White House Confirms "Cohn Intends To Remain In Position"

The White House has issued a statement confirming that "Gary Cohn intends to remain in position as NEC Director." The only problem is - the market is ignoring it. Presumably, the market now believes it is just a matter of time...

"A Volatile Autumn": Buckled Up For Structured Criticality

Structured criticality is a property of complex systems in which small events may trigger larger events due to subtle interdependencies between elements. This often gives rise to a form of stratified chaos where the general behavior of the system can be modeled on one scale while smaller- and larger-scale behaviors remain unpredictable.

US Manufacturing Drops In July As Auto Production Slumps

Industrial Production, leaked early, rose just 0.2% MoM in July, missing expectations and slowing from last month's 0.4% gain. Manufacturing production actually shrank (-0.1%) hurt by a 3.6% plunge in motor vehicle production.

China Blames U.S. For Collapse In "Military Trust"

"...wrong actions on the Taiwan issue, the United States deploying the THAAD system around China, U.S. ships and aircraft's activities in the South China Sea, the United States close-in surveillance in the sea and air near China have had a large, negative influence on bilateral military ties and mutual trust,"

Frontrunning: August 17

  • Trump policy doubts, weak inflation to weigh on Wall Street (Reuters)
  • Trump Remarks on Violent Rally Rattle Aides, Risk Agenda (WSJ)
  • Trump blasts Republican senators over Charlottesville criticism (Reuters)
  • Trump's crisis spurs talk of White House departures (Reuters)
  • Apple denounces neo-Nazis as Spotify bans ‘white power’ tracks (Guardian)

The Great Disconnect: Markets Vs. Economy

"While the Fed keeps promising with each passing year the economy will come roaring back to life, the reality has been that all the stimulus and financial support can’t put the broken financial transmission system back together again. Eventually, the current disconnect between the economy and the markets will merge. My bet is that such a convergence is not likely to be a pleasant one."

Wal-Mart Slides, Free Cash Flow Fails To Cover Dividends And Buybacks

Despite reporting strong earnings which beat on both the top and bottom line in today's most anticipated earnings report, Walmart stock is down 3%, sliding to the lowest level since late July after it provided full year EPS guidance whose midpoint was below Wall Street expectations.

Virginia Governor Changes Stance: Confederate Monuments "A Barrier To Progress"

Virginia Governor Terry McAuliffe (D) has added his name to a growing list of public officials in state governments encouraging the removal of Confederate statues and memorials throughout the South. Late in the day on Wednesday McAuliffe released an official statement saying monuments of Confederate leaders have now become "flashpoints for hatred, division and violence."

S&P Futures, Euro, Stocks Fall After Fed's Low Inflation Warning

S&P futures, European stocks and bond yields all fell in early trade alongside oil and the euro after the latest Fed minutes expressed concern over weak U.S. inflation, while Asian equities rose overnight ahead of WalMart earnings and the latest ECB minutes

Europe: Migrant Crisis Reaches Spain

Spain is on track to overtake Greece as the second-biggest gateway for migrants entering Europe by sea. The sudden surge in migration to Spain comes amid a crackdown on human smuggling along the Libya-Italy sea route, currently the main migrant point of entry to Europe.

Why Was This 'Crowd Hire' Company Recruiting $25 An Hour 'Political Activists' In Charlotte Last Week?

"Crowds on Demand, a Los Angeles-based Public Relations firm specializing in innovative events, is looking for enthusiastic actors and photographers in the Charlotte, NC area to participate in our events. Our events include everything from rallies to protests...Pay will vary by event but typically is $25+ per hour plus reimbursements for gas/parking/Uber/public transit."