Investors Plow Record Cash Into Emerging Markets, As Europe Suffers Record Outflows

Whether it is due to the recent speculation that Japan may usher in helicopter money, or ongoing concerns about what Brexit may do to the future of European asset returns, there has been a dramatic shift in fund allocation and as Bank of America reports, investors are rushing to vote with their wallets. They have done so in the latest week by continuing to plow money into EM stocks, allocating a record amount of cash to Emerging Markets, while yanking a similarly record amount of cash from Europe.

EURUSD Plunges To Post-Brexit Lows

Following disappoingly un-dovish commentary from Bank of England and ECB, it appears a dearth of monetary exuberance (over and above the current insanity) is prompting capital flight from Europe. EURUSD tumbled to a 1.09 handle this morning, near post-Brexit lows...

Its 2007 Deja Vu All Over Again: Goldman Is Raising $8 Billion LBO Fund

The last time Goldman raised an private-equity buyout fund was in 2007: at just over $20 billion, it was the second biggest private-equity fund ever. It also top-ticked the market. Nine years later, the WSJ reports that Goldman is finally preparing a much anticipated sequel, in the form of a corporate-buyout fund with assets between $5 and $8 billion.

Trump Accused Of "Apocalyptic" Fearmongering In Speech Promising "Security And Prosperity"

In one of the most dramatic, polarizing, (and longest ever) convention speeches, Donald Trump claimed the Republican presidential nomination with a highly charged text in which he promised to be “the voice” of disenfranchised Americans and the guardian of “law and order." And while most republicans loved it, the speech was roundly panned by democrats everywhere as ominous "doom and gloom" fearmongering, one which painted a picture of an America on the verge of an apocalyptic ending.

Verizon Set To Buy Yahoo For $5 Billion

It appears that after years of attempts to quietly, then not so quietly sell itself, the increasingly troubled former internet portal giant may have finally found the "greatest fool" thanks to Verizon. According to Bloomberg, Verizon is the lead bidder for Yahoo with a total consideration of about $5 billion, and an announcement may come in the next few days.

DSK'd? IMF's Lagarde Loses Fight To Avoid French Trial Over Corruption Case

In December we warned of her career's "terminal decline," and it appears, just as with Dominic Strauss-Kahn, someone is upset at the IMF Director (perhaps she has just been too darn negative, or pushy towards policy-makers?). In a surprising twist for 'the establishment' Bloomberg reports that Christine Lagarde may face consequences for her actions (or lack of them). France’s Supreme Court rules that The IMF director will have to stand trial for alleged “negligence” in accepting an arbitration panel decision in favor of a French businessman.

Pound Plummets On Renewed Recession Fears As PMI Shows Fastest Contraction Since 2009

Sterling plummeted nearly 200 pips this morning, after rising in early trade to just shy of 1.33, when the latest July Markit flash PMI surveys suggested the UK is heading for a quick recession in the form of a 0.4% GDP contraction in the third quarter. As Markit reported, "July saw a dramatic deterioration in the economy, with business activity slumping at the fastest rate since the height of the global financial crisis in early-2009."

Frontrunning: July 22

  • Global stocks fall, UK PMIs flash Brexit recession warning (Reuters)
  • Trump's greatest hits, all in one speech (Reuters)
  • Donald Trump Accepts GOP Nomination, Promises to Fix America (WSJ)
  • Trump's America Grows More Ominous Over 13-Month Run (BBG)
  • Hillary Clinton: unwitting star of the Republican convention (FT)
  • Clinton faces pressure to pick VP who is tough on trade, Wall Street (Reuters)

US Futures Rebound Despite Global Stock Weakness As USDJPY Ramps HIgher

After breaking a multi-year stretch of 9 daily record highs in the Dow Jones, overnight global markets saw some early weakness with Asian stocks retreating after BOJ chief Kuroda dashed hopes for so-called helicopter money, triggering yen’s steepest rally in a month and pulling the Nikkei lower by 1.1%. This however did not last long, and around the European open the traditional ramp in the USDJPY helped European equities shrug off early downside, while US equity futures have already recovered half of yesterday's losses.

Nigel Farage Announces European Referendum Tour

Proclaiming his support for new British PM Theresa May, former UKIP head Nigel Farage explained "she has said ‘Brexit means Brexit’ and I believe her," before announcing plans for his European Referendum Tour during a much at the Republican national convention yesterday. Farage told Politico that he would start a tour of European cities in September to help spread the appetite for referendums on EU membership beyond the UK.

The New Middle East: Exit America Enter Russia

Is the genie finally out of the bottle? A myriad of seemingly unrelated events and loose ends are converging in a manner that points in the direction of a huge win for Russian diplomacy in the Middle East, and we only need to connect the dots to see this scenario unfolding. What dots, one might ask?