• Marc To Market
    08/29/2015 - 10:18
    Dollar recovered from the exaggerated panic at the start of last week.  Outlook is still constructive.  Here is an overview of the technical condition of currencies, bonds, oil , and S&...

Tyler Durden's picture

Behold: A Chinese Liquidity Crunch

What do you do when daily open FX interventions are sucking liquidity from the system but you need to save your RRR cuts for emergencies? This...



Tyler Durden's picture

A Bottom, But Not THE Bottom

With prices and valuations elevated, and earnings deteriorating, the backdrop for a continued "ripping bull-market" is at risk. The problem for the "perma-bulls" is that the deflationary backwash, combined with already weak economic fundamentals, continues to erode the ability for earnings to meet elevated future expectations. It is likely earnings will continue to disappoint in the quarters ahead and put further downward pressure on asset prices to close the current gap between "financial fantasy" and "economic realities."



Tyler Durden's picture

Freeport-McMoRan Up Nearly 50% Today After Carl Icahn Goes Activist, Announces 8.5% Stake

Earlier today FCX announced that in order to save its business, it would lay off 10% of its employees, and that it now expects $4 billion in capital expenditures for 2016, down from a prior estimate of $5.6 billion. Its 2015 capital expenditure budget currently stands at $6.3 billion. The resultant surge in the company, which exploded by 30% in the regular hours, made many wonder if there wasn't more to the story. The answer is: yes, there was, and moments ago none other than Carl Icahn announced an 88 million, or 8.46% stake in the copper miner, in a 13D which said that said the company was "undervalued" and that Icahn is now seeking a board seat.



Tyler Durden's picture

Caught On Tape - Chinese Investors This Week

Sometimes the surveillance state offers up a small victory... as we see Chinese citizens in their native environs re-enacting their emotions this week...



Tyler Durden's picture

Margin Calls Mount On Loans Against Stock Portfolios Used To Buy Homes, Boats, "Pretty Much Everything"

 

"In a securities-based loan, the customer pledges all or part of a portfolio of stocks, bonds, mutual funds and/or other securities as collateral. But unlike traditional margin loans, in which the client uses the credit to buy more securities, the borrowing is for other purchases such as real estate, a boat or education..." The result was "dangerously high margin balances,' - the products became “the vehicle of choice for investors looking to get cash for anything.” Mr. Sica and others say the products were aggressively marketed to investors by banks and brokerages.

 



Tyler Durden's picture

Air Conditioner Failure At CenturyLink Data Center Takes ITG Dark Pool Offline

NEW JERSEY DATA CENTER WHERE ITG OPERATES HAS HVAC ISSUE
ITG SHUTDOWN INCLUDES POSIT DARK POOL
ITG SAYS IT WON'T BE TRADING FOR REMAINDER OF DAY



Tyler Durden's picture

Art Collectors Pawn Masterpieces To Meet Market Rout Margin Calls

“Ten years ago no one in the art market paid close attention to these corrections in the stock market. Now clients respond immediately."



Tyler Durden's picture

VIX ETF Surges After Serious Short Squeeze For 5th Day In A Row

That's what happens Larry when you have 64.08mm shares short against 59.5mm shares outstanding... and traders read this (and the VIX is stuck in backwardation).



Tyler Durden's picture

"It's Just A Correction!"

It's healthy... good for you... like broccoli?



Tyler Durden's picture

Rutgers University Warns Students - "There Is No Such Thing As Free Speech"

"Things have changed since I started teaching. The vibe is different. I wish there were a less blunt way to put this, but my students sometimes scare me - particularly the liberal ones....The idea that institutions must acknowledge wrongdoing is central to academic work."

BINGO. This is so essential to a functioning, ethical society, and is something that never happens in modern America. Ever.



Tyler Durden's picture

JPM Head Quant Warns Second Market Crash May Be Imminent: Violent Selling Could Return On Thursday

"Price insensitive" flows are starting to materialize, and our goal is to estimate their likely size and timing. These technical flows are determined by algorithms and risk limits, and can hence push the market away from fundamentals.  The obvious risk is if these technical flows outsize fundamental buyers. In the current environment of low liquidity, they may cause a market crash such as the one we saw at the US market open on Mondaay"



Tyler Durden's picture

Who Will Be The Bagholders This Time Around?

Anyone betting China's GDP is really expanding at 7% and the U.S. economy will grow by 3.7% next quarter is angling to be a bagholder. Once global assets roll over for good, it's important to recall that somebody owns these assets all the way down. These owners are called bagholders, as in "left holding the bag." Those running the rigged casino have to select the bagholders in advance, lest some fat-cat cronies inadvertently get stuck with losses.



Tyler Durden's picture

Chinese Man Jumps From 17th Floor In First Stock Market Casualty

It appears the collapse of China's stock market has officially taken its first victim. While we have heard from desperate farmers who lost everything after realizing that making money in stocks is not easier than farmwork, RT reports that a 57-year-old man has allegedly committed suicide in Shenyang, the largest city in Liaoning Province, by jumping off the 17th floor of a building with a black briefcase "full of stock-related materials," local press reported.



Tyler Durden's picture

Media Blackout: Canada Plans To Dump Nuclear Waste Less Than Mile From US Border

Over the last few years, the United States has not had the best track record with Deep Geologic Repositories (DGR) for nuclear waste. In February of 2014, the U.S.’ DGR, known as the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP), had two separate incidents that compromised the integrity of the project by releasing airborne radioactive contamination. While most U.S. citizens were relatively unaffected by the events, our Canadian neighbors have proposed a plan to construct a DGR 0.6 miles from America’s largest source of fresh water, the Great Lakes — and the U.S. State Department is remaining relatively uninvolved.



Tyler Durden's picture

No Weakness Here : 7 Year Auction Stops Through, Highest Bid To Cover Since November

If the last two auctions, the 2 and 5 Year, were both wildly disappointing and confirmed what we had said that foreign central banks are no longer a strong demand presence in the short-end, today's 7 Year was a welcome surprise to anyone who is holding on to Treasury longs. Moments ago the 7 Year When Issued was trading at 1.939%, so when the 1.930% high yield print hit the tape, longs everywhere collectively exhaled in approval observing the 0.9 bps stop through.  The internals were likewise strong, with the Bid to Cover of 2.526 highest since November's 2.635, as Indirects kept their take down flat, absorbing 50.84% of the auction as Directs took down 14.15%, the highest since January, leaving 35.00% to the Dealers.



Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!