Systemic Risk Is Rising For All Markets"

The increasingly unstable footing that we find ourselves standing on is reflected in widening credit spreads that demonstrate that CONFIDENCE is indeed collapsing. We are on the precipice of what can only be described as a rising systemic risk for all markets.


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The "Trade Of The Year" Just Returned 30% In Two Days

CHESAPEAKE SAID PLANNING TO PAY $500 MILLION DEBT DUE IN MARCH


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Bloomberg Vs. Trump?

Republicans should give Mayor Mike every encouragement to enter the race. For though he threatens to spend a billion dollars of his own money to buy the presidency, his name on the ballot as a third-party candidate could send the Democratic nominee straight down to Davy Jones’s locker. With Bloomberg siphoning off millions of liberal votes, Democrats would not only lose red states they customarily write off, winning solid blue states would require a far steeper climb.


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What The BOJ's Final "Yentervention" Option Would Look Like

Japanese stock markets have crashed 15% (the "most since Lehman") and USDJPY plunging (most since 1998) since Kuroda unleashed NIRP and are down 11% since QQE2 was unveiled to save the world from an absent Fed. So with NIRP and QE (and jawboning) now 'useless' for Japanese monetary policy, there is only one option left - Yentervention.


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Why The Federal Reserve Always "Happens" To Be Wrong

"The last duty of a central banker is to tell the public the truth." - Alan Blinder, former Federal Reserve Board Vice Chairman


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Breadth Breakdown Bodes Badly For Budding Bulls

While the S&P 500 held support at January low (1,812) yesterday (and October 2014's Bullard bounce lows), BMO's Russ Visch warns "it may not hold in the days ahead" due to weak market breadth.


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Why Yellen's Testimony Was Not Dovish Enough: Bank CEOs Told Her The 'Economy Is Stronger Than Markets Imply'

"The Council believes the economy is stronger than the recent negative market sentiment would imply."


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US Oil Rig Count Plunges By Most In 10 Months

Following last week's dramatic 31 rig decline, Baker-Hughes reports another major decline of 28 oil rigs (dropping the total oil rigs to 439 - lowest since Jan 2010 - for the 8th consecutive week). The total rig count dropped 30. On the heels of OPEC rumors overnight and then re-rumored bullshit from Venezuela, oil prices had already surged during the day and the biggest 2-week rig count decline in 10 months after initially being sold, is rallying once again.


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"Distressed" Bonds Accelerating At "Alarming Pace", Markit Warns

It is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore the collapse of global credit markets... as Markit warns the number of distressed bonds (trading greater than 1000bps) is "escalating at an alarming pace."


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How €3.5 Trillion In NIRP Debt Made Europe's Credit Market "Most Vulnerable Since Lehman"

In a note out Friday, BofA takes a fresh look at what the plunge down the NIRP rabbit hole has meant for the proliferation of negative-yielding assets in Europe. In addition to creating some €3.5 trillion in negative-yielding assets, successive rounds of easing have also had some rather disconcerting unintended consequences.


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Here Is The ETF Liquidation That Sent Shockwaves Through The Crude Oil Market

A week ago we exposed the real reason for the "crazy volatility" in crude oil markets, and specifically the driver of the immense rally (despite weak data) in crude - a massive liquidation of the triple-inverse ETF DWTI. Today we have another mysterious, even larger spike in crude oil prices (for no good reason other than 'old' misunderstood rumors about OPEC production cuts). The driver, it would appear, is another liquidation as the ETF trades at a huge discount to NAV. The last time this happened, it didn't last.


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