The Dangers Of High Frequency Trading... As Predicted By Lawrence H. Summers
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/19/2009 - 11:52When discussing high-frequency trading, Zero Hedge recently asked
"As Goldman is becoming the primary conduit of trading
(whether principal or agency) in virtually all markets, the risk of a
massive liquidity drain becomes exponentially larger, and the risk of
an exogenous event approaches LTCM and Lehman levels. It is this key risk driver that regulators should be focusing on,
instead of chasing and attempting to punish the perpetrators of the
most recent market crash (we are not saying they should not, but they
should prioritize and now should focus on what is
most critical to maintaining a functioning market topology). " It seems we were wrong about authoritarian figures never predicting the implicit risk of this subset of program
trading - ironically, it was well over 20 years ago and none other than
the future Chairman of the Federal Reserve Larry Summers who had some
prophetic words of caution. In a paper titled "Commentary on 'Policies to Curb Stock Market Volatility" in which Larry was discussing the cause and effect of Black Monday (about which he is quite wrong that nobody had seen coming), he lays out some oddly forward looking observations about program trading, or positive-feedback trading as high frequency trading was yet to become a staple market diet.
Jones Day's Chrysler Charge To Taxpayers: $12,702,190.19
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/19/2009 - 11:01Chrysler's little parade in bankruptcy court to make sure a few hundred thousand unionized workers retain their jobs for another year or two is finished. And here is the bill to you, dear taxpayer (or rather the first of many): Jones Day's invoice is in the mail. Everyone take out their wallets and please split the $12,702,190.19 equally. After all, now that we are allbenefiting form having a much leaner, much more competitive Chrysler around, we should all be happy to pay each and every lawyer who made it possible.
Unemployment Rate By State: June Update
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/19/2009 - 09:04
The most recent BLS State unemployment data is out. At this rate of job loss, Michigan will see 100% unemployment in about one year (give or take). Otherwise, state by state unemployment increased by 2.8% on average (unweighted) from May until June.
Radio Zero: Third Time Is The Charm
Submitted by Marla Singer on 07/18/2009 - 21:09Since I'm moving and have to pack up all my seized collateral audio equipment, Radio Zero will be on hiatus for a time. Figuring you might want to send it off in style, we'll host it again tonight, around 11:45 eastern (woops) for a special midnight(ish) run. As usual, URL to follow on http://www.zerohedge.com 15 before and I tend to be late.
Listen here: http://cdo.zerohedge.com:8000/listen.pls
Evening Fun With Maps And Dark Fiber Latencies
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/18/2009 - 19:33
Maybe the attention is on the wrong building...
Relative Central Bank Balance Sheets And Currency Races To The Bottom
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/18/2009 - 17:57Zero Hedge posts a weekly update of the Federal Reserve's bloated balance sheet as we believe it is critical to visualize the spiraling debt burden at our "central bank" especially since any day now the Fed will begin purchasing treasury securities outright in defiance of Geithner's lies to the contrary (China can't sell its planned Bills: at 0.925 Bid-To-Cover does anyone honestly think they will instead prefer to buy dollar denominated toiler paper and not roll out their own QE version momentarily?). As Cornelius pointed out earlier the dollar can't find a floor these days: rerisking is rampant the argument goes and that kills the greenback. However, the circular logic also holds: create dollar pain (by whatever means possible) and thus stimulate the market, Larry Summer's all time wet dream (would anyone like to wager that when hedge fund positional disclosure become mandatory DE Shaw will fight until the bitter end). And in this simplistic trilateral world (have fun gaming the yuan), the strength of any one of the trio in the dollar-yen-euro triangle results in implicit weakness of the other two. And vice versa. Yet aside from major broker-dealers who are axed in a given equity direction and thus have all the incentive to impact underlying currencies, is it possible that specific governments may manipulate currency strength via central bank positioning? Why yes.
Site Policy Updates
Submitted by Marla Singer on 07/18/2009 - 16:33We've updated our disclaimer, our privacy policy and our (non)policy on conflicts / full disclosure. You should take a look. Also, if you like knowing whenever we make changes, you can subscribe to those listings.
Dollar And Yen Fall On Risk Seeking Trend
Submitted by Cornelius on 07/18/2009 - 15:41The recent fall in the dollar and yen are yet another indicator of investors moving to risk assets. What does this mean for further dollar/yen weakness?
State Street On Liquidity Black Holes
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/18/2009 - 14:45Liquidity, as frequent readers know, is a fascinating topic to Zero Hedge. Liquidity black holes, as one would imagine, is doulby so. However, when a firm like State Street, which is at the heart of the multi-trillion dollar stock lending endoskeleton of the market discusses both of these concepts, one must pay attention. The below report is a State Street presentation from 2003 discussing what happens in those episodes when liquidity disappears and how that impairs all other axes of proper market function.
Saturday Readings
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/18/2009 - 13:26Modern Banking Explained Or The Importance Of Saving Money
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/18/2009 - 10:25Missed this the first time around, but it explains pretty well what modern banking means for the retail investor and why it is oh so critical to save, save, save.
The Internet Sells No Hope... Yet
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/18/2009 - 10:07
No downward inflection points on the horizon in this set of primary data (here and here). Then again, we did not yet run it through the CNBC filter.
Dark Pools And Karl Denninger
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/18/2009 - 09:34No direct correlation between the two, but a couple of good videos to start off your morning: Denninger on Kudlow - ever wondered what a bear in a Pamplona stampede looks like, here is your chance - this proves again why the Brady Bunch talking head box format is the most useless medium to convey any sort of informative message (but works miracles for those Mercedes commercial CPMs). And also a much more informative piece on Dark Pools.
Guest Post: Supply Side Economics – How Is Gold Going to Fare This Year?
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/17/2009 - 20:47Gold started the summer doldrums looking strong and has retreated since, but what are its prospects for the rest of the year and beyond? That will largely be determined by the interplay between supply and demand; let’s take a look at the supply side.
Guest Post: The Past Week From A Lindsay Model Perspective
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 07/17/2009 - 20:36Banking analyst Meredith Whitney made a bullish “trading” call for the financial sector over the weekend,
on the premise that the govt had driven down the cost of capital so low for the banksters that they had
made it easy for them to make money and ramp up their depleted tangible book values. Whitney’s call
alone drove the stock market up 4% on Monday July 13 from its overnight lows. By Wednesday, the stock
market had round-tripped and taken out its previous month high and was up 8% from its intraweek lows.




