What If The Strait Of Hormuz Never Fully Reopens

One bank says it is increasingly likely that Hormuz never fully reopens and that the debate needs to shift to shape of "new normal" - in that world, tank bottoms would be reached in October (in the US) or December (globally).

Nobody In Control

There is roughly $100 billion of leveraged exposure tied to semis and hardware-linked equities. Convexity works both ways.

Tech sold amid renewed AI fears as Trump touts Iran response - Newsquawk US Market Wrap

Trump said US must respond to Iranian attack on US helicopter; Draft agreement has reportedly been sent to the US side for review, with confirmation that the draft is preliminary accepted to the US admin; US and Iran reportedly zero in on four nuclear issues in talks; Taiwan said to be mulling curbs on AI chip exports to China to align with US; US trade deficit shrinks slightly less than expected in April; US existing home sales rose more than anticipated; US 3yr note auction shows some improvement; Data centre developer Crusoe has paused development on a 1.8GW AI project in Wyoming.

What Does Silver Know?

The resemblance between silver's collapse and the current SOX setup is becoming difficult to ignore.

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