• Monetary Metals
    05/02/2016 - 01:28
    The price of gold shot up this week, and silver moved proportionally. Headlines are screaming for gold to hit $10,000 or $50,000. Does this alleged new bull market have legs?

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China's Most Innovative Capital Outflow Yet: Buying Legendary Italian Football Club AC Milan

Today, we find the latest, and perhaps most innovative attempt to circumvent capital controls yet when a group of Chinese investors has offered to buy AC Milan football club, one of former Italian prime minister Silvio Berlusconi's most cherished assets. The offer values the club at around 700 million euros including debt, one of the sources said.


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Jim Bianco Warns "The Risk Of An 'Accident' Is Very High"

"Not only do the five largest financial institutions in the US have a higher concentration of assets than they did before the financial crisis but it’s the largest concentration ever. So we’ve made the too-big-to-fail-problem worse because we have bigger, more systemically important financial institutions now than we did in 2007 – and nobody seems to know what to do about it... [EU banks] are acting irrationally. They’re not acting that way because they don’t believe it or they don’t understand it. So we’re still all trying to feel around in the dark as to what this means. And that means that the chance of an accident is very high."


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"A 2015-like Market Crash In Chinese Commodities Is Inevitable"

Is Everyone Wrong On The "Causation" Of The Commodity Bubble? While it appeared 'retail' was responsible for the panic-buying chaotic volume surge in Chinese commodities, Axiom Capital Management's Gordon L Johnson points out that in fact... China Bank Special Interest Vehicles' "Bold" Commodity Speculation Is The Real Budding Black Swan


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Amid Rising Fears Of Nuclear Terrorism, Belgium Hands Out Iodine Pills To Entire Population

One month after we learned that the Brussels suicide bombers had planted hidden cameras at the home of the top Belgian nuclear official, we now learn that in a disturbing continuation of this story, the entire population of Belgium will be receiving iodine tablets, which helps to limit the effects of radiation on the body, as fears increase around the security of its nuclear power plants.


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Crude Unable To Bounce Despite Biggest Rig Count Decline In 6 Weeks

After its earlier pump and rapid dump, WTI crude is unable to bounce for now despite the biggest rig count decline in 6 weeks. The oil rig count declined by 11 to 332 - the lowest since October 2009 - tracking lagged crude prices. If the co-dependence continues we would expect to see rig counts begin to rise (or stop declining) very soon. Total US rig count dropped to 420 - a new all-time record low.


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Why Canada's Oil Industry May Never Be The Same

It is increasingly certain that the future will not be like the past. Previous downturns have been equally devastating but the primary causes eventually reversed themselves; low commodity prices recovered and damaging government policies were rescinded. This recovery will be different for a variety of reasons which will combine to cap growth, opportunity and profits, even if oil and gas prices spike. The following major changes appear permanent...


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Former McDonalds CEO Warns Minimum Wage "Will Wipe Out 1000s Of Jobs"

While this should be no surprise to any rational non-establishment-teet-suckling economist, former McDonalds' CEO Ed Rensi exclaims, in a recent Forbes Op-Ed, that "a $15 minimum wage won’t spell the end of [fast-food brands]. However it will mean wiping out thousands of entry-level opportunities for people without many other options." The $15 minimum wage demand, which translates to $30,000 a year for a full-time employee, is built upon a fundamental misunderstanding of a restaurant business (and we add simple supply and demand fundamentals) - just "do the math" Rensi rants...


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Germany Moves To Ban Refugees From Welfare; Politician Calls For "Islam Law" To Limit Influence

The initial refugee welcome in Germany is rapidly turning to rejection as the nation plan to ban EU migrants from most unemployment benefits for five years after arrival as a senior German politician has called for an "Islam law" that would limit the influence of foreign imams and prohibit the foreign financing of mosques in Germany. As The FT reports, the proposals, which are far tougher than had been expected even a few months ago, highlight the government’s concern over growing public anxiety about immigration and the related advance of the Alternative for Germany party, the most popular rightwing grouping since the second world war.


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Dow Dumps 400 Points From BoJ Shock As Gold Nears $1300

Gold first closed above $1300 on September 29th 2010, 67 months ago; and as investors' faith in Central Banks falters - with The Dow down over 400 points (and Nikkei 225 down 1700 points!) from the scene of Kuroda's Kamikaze decision, gold has soared up above $1299...


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According To The NY Fed, US Has To Grow At 3.8% In Second Half To Hit The Fed's GDP Forecast

If the NY Fed is right, what does this mean in practical terms? Simple: assuming no revisions to Q1 GDP, and assuming Q2 GDP of 0.8%, then the US would have to grow at 3.8% to hit the Fed's central tendency forecast of 2.2% GDP growth as per its latest forecast.


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Head Of Deutsche Bank "Integrity Committee" Fired Due To "Overzealousness"

Perhaps it is merely a coincidence but just weeks after Deutsche Bank became the first bank to admit to rigging the gold market (and agreeing to rat out fellow manipulators) yesterday afternoon the head of Deutsche Bank's "integrity committee" announced he would resign two years before his time, which is a polite way of saying he was fired.


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Goldman Sachs Stopped Out Of "Short Gold" Recommendation

With the Yen and Yuan surging, it appears money is greatly rotating out of US dollars and into an 'alternative' currency as Gold soars over $1290. More problematically for Goldman Sachs' Jeff Currie is his "Short Gold" recommendation just got stopped out...


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Atlanta Fed Unveils First Q2 GDP Forecast, Sees 1.8% Growth, 0.5% Below Wall Street Consensus

After being just fractionally above the official Q1 GDP print which yesterday came in at 0.5%, moments ago the Atlanta Fed unveiled its first Q2 GDP estimate which it sees at 1.8%, roughly 0.5% below the sellside average estimate of 2.3%, and just in line with the lowest forecast.


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The Fed Just Found Its Next Excuse Not To Hike Rates

As June looms, The Fed - having dropped 'some' of its global event risk language in the latest statement - is now desperate for an excuse to not hike rates (or face a total loss of credibility). Judging by Fed's Kaplan, they just found it...

*KAPLAN SAYS FED WILL WATCH U.K. POLLS ON BREXIT CLOSELY IN JUNE

Which is a problem as 'Brexit' just moved into the lead among YouGov polls.


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Is The World Getting Crazier, But We No Longer Notice?

The banquet of consequences is about to be served.


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