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Robert Prechter On The Dollar

The founder of Elliott Wave International shares his perspectives.


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High Yield Getting Reacquainted With Gravity

HY 12 doesn't believe in this rangebound mumbojumbo - credit traders have to really earn their living. Speaking of, when will "liquidity providers" also get involved in this product and start trading amongst themselves.


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SPY Tag Ends

Is there any reason why markets are still open between 10am and 3:30pm?


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Financials Losing Their Leadershipness

No growthyness in the XFL... Or at least today. Hey, wasn't Guaranty supposed to have some press release or another today?


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Sergey Aleynikov Seeks Dismissal Of Case

Bloomberg reporting that Sergey Aleynikov wants a dismissal of his criminal case. Whether or not Goldman, which woke the FBI at 3 am to get on the case stat, will agree with his view is a different view.


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Fed July Loan Officer Survey - Crunch Continues

Too bad small and medium businesses aren't CCC-rated, 6x levered, recent LBOs: they would have no problem obtaining 7% financing. As it stands now, though, good luck.


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Readers' Digest To File For Bankruptcy

In a jarring reminder that hope does not pay scheduled interest payments, Readers' Digest announced it is about to file for bankruptcy. And since bondholders don't accept hope in lieu of cash, the company announced that not only would it not make its $27 million coupon payment but that it would undergo a prearranged Chapter 11 process in which its secured lenders would end up owning the company concurrent with a 75% haircut in their holdings.


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OMO vs USD

Call it a pure coincidence, but the second the OMO closed at 11am, someone(s) sold a boatload of dollars. Stocks looking so much prettier since.


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OMO vs S&P500

Due to popular demand, we present a chart overlaying the S&P500 and the Fed's Treasury OMO actions (not accounting for agency and MBS purchases).


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Fed Buys $5.9 Billion Of Recently Auctioned 5 YearTreasuries

As part of today's $7 Billion Treasury OMO by the Fed, $5.9 billion of recently auctioned off 5 Years were purchased... And not a moment too soon - the liquidity is muchly needed.


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Raymond James Discusses "Growthyness" Of REITs

RJ analyst Paul Puryear creates new words to describe his enthusiasm. Objectivity and OED butchering ensues, and even Mark Haynes is confused.


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Janet Tavakoli "Talks Her Book" And Cashes Out

The author of Structure Finance And Collateralized Debt Obligations, and one of the few who actually understood the CDO problem and predicted it, has gone all cash.


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CIT Completes Debt Tender Offer

CIT has averted bankruptcy by succeeding to get just above the requisite minimum of acceptances for its tender offer. The Offer expired at 12:00 midnight, New York City time, at the end of August 14, 2009. CIT is paying $875 for every $1,000 tendered as part of the offer.


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July Capital One Charge-Offs And Delinquencies Worse Across The Board

Capital One just released its charge off data: the improvement that some had seen in the June data has promptly been erased and metrics are trending negative again. The net annualized charge-off rate increased to 9.83% in July from 9/73% in June. The 30 days + delinquency rate also went up to 4.83% from 4.77%. However, the worst deterioration was in Auto Finance Metrics, the annualized charge off rate increasing by over a third percent to 4.26% from 3.89%, and the 30 Days + delinquency rate moved north of 9 to 9.22% from 8.89%.


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Empire Manufaturing Index Rises As Margin Pressure Increases

The Empire Manufacturing Index screamed higher to 12.1, much higher than the estimate of 3, yet the simple reason for this was margin pressure increased. As the chart below demonstrates The Prices Paid - Prices Received delta increased yet again, this time hitting 26.60, indicating manufacturers are losing on margin, which will impact the bottom line. And the future does not look much better: Prices Paid is expected to increase to +31.91 and Received to pick up to +5.32, meaning the margin pressure is here to stay.


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