Empire Fed Crashes At Fastest Pace "Since Lehman"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/15/2016 - 08:42
Against hope-strewnm expectations of a bounce from -4.6 to -4, Empire Fed printed a disastrous -19.37 - the largest miss on record. New orders collapsed, shipments plunged, and employees and workweek continue to contract. Forward-looking employment expectations also plunged. The last time Empire Fed crashed to these levels was the immediate aftermath of the Lehman bankuptcy and the global financial crisis and the peak of the recession in 2001... but we are sure this is just transitory.
China Bank Lending Slows Dramatically, Confirming Concerns About Soaring Bad Loans
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/15/2016 - 08:21
In the latest Chinese domestic financing report released by the PBOC last night, there were two divergent themes: on one hand bank loans grew far less than the expected 700Bn yuan; on the other hand total social financing soared to 1.82 trillion yuan, smashing forecasts of a 1.15 trillion increase, and the highest since June. As noted last night, this may have been the catalyst that spooked the markets, because as Bloomberg confirms, "the data shows companies are turning to alternative sources for credit given banks’ reluctance to lend."
Bullard Bounce Erased As Crude Crashes Back Below $30
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/15/2016 - 08:13
Dow futures are now over 400 points off the Bullard Bounce highs as it appears The Fed's ability to convince the world it will save it once again is fading. Thanks to deflation-inspiring credit growth in China (yes, you read that right) and Kuroda's implied "we are done for now" comments, growth scares have spread across every asset class with crude and copper clubbed, bonds bid, and stocks tumbling...
Frontrunning: January 15
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/15/2016 - 07:45- Crude sinks 4 percent as market braces for more Iranian oil (Reuters)
- Plunge in crude oil prices send stock futures sliding (Reuters)
- Oil Slides, Deepening Gloom in Stocks as Bond Buyers Celebrate (BBG)
- China Stocks Enter Bear Market, Erasing Gains From State Rescue (BBG)
- Friendly no more: Trump, Cruz erupt in bitter fight at Republican debate (Reuters)
- Dollar in Best Run Since July on Haven Bid Even as Fed Odds Fall (BBG)
Global Risk Off: China Reenters Bear Market, Oil Tumbles Under $30; Global Stocks, US Futures Gutted
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/15/2016 - 06:57
Yesterday, when looking at the market's "Bullard 2.0" moment, which in many ways was a carbon copy of the market's response to Bullard's "QE4" comments from October 17, 2014 until just a few minutes before the market close when suddenly selling pressure appeared, we said that either the S&P would soar - as it did in 2014 - hitting all time highs just a few months later, or the "Fed is now shooting VWAP blanks." Judging by what has happened since, in what may come as a very unpleasant surprise to the "the market is very oversold" bulls, it appears to have been the latter.
Dow Dumps 250Pts, Nikkei Plunges 500Pts After China Credit Concerns, Kuroda Comment
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/15/2016 - 01:07
It appears the world is ganging up on The Fed as following China's recent clear and present threat should the USD strengthen, BoJ's Kuroda warned that further QQE might threaten the bank's finances - implicitly demanding moar from Yellen because he knows he's out of bullets. Add to that the surge in China credit which merely extends the life of already zombified firms, thus spreading more deflationary stress to the world and stocks from China (SHCOMP -3%), Japan (NKY -500) to US (Dow -280 points from Bullard Bounce highs) are tumbling.
How Switzerland Hopes To Prevent Refugee Sex Attacks: With This Cartoon
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/14/2016 - 23:05
Financial Collapse Leads To War
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/14/2016 - 22:10
A financial oligarchy has seized control of the country, and, since it can't control its own appetites, is running it into the ground. Thus, it would make sense for it to have some sort of back-up plan for when the whole financial house of cards falls apart. Ideally, this plan would effectively put down any chance of revolt of the downtrodden masses, and allow the oligarchy to maintain security and hold onto its wealth. Peacetime is fine for as long as it can placate the populace with bread and circuses, but when a financial calamity causes the economy to crater and bread and circuses turn scarce, a handy fallback is war.
"I Don't Have Faith Anymore": Frustrated Chinese Shun Stocks For Safety Of Dollars, Gold
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/14/2016 - 21:40
It's been a roller coaster year for China's legions of semi-literate day traders who have seen the heights of feast and the depths of famine with Chinese equities over the past 12 months. Now, in the wake of more volatility, many Chinese retail investors are throwing in the towel.
Hillary's Lead Disintegrates: She Is Now Doing Worse Than In 2008, As Trump Surges
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/14/2016 - 21:11
Just when Hillary Clinton thought her political fiascoes would be the worst of her ongoing troubles as she glides through the Democrat primaries, and then takes on Trump sure to find a Warren Buffett-funded victory, suddenly everything appears to have gone wrong in what is most important to the scandal-ridden former Secretary of State and presidential contender: her second - and final - campaign for president.
Ron Paul Warns: "Watch The Petrodollar"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/14/2016 - 21:10
"The chaos that one day will ensue from our 35-year experiment with worldwide fiat money will require a return to money of real value. We will know that day is approaching when oil-producing countries demand gold, or its equivalent, for their oil rather than dollars or euros. The sooner the better."
Alberta Freezes Government Salaries As Canada's Oil Patch Enters Second Year Of Recession
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/14/2016 - 20:46
"The Alberta Public Service is made up of hard working and dedicated women and men who do valuable work each and every day in the service of Albertans. However, to maintain stability and protect jobs within the public service, we must deal with the economic realities we’re facing.”
Shanghai Composite Opens Under 3,000 As Onshore Yuan Practically Unchanged For Fourth Day
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/14/2016 - 20:45
Having made its warning to the Fed loud and clear ("if you hike or otherwise push the USD any higher, we will crush your markets by devaluing the Yuan against everyone but mostly the USD"), the PBOC continued the fragile ceasefure between the world's two most powerful central banks, when moments ago it kept the onshore Yuan virtually unchaged, by weakening today's fixing by 0.03% to 6.5637. However, as can be seen on the chart below, this has barely even registered.
"Willing Idiots" & Geopolitical Instability
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/14/2016 - 20:00
Periods of transition between “rising powers” and “declining powers” have been described in terms of the so-called Thucydides Trap, when fear within a static or declining power (historically, Athens) of a rising power (historically, Sparta) makes war seemingly inevitable. The phenomenon today applies not only to the China-U.S. dynamic - as has been widely remarked - but to the Middle Eastern imbalance, the “north-south” imbalance, and so on. Accompanying this sliding vertical scale of strategic power balance is the sliding horizontal scale of population volatility and movement, characterized by the breakdown of the Westphalian nation-state concept.
