Housing Starts Beat On Jump In Rental Units, Single-Family Permits Rise To Highest Since 2007

Continuing the trend of strong economic data, housing starts rose more than expected in December, hitting 1.226K in December, driven by a jump in mult-family units. Alternatively, housing permits declined modestly as new multi-family units dipped to the lowest since March, however offset by the highest single-family permits number since the financial crisis.

Initial Claims Crash To 44 Year Lows But Over 700,000 More People Are On Jobless Benefits Since Trump Was Elected

1.74mm people were 'continuing' to claim jobless benefits before Donald Trump was elected. In a mysterious fluke of statistical smoke and mirrors, that marked the absolute trough in the data series - showing just how awesome the economy was for Hillbama. Last week's 2.46mm print for continuing claims suggests (while seasonal aspects are at play), over 700,000 more people are now claiming unemployment benefits than before Trump was elected.

Will 'Dull Draghi' Talk Up Downside Risks? - ECB Press Conference Live Feed

With Yellen hell-bent on tightening into Trump's fiscal stimulus, and inflationary impulses popping up all around the world, ECB president Mario Draghi better note some serious downside looming (after leaving rates/taper unchanged) that opens the door to his un-tapering or the stagflationary pressures building everywhere willcome back to bite his precious asset prices.

ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Keeps QE At €60BN But May Revise It Higher Or Lower

While keeping rates and its QE program unchanged (at €60bn/month), the ECB warned that "if the outlook becomes less favourable, or if financial conditions become inconsistent with further progress towards a sustained adjustment in the path of inflation, the Governing Council stands ready to increase the programme in terms of size and/or duration."

Frontrunning: January 19

  • Yellen speech bolsters dollar after Trump's mixed messages (Reuters)
  • Draghi Set to Face Questions on ECB Bond Purchases (WSJ)
  • Davos CEOs 'go local' on supply chain in Trump era (Reuters)
  • Oil and Trump: Russians full of optimism (Reuters)
  • Biggest Opposition Party Ready to Topple Swedish Government (BBG)
  • The Mortgage Market’s $1 Trillion Pocket of Worry (WSJ)

Global Stocks Dip; Bond Yields, Dollar Rise After Yellen's Rate Guidance; All Eyes On Draghi

European and Asian shares, and S&P futures slipped, while government bond yields jumped to multi-week highs on Thursday after Yellen's hawkish speech. Oil rose after API reported a drop in crude inventories. The euro rebounded as investors look to Mario Draghi to address rising European inflation that make the ECB's stimulative policies look increasingly out of sync.

What Can Americans Learn from Chinese Government Propaganda?

We live in a world like no other in human history. We’re mercilessly bombarded by intense and sophisticated propaganda virtually 24/7, whether it be from government officials, media outlets or multi-national corporations with endless budgets. The barrage is relentless, and unless you feel like ditching it all and moving into a cave, pretty much inescapable. For those of us dedicated to living on the outside, the only offense is a good defense, and a good defense requires understanding.

The 'Soda Police' Just Learned A Valuable Lesson About Taxes

"I’m hoping that if leftists see how tax hikes are “successful” in discouraging things that they think are bad (such as consumers buying sugary soda or foreigners buying property), then maybe they’ll realize it’s not such a good idea to tax – and therefore discourage – things that everyone presumably agrees are desirable (such as work, saving, investment, and entrepreneurship)."

A Foreign Nation Did Interfere In A US Election...In 1980

It was October and the Democratic Party’s presidential candidate was faltering in the polls after the Democratic National Convention. The Republican Party’s presidential candidate began negotiating with a foreign government to cook up a scheme to embarrass the Democratic candidate. The scheme was successful and the Democratic candidate went on to lose the election to a Republican candidate who was feared by many for his unorthodox stance on several domestic and foreign issues...

Nothing Is Real: When Reality TV Programming Masquerades As Politics

"There are two ways by which the spirit of a culture may be shriveled. In the first - the Orwellian - culture becomes a prison. In the second - the Huxleyan - culture becomes a burlesque." Indeed, Donald Trump may be the smartest move yet by the powers-that-be to keep the citizenry divided and at each other’s throats, because as long as we’re busy fighting each other, we’ll never manage to present a unified front against tyranny in any form.

DOJ Ordered To Preserve Gmail Records Of Clinton-Colluding Assistant AG Peter Kadzik

A Judicial Watch lawsuit seeking records related to potential collusion between the Justice Department and Hillary Clinton operatives during her email investigation has resulted in a federal judge issuing a rare order instructing the DOJ to preserve the Gmail records of the now infamous Assistant Attorney General Peter Kadzik.

China On Alert For "Death Of Night" Trump Tweets

"There are some really unexpected things happening with the Trump administration and there are no doubt a lot more people paying attention to Twitter at 2am in the night... We are operating in a very different environment where markets are reacting and adapting to changes that have not been seen for a good decade or more."

Lockheed Agrees To Cut F-35 Price Below $100 Million In Latest Victory For Trump

Less than a month after president-elect Trump first tweeted about the F-35's high costs, and a week after he brought up the F-35 in his first press conference, Reuters reports that The U.S. Department of Defense and Lockheed Martin are close to deal for a contract worth almost $9 billion as negotiations are poised to bring the price per F-35 below $100 million for the first time.