Tyler Durden's picture

S&P Drops 4th Week In A Row - Worst Streak In Over 3 Years

Despite a Bullard-bullshit-driven rampalicious surge in the last 36 hours, this is the first weekly close below the 200DMA for the S&P 500 in 2 years and longest losing streak since August 2011. Today was the best day of the year for the Dow Industrials and 4th up-day in a row for the Transports (which ended the week up 3%) as the major indices saw significant divergence on the week. The USDollar closed lower for the 2nd week in a row with EUR strength the main driver. Treasury yields ended the week remarkably stable (30Y -3bps, 5Y -11bps) up 30-40bps above intraday lows on Wednesday. Despite USD weakness, only gold managed gains in the commodity complex. Oil bounced off $80 but ended the week down 3.2% (around $82). VIX was slammed lower at the open today, closing -3 at 22 (+1 on the week).



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Friday Humor: Forget QE4, Presenting QE5



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The 10 Things That Will Determine The Path Of Global Markets For The Rest Of 2014

Despite the 'sound and fury' from various Fed-Heads, the world - according to Deutsche Bank - faces 10 significant factors that will (one way or another) drive markets for the remainder of the year...



Tyler Durden's picture

Yellen Translated: "Let Them Eat Cake"

In essence, despite a zero interest rate policy that mainly helps the wealthy, struggling families with falling incomes ought to take steps to accumulate "considerable assets," as retirees take part-time jobs to make ends meet. Let them eat cake, indeed.



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Peak Ebola? Even Goldman Is Now Warning About The Ebola Fear Factor

News about the spread of the Ebola virus has been an increasing focus for market participants in recent days. Despite rising media coverage, Ebola seems to have had little discernible effect on consumer sentiment to date. However, as Goldman Sachs notes, the "fear factor" associated with Ebola appears more significant than in past instances of pandemic concern. While expert opinion sees the likelihood of a significant outbreak of Ebola in the US as very low, it is likely any negative macroeconomic consequences are most likely to be transmitted through fear or risk-aversion channels.



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How To Recognize Them: A Visual History Of The Most Popular Market Tops And Bottoms

Few are the market makers that make money no matter what the market does (especially since HFT firms, long since exposed for merely frontrunning big order blocks instead of providing liquidity, are now disappearing at an accelerating pace), and there are those who, rigged casino analogies notwithstanding, still want to place their money in the market betting on either more upside or downside. For their benefit a few days ago we posted "The "Crazy Ivan" Playbook: How To Time A Near-Term Market Bottom" however, we realize that most people are visual learners, so for them, here is the Investor Business Daily's compendium of the most notable market tops and bottoms in recent market history.



Tyler Durden's picture

Chart Of The Day: Bullard Bulls#*t

Welcome to the Dow-Data-DependentTM Fed. Because what a difference 1,100 Dow points makes!



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Calling The Fed's Bluff

If U.S. stocks have stabilized – granted, a big 'IF' - you can thank the fact that markets don’t believe the Federal Reserve’s outlook on interest rates. Bad news will keep the doves “Fed” (yes, a pun…  it’s Friday) and the hawks at bay. A spate of good U.S. news while the rest of the developed world slows is the worst potential outcome in this narrative.



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Officials Responding To "Possible Ebola Situation" Near Pentagon

Arlington County Fire Department and Fairfax County HAZMAT Teams are on the scene after a woman - alleged to have recently traveled from West Africa - fell ill and started vomiting in The Pentagon parking lot this morning. Arlington Public Health has activated its Emergency Operations Center to manage the incident.

WOMAN WHO VOMITED IN PENTAGON PARKING LOT VISITED LIBERIA TWO WEEKS AGO -- FOX CITING DEFENSE SOURCE



Tyler Durden's picture

FBI To America: "Let Us Spy On You"

"If you like your phone secretly spied on, you can keep it," appears to be the message from the FBI. As Bloomberg reports, FBI Director James Comey said yesterday that companies like Apple and Google should be required to build surveillance capabilities into their products to help law enforcement with their probes, adding "if the challenges of real time data interception threatened to leave us in the dark, encryption threatens to lead us all to a very dark place."



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Why Nations (And Organizations) Fail: Self-Serving Elites

For those who doubt that America is ruled by a narrow elite: three charts.



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And The Market Breaks Again...



RANSquawk Video's picture

RANsquawk Weekly Wrap - 17th October 2014



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Dow Surges 400 Points After Fed's Bullard Prevents Plunge With QE4 Bluff

It never gets old... if this sell-off was triggered by a realization that the consumer is truly depressed (retail sales) and the Fed is almost done, then the face-ripping rally (notably on weak volume) of the last 24+ hours is the ugly truth that the 'market' is always and everyday a function of central-bank bullshit. Since Bullard's "QE4" comment (strengthened by random headlines on Yellen's "economic confidence" and ECB Coeure's "QE any minute" comment), the Dow is up 400 points, S&P up 70, and Trannies up 3.5%. Small Caps are now up 3.5% on the week and 30Y Treasury yields only -2.5bps on the week.



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Handelsblatt: "Four German Banks On The Brink"

Several days ago we were confused why, out of the blue, a €1 billion loan BWIC appeared that was dumping German non-performing loans. After all, the whole point of the European "recovery" fable to date has been to deflect all the attention from the "pristine" German banks, up to an including world-record derivatives juggernaut Deutsche Bank,  and to focus on Greece and other insolvent peripheral European nation. Earlier today, German Handelsblatt provided an answer, when it reported that "four German banks are on the brink", i.e., four banks of which three are known, HSH Nordbank, IKB and MunchenerHyp, will likely fail the ECB's stress test whose results are due to be announced next Friday.



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