Doctor Copper's Getting Clubbed

When Copper was soaring (2 weeks ago) it 'proved' that China's debt binge had worked and that Trumpian reflation was going to secure global economic growth going forward. Now that Dr.Copper is collapsing - we are not hearing so much about the industrial metal's economic forecasting prowess...

Oil To $70? Or Down To $30?

Oil price forecasts are always all over the map, but the exceptional disparity between some projections for 2017 is pretty stunning.

Market Sours On Tesla's "Phantom" Beat, Stock Slides

Tesla shares have quickly given up all gains from the better-than-expected earnings as the sell-side awaits more clarity on the cost and capital raise plans. One analyst specifically took aim at the fourth quarter results, calling out the beat as "phantom" given the exclusion of the SolarCity acquisition from consensus estimates.

Bundesbank Prepares For Record Losses Once ECB Starts Hiking Rates

Germany's central bank reported its smallest profit in more than a decade in 2016 after setting aside a record amount of provisions against future losses on the bonds it is buying as part of the ECB's stimulus programme, its annual report showed on Thursday. "It is fair to ask ... when we can take our foot off the monetary policy pedal," Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann said.

Fed's National Activity Index Drops In January

Despite all the exuberant 'soft' survey data, The Fed's National Activity Index dropped in January and missed expectations as 49 of the 85 subcomponents deteriorated.

French Yields Tumble To 1-Month Lows After Macron Alliance

While bookmakers' odds are unchanged for a Le Pen victory, French bond yields have tumbled to one-month lows as the prospect of a centrist alliance in the country’s presidential election eased market anxiety that far-right candidate Marine Le Pen will win.

Bitcoin Up 10 Days In A Row - Surges To Record High

As the dollar drops, and fears over US trade action may exaggerate capital outflows in China, Bitcoin has renewed its rally post-Golden Week to new record highs. The virtual currency is up 10 days in a row as we noted previously that the Chinese have discovered a workaround for the PBOC's crackdown on Bitcoin exchanges.

Gold Spikes As Dollar Dumps After Mnuchin Comments

Confirming President Trump's concerns about US national debt levels, and that new policies will likely have limited impact in 2017, Treasury Secretary Mnuchin's comments this morning have sparked buying in bonds, bullion, and marginally in stocks as the dollar gets monkey-hammered.

Trump Meets With Top CEOs To Brainstorm "Jump-Starting" US Economy, Creating Jobs

Today at 10:30am, president Trump will summon some of America’s most prominent corporate executives to the White House Thursday, in a roundtable brainstorming session whose purpose is to come up with policy ideas meant to facilitate trade and taxes, boost job creation and generally jump-start the US economy.

ValueAct's Jeff Ubben Is Selling On "Overextended Valuations", Builds $3 Billion Cash Pile

Speaking at a Reuters activist conference, ValueAct's Jeffrey Ubben, said that his firm had been taking money out of the capital markets as valuations have become overextended, leaving it with $3 billion in cash.   "I really feel that the large-cap activist plays are very treacherous with high PEs (price-to-earnings) and not a lot of growth."

 

Frontrunning: February 23

  • Trump to Brainstorm on Job Policies With Corporate CEOs (BBG)
  • Border-Adjustment Tax Divides Energy Sector (WSJ)
  • French Bonds Rally After Macron Boosts Presidential Campaign (BBG)
  • Boeing Fighter Jet, Feared Dead, Gets New Life From Trump Tweets (BBG)
  • Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin Sees Tax Overhaul by August (WSJ)
  • Why Mexico Is Trump’s First Line of Defense on Immigration (BBG)