Bernanke Adopts Decoupling, Discusses Gold, Does Not Think $1,200 Gold Is A Direct Affront To All Things KeynesianSubmitted by Tyler Durden on 12/15/2009 - 19:04
"Gold is used for many purposes, including as a reserve asset, as an investment, and for use in electronics, automobiles, and jewelry. Thus, fluctuations in the price of gold can reflect changes in demand associated with any of these uses, as well as changes in supply. In monitoring the price of gold, the Federal Reserve must attempt to interpret which of these factors is responsible for its fluctuations at any point in time. One of the ways we do this is by consulting other indicators of market sentiment. A number of measures of expected future inflation in the United States, including measures taken from inflation-protected bonds and surveys of consumers and professional forecasters, have been well contained. Accordingly, increases in the price of gold do not appear to reflect increases in the expected future of U.S. inflation. " - Ben Bernanke
Sen. Jim Bunning Releases 70 Responses By Bernanke As More Organizations Come In Support Of Pittman CrusadeSubmitted by Tyler Durden on 12/15/2009 - 18:12
More Mutual Assured Destruction from Ber Bernanke: "Without addressing every specific item, I believe that the release of much of the information requested would inhibit the policymaking process or reduce the effectiveness of policy and thus would not be in the public interest."
In other news Dow Jones, New York Times, the Associated Press and Reuters all have enjoined Bloomberg in demanding that Federal Court uphold the previous decision by the NY Supreme Court, seeking the Fed to disclose confidential bail out information.
With UBS out, and CS to follow, how the hell will the ultra upper middle class continue not paying their taxes?
A month ago Zero Hedge dubbed Gramm-Leach-Bliley the worst Bill ever passed. Its passage, coupled with a bunch of insane money printing leprechauns, presaged the ultimate collapse of Lehman, and was the main reason why capitalism nearly died last year (and why contrary to all you hear, is still in critical care). Yet from mere grumblings a month ago, the chorus of voices calling for a repeal of G-L-B, and a renewal of Glass-Steagall has reached a crescendo, and today Majority leader Steny Hoyer said that the renewal of the Glass-Steagall act was a distinct possibility.
XOM is the world's best investor in the energy business, and has a multi-decade track record and the returns on capital to prove it. This is undeniable. But, Exxon looks out 20 years when evaluating acquisitions and investments. Natural gas investors should not look too much into this bet, because Exxon's time horizon is longer than most of our careers, and perhaps lives, will be.
"Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes receded one point to 16 in December as continued weakness in the economy and job markets weighed on consumers’ potential home buying plans, according to the latest NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), released today.The December HMI fell one point to 16, its lowest point since June of this year. Two out of three component indexes also were down, with a one-point decline to 16 registered for current sales conditions and a two-point decline to 26 registered for sales expectations in the next six months. The component gauging traffic of prospective buyers remained unchanged for a third consecutive month, at 13." - National Association Of Home Builders
When Dubai World black swanned global investors last month with what amounts to be a reported $80 Billion in debt liabilities, it sent shivers down the spine of many a financial manager and stock trader. For those who were paying attention, Dubai’s troubled assets were no surprise, it was simply a matter of time. Oft repeated by contrarian analysts and investors like Dr. Doom Marc Faber, Gerald Celente, Jim Rogers, and Karl Denninger, the mathematical certainty of the economic crisis would play out - eventually.
Nothing too secret here: banks are willing to wager the systemic stability so they can get another bonus payment before everything hits the fan next year. What happens when (not if) TARP is needed again? Well, these banks will have to nationalized, or else there will be a revolution. And these banks know this, so they would rather cash in at least one more bonus after which who the hell cares.
A Greek, An Austrian And An Irishman Enter A Bailout Bar... Ireland Joins The 2nd Round European Collapse BrigadeSubmitted by Tyler Durden on 12/15/2009 - 13:37
Just in case you needed some more validation for a "strong" Euro thesis, the latest bit of news out of Europe shows that all those problems that were initially swept under the rug, just like in a crappy Japanese horror movie, find a way to reach out and haunt Central Bankers worldwide. First the Baltics, then Greece, then Austria, and now, once again, Ireland. 50% state ownership of Ireland's two leading banks is now on deck. To keep this as surreal as possible, may we suggest that Fred "Iceman" Mishkin quit his job in Columbia where all he does is spread completely factual and thoroughly undiscredited economic non-bullshit and run for [president/despot/tyrant/monarch/steam spewing geyser] of Iceland.
This is the second time in a week that a bill auction has closed at exactly 0%. The Treasury has auctioned off $57 billion since December which is yielding absolutely nothing. Surely, this can go on forever. In fact, can the US reverse roll all of its $7 trillion in marketable securities in the form of 1 months? That would surely help the deficit as no interest has to be paid by the US. Ever.
On last week’s Mad Money, game show host Jim Cramer told his acolytes “to pick up [Best Buy] BBY before Tuesday morning’s announcement.” First, trading stocks ahead of earnings is the riskiest aspect of trading. Most professional traders close their positions ahead of earnings and decide what to do after the announcement. The reason for this risk management strategy: guessing earnings is a complete gamble.
NetJets Cuts 90% Of Hawker Jet Orders, Hawker Backlog Plunges By 40%: Textron Is Somehow Still A Conviction Buy At GoldmanSubmitted by Tyler Durden on 12/15/2009 - 12:59
[Hawker Beechkraft] announced that it has received cancellation notices from NetJets, Inc. for a significant number of aircraft previously contracted to be delivered over several years beginning in 2011. The impact of the cancellations will be to reduce the Company’s current backlog by approximately $2.6 billion. HBAC has previously disclosed that NetJets, while a considerable source of backlog, was not expected to provide the Company any substantial revenue during 2009 or 2010 and has historically not represented more than 10 percent of the Company’s annual revenue. The cancellations represent approximately 90 percent of the Company’s previously contracted backlog with NetJets. After removing the cancelled NetJets orders from backlog and considering the anticipated sales and order activity for the fourth quarter, backlog is expected to be approximately $3.5 billion at December 31, 2009. The Company continues to expect depressed demand in the near term.
A frequent theme on Zero Hedge is the structural limitation imposed on corporate revenue and profitability absent an overall increase in the currency in circulation, or said otherwise, in the "velocity" of money. If banks do not lend out the money, and the money does not somehow find its way to companies' top lines, there is logically less revenue thus lower EPS (especially with the key layoff rounds already having taken place). We were gratified to see Rosenberg pick up on this theme in his latest "Latkes with Dave" piece. As Rosenberg points out, the banks continuing unwillingness to lend money out will end up transforming not only the political landscape in D.C., but could very easily be the end of the seemingly endless bear market rally.
"Not a whole lot of excitement today as the US stock market is making it increasingly easier for Chinese stocks to out-trade them in terms of daily volume (actually on a good day Chinese stocks trade more volume in $ terms that NY, Tokyo, and London together)." - Nic Lenoir