Investors Panic-Buy Saudi Default Protection Ahead Of Big Debt Deal

Amid expectations that The Kingdom will sell bonds as early as next month, investors are panic-buying protection against default on Saudi Arabia. The last few weeks have seen a surge in CDS notional outstanding to its highest on record even as Saudi risk has stabilized after quadrupling in the last year.

The US Real Estate Big Picture... A Thesis In Moral Hazard

Given central banks are all in and have no credible ideas (or credibility period), a NIRP driven speculative new housing bubble (for a population that is barely growing...hello China?) seems most likely.  If you haven't already, get busy front running the next moral hazard moonshot and then stay tuned.  Because as you read this, central bankers are already devising their next (even more destructive) "plan".

Madness In Mario-World: European Companies Issue Debt Simply Because The ECB Will Buy That Debt

Things are so absurd in the Eurozone that the ECB is buying private placement debt with little regard for safety. In turn, private equity companies issue debt simply because they know in advance the ECB will buy it. It’s a startling example of how the market is adapting to extremes of monetary policy, and it’s a safe conclusion the experiment will not end well.

New Home Sales Soar Most Since 2007 Driven By Southern Sales Surge

While the accuracy of the new home sales data is notorious volatile, with regular revisions wiping out both up and down-side outlier prints, moments ago the Census reported that in July, the US saw a whopping 654K new home sales, up 12.4%, from the prior month and higher by 31% from a year ago, smashing expectations of a 580K print, and a -2% decline from last month's pre-revision print of 592K (since revised lower to 582K).

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey Collapses By Most On Record

Following flash PMI's drop, another early August indicator has collapsed as Richmond Fed's manufacturing survey plunges to -11 (lowest since Jan 2013) missing expectations of +6. The plunge from July's +10 to August's -11 is the largest on record - back to 1993.

Gilts Spike After Cover Ratio In Today's 15Y+ POMO Tumbles, BOE Buys All Bonds At Premium

While last week the UK bond market breathed a sigh of relief when the BOE found more than enough willing sellers into its longest-maturity, 15Y+ repurchase, or POMO, operation, following the uncovered operation two weeks ago, today concerns have returned anew when moments ago the BOE reported that its GBP1.170 billion repurchase operation was covered "only" 1.54x, down nearly by half from last week's 2.93x, and suggesting that supply of longer-dated gilts may once again be getting scarce.

US Manufacturing Flashes "Warning Light" As New Orders, Employment Tumble

Following the eurozone's disappointing drift lower in Manufacturing PMI (and weakness in German Services), August's US preliminary manufacturing PMI printed a disasppointing 52.1 (against expectations of 52.6). Weakness in Employment (lowest in 4 months) and New Orders underpin the drop from 52.9 to 52.1 as the 2 month hope-fueled bounce has faded...

CLSA: "The Bank Of Japan Has Nationalized The Japanese Stock Market"

The Bank of Japan's near doubling of its purchases of Tokyo shares is causing investors to worry the central bank will dominate financial markets, which could lead to price distortions as it continues to grease the economy. It also prompted a CLSA analyst to tell the truth: "The BOJ is nationalizing the stock market."

What's Wrong With This Picture? (Again)

Stocks at the high of the day, Treasury yields at the low of the day, gold at the high of the day... someone is wrong or the 'QE trade' is back...

Obamacare Is Rapidly Becoming The Poster-Child For American Inequality

The best thing about Obama (from an oligarch’s perspective), is his uncanny ability to push through upward redistributive wealth policies while still maintaining a phony aura of caring about the little guy amongst so many of his apparently lobotomized supporters.

Frontrunning: August 23

  • Dollar Drops on Rate Outlook as European Stocks Rise, Oil Falls (BBG)
  • Bank of Japan's rush into stocks raises fears of market distortions (Reuters)
  • With Moderate Drinking Under Fire, Alcohol Companies Go on Offensive (WSJ)
  • Merkel Says Brexit Is U.K.’s Loss While Pledging EU Results (BBG)
  • Turkey cuts rates for sixth straight month amid ratings worries (Reuters)