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European Sovereign Risk Soars As Bank Contagion Spreads

The ECB's "whatever it takes" ponzi strategy of keeping the dream alive in Europe's financial system has finally been caught as rapid collapse in the banking system is contagiously spreading to peripheral sovereigns once again. Portugal risk spreads are up 120bps in the last 3 weeks and Spain and Italy are soaring over 35 and 50bps respectively as the almost self-dealing nature of banks buying "risk-free" EU bonds and repoing for cash via The ECB comes home to roost...


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Deutsche Bank Selling Resumes After CEO Assures Employees Bank Is "Absolutely Rock Solid"

"You can tell them that Deutsche Bank remains absolutely rock-solid, given our strong capital and risk position. On Monday, we took advantage of this strength to reassure the market of our capacity and commitment to pay coupons to investors who hold our Additional Tier 1 capital. This type of instrument has been the subject of recent market concern."

Or, said otherwise, "Deutsche Bank is fine." And the selling has resumed...


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Race To Bottom Enters Final Lap: ECB Will Cut To -0.7% In June, JPM Predicts

We now expect the March package to include a larger deposit rate cut of 20bp, taking it to -0.5%
We now expect another package after that, possibly as early as June
We expect this second package to take the deposit rate to -0.7% and to extent QE until end-2017
Our forecast change is motivated by risk management amidst low inflation, rather than a macro forecast change


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Frontrunning: February 9

  • Investors dump stocks (Reuters)
  • Global Bond Rally Near `Panic' Level With Japan Yield Below Zero (BBG)
  • Global Growth Fears Hit Bank Stocks (WSJ)
  • GOP Race for Second in New Hampshire Intensifies (WSJ)
  • N.H. Primary: Where Each 2016 Candidate Needs to Place to Build Momentum (WSJ)

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Nine Dead, Hundreds Injured As German Trains Collide Head On

"We need to find out what happened, if the cause of the crash was based on the technology or human failure. This is a huge shock."


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Global Markets Stunned By Biggest Japan Crash Since 2013; All Eyes On Deutsche Bank

With China offline for the rest of the week, global markets have found a new Asian bogeyman in the face of Japan which as reported last night saw its markets crash, and the Yen soar, showing that less than 2 weeks after the BOJ unveiled NIRP, yet another central bank has lost control.


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"The Market Knows It's Over" Jim Rogers Warns "We're All Going To Suffer"

"...investors around the world are realizing that the jig is up... We’re all going to suffer… Central Banks will panic but the market knows this is over and we’re not going to play this game anymore."


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After Crashing, Deutsche Bank Is Forced To Issue Statement Defending Its Liquidity

"Today Deutsche Bank published updated information related to its 2016 and 2017 payment capacity for Additional Tier 1 (AT1) coupons based on preliminary and unaudited figures.   The 2016 payment capacity is estimated to be approximately EUR 1 billion, sufficient to pay AT1 coupons of approximately EUR 0.35 billion on 30 April 2016."


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Japan In Turmoil: Stocks, USDJPY, Bond Yields Collapse

The total and utter failure of The BoJ continues to accelerate...


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Dangerous Speech: Would The Founders Be Considered Domestic Extremists Today?

Not only has free speech become a four-letter word - profane, obscene, uncouth, not to be uttered in so-called public places - but in more and more cases, the government deems free speech to be downright dangerous and in some instances illegal. Yet by allowing the government to whittle away at cherished First Amendment freedoms - which form the backbone of the Bill of Rights - we have evolved into a society that would not only be abhorrent to the founders of this country but would be hostile to the words they used to birth this nation.


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"People In The Market For Many, Many Years Have Been Replaced By An Algorithm"

“I don’t think there’s a whole lot from my generation that are still in the industry"..."The business has to be downsized,” said Keith Underwood, a foreign-exchange consultant who ended a 25-year trading career, including at Lloyds Banking Group Plc, in 2014. But it’s not easy “for people who have been in a market for many, many years to see that they’ve been replaced by an algorithm.”


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"I Was Far Too Bullish": Jeremy Siegel Admits Things Are Really, Really Bad Out There

"I was far too bullish last December. Those deflationary forces ... from China, from commodities are really, in the presence of debt that so many of these energy and other companies have, ... causing the market turmoil right now.”


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Guest Post: How To Defeat Your Government

Lies are always misrepresentations of reality, and reality always wins. The US government rests on an inherently unstable foundation of whoppers - big lies so huge they would make big lie proponent Adolf Hitler blush. The first trick to defeating an enemy is to ascertain its biggest weaknesses and the lies, which it feeds itself, flowing from those weaknesses.


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This Is What Central Bank Failure Looks Like

From omnipotence to impotence... Peter Pan(ic) is here...


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Abenomics Fails Miserably As Japan's Workers "Get Nothing" In 2015

Abenomics has failed. That's just all there is to it. We'll now sit back and wait for the day when Abe and Kuroda finally take a long bow and fall (figuratively speaking we hope) on their swords.  


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