The "Money On The Sidelines" Fallacy
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/31/2009 - 14:38It seems these days any time a pundit is cornered by facts indicating the deplorable state of the economy, the traditional fall back is "...but the tons of money on the sidelines is just waiting for a 0.003% pullback to pour back in."
It makes sense to consider this argument.
Go Ahead, You Deserve a New Car...
Submitted by Travis on 07/31/2009 - 13:43What's Another $2 Billion More?
Intraday Recap
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/31/2009 - 13:35
Ahead of the FDIC's Failure Friday all is normal at the Fed - the policy to destroy the dollar is working, keeping equities cheap and generating a ripfest in bonds (that bonds and equities are both going to the moon is nonsensical, matters not). For some reason WOPR hasn't confused what the VIX is supposed to do, and it is tracking the market 1:1.
Retail investors confuse the dollar weakness with stock strength and are buying a few hundred shares here and there, only to be promptly front run by the fine folks at the southernmost tip of Manhattan.
Your Chance To Buy 26,135 Sq. Feet Of "Lipstick" History, And In Other News CRE Insiders "Not At All "Dumping Shares
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/31/2009 - 12:18Let the CRE sales begin.
Senator Dodd To Hold 2:00 PM Conference In Hartford On "Personal Health Issue"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/31/2009 - 11:15Developing story: Hartford Courant newspaper says Sen. Dodd diagnosed with early stage prostate cancer.
Dollar Support Breach Alert
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/31/2009 - 10:56
The rampaging deflation in Europe and Japan has to be giddy about this development. Bernanke is sitting in a windowless, telephoneless office, and is not answering any press queries about his repeated statements to keep the dollar strong.
The 700x P/E Bull Market
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/31/2009 - 10:19Much was made of Rosenberg "turning the corner" on the recession. Alas, like in the Roubini case, somewhat misunderstood. From Rosie' morning piece: "It is amazing that anyone would go long an equity market with a reported P/E multiple of 700x but that is indeed what we have on our hands."
Have Fun Trading This
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/31/2009 - 09:59
VWAP reversion in T minus 5...4...3...
Exploring The Secrets Of The Federal Reserve
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/31/2009 - 09:47And speaking of the Fed's balance sheet (and not the public side but the $9 trillion in off-balance sheet voodoo), here is some good reading, especially with certain politicians hell bent to prevent HR1207 from occurring despite the 280 or so congressmen in support of the proposal (a very self-destructive apathy that Zero Hedge will speak more on in a few days).
Galbraith On China's Drastically Overstated Trade Surplus
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/31/2009 - 09:31It is no secret that China's economic numbers are so cooked and unreliable, that they make the constantly changing and optimistically biased economic data out of the U.S. (especially lately) have the credibility equivalent of a Harvard Ph.D. thesis. University of Texas professor James Galbraith discusses one aspect of China's "booming" economy, specifically the question of China's Trade Surplus, which as he notes has been drastically inflated since 2002 due to Chinese companies over-reporting profits on exports in order to disguise various investments by foreigners into China, so as to beat capital control restrictions.
Federal Reserve Balance Sheet Update: Week Of July 29
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/31/2009 - 08:45
The Fed's monetization of securities accelerates on declining Foreign purchases and an imperative to keep mortgage rates at artificially low levels
Frontrunning: July 31
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/31/2009 - 07:53- Advance GDP: -1.0%, and here is why - Federal Spending up 11%, Q1 number revised significantly lower to -6.4% (BEA, and Bloomberg)
- Europe: widespread deflation and spiking unemployment (Bloomberg)
- Japan: widespread deflation and spiking unemployment (Bloomberg)
- Pearlstein: Wall Street is at it again (WaPo)
- Cash for clunkers done? AutoNation will be pissed by the lack of this subsidy (WSJ)
Daily Highlights: 7.31.09
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/31/2009 - 07:19- Initial jobless claims in US increase; total rolls unexpectedly decline.
- US Treasuries fell, heading for a 4th monthly loss on speculation GDP improving.
- Japan's unemployment rate rises to a 6-yr high in June; Consumer prices fell at a record pace.
- Asian stocks rise on profit reports; MSCI Index set for fifth monthly gain.
- AK Steel announces price increase of $40/tonne for its carbon steel products.
