Too Many "Think Tanks" Are Just Kool-Aid Fueled Group-Think
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/16/2016 - 16:10
Over the last 5 years the various Fed QE (quantitative easing) interventions into the capital markets has facilitated dumb luck trading into “genius” status, and no clue analysis into “spot on brilliant” prognostications. The real issue at hand is many believed their own press, and the current state of egg on their face would make many a Denny's blush. As bad as that sounds – it gets worse.
With Draghi On Deck, ECB Mulls Steps To Solve "Non-Existent" Bond Scarcity Problem
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/16/2016 - 15:35
It’s nearly that time again. On the heels of December’s “big disappointment” wherein Mario Draghi cut the depo rate by a “measly” 10 bps and extended PSPP by an underwhelming six months, the ECB meets again next week, and this time around, expectations are low. But even if Draghi doesn't budge in January, most expect more easing is one the way. The only question is this: how will the Frankfurt cabal cope with the shrinking pool of purchase eligible assets?
The Great Unraveling Looms - Blame The 'Austrians'?
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/16/2016 - 15:00
Decades of accumulated market distortions appear to be on the brink of a great unwind, most of which can be blamed on expansionary monetary policies. If so, the banking crisis of 2008 was a prelude, rather than the crisis itself. The Keynesians will blame the Fed for a complete policy failure. The reality is, that by implementing conventional policies on the recommendation of group-thinking macroeconomists, the central banks have dug a hole too deep to escape. Recognition of the merits of Austrian sound money theory will simply expose this reality sooner than later.
Was That The Capitulation? Not Even Close
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/16/2016 - 13:50
Is it different this time?
Earthquake Economics - Waiting For The Inevitable "Big One"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/16/2016 - 13:15
Several more slips like this one and the President’s strongest, most durable economy in the world could backslide into recession. On top of that, ‘the big one’ could rupture at any moment.
Pro-China Party Falls As Taiwan Elects First Female President In "Historic" Landslide Election
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/16/2016 - 12:41
"Why has public opinion changed so much? How did our party misread public opinion? We failed. The Nationalist Party lost the elections. We didn't work hard enough."
Would You Hire It: China's "Resume" Revealed
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/16/2016 - 11:22
After the worst two-week start to US stock trading in history, bulls need some cheering up. So here, courtesy of Citi's Brent Donnelly, is some levity: this is what China's Curriculum Vitae would look like if it was applying for a job. It is also a great summary for those who need a handy cheat sheet of where China was, where it is, and where it is going.
Recession At The Gate: JPM Cuts Q4 GDP From 1.0% To 0.1%
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/16/2016 - 10:35
According to JPM's chief economist Michael Feroli, in the 4th quarter, the same quarter in which Yellen finally felt confident enough to declare the US economy strong enough to withstand a rate hike and a tightening cycle, US growth ground to a halt and as a result JPMorgan just cut its Q4 GDP forecast from 1.0% to 0.1%.
23 Dead After Al-Qaeda Storms West African Hotel: "It Was Like A Scene From A Movie"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/16/2016 - 09:31
This Is The Cartoon Germany Hands Out To Sexually Frustrated Refugees
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/16/2016 - 08:10
The Ascendance of Sociopaths in U.S. Governance
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/15/2016 - 22:00
The U.S. government, in particular, has been overrun by the wrong kind of person. It’s a trend that’s been in motion for many years but has now reached a point of no return. In other words, a type of moral rot has become so prevalent that it’s institutional in nature. There is not going to be, therefore, any serious change in the direction in which the U.S. is headed until a genuine crisis topples the existing order. Until then, the trend will accelerate.
The World’s Most Famous Case Of Hyperinflation (Part 1)
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/15/2016 - 21:30
The Great War ended on the 11th hour of November 11th, 1918, when the signed armistice came into effect. Though this peace would signal the end of the war, it would also help lead to a series of further destruction: this time the destruction of wealth and savings. The world’s most famous hyperinflation event, which took place in Germany from 1921 and 1924, was a financial calamity that led millions of people to have their savings erased.
Oil, War, & Drastic Global Change
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/15/2016 - 21:00
The consequences of all this will be felt all over the world, and for a long time to come. All of our economic systems run on oil, so many jobs are related to it, so many ‘fields’ in the economy, and no, things won’t get easier when oil is at $20 or $10, it’ll be a disaster of biblical proportions, like a swarm of locusts that leaves precious little behind. Squeeze oil and you squeeze the entire economic system. That’s what all the ‘low oil prices are great for the economy’ analysts missed (many still do). Entire nations will undergo drastic changes in leadership and prosperity.
Atlanta Fed Explains Why It Waited Until The Market Close To Reveal The Lowest Q4 GDP Estimate Yet
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/15/2016 - 20:28
