• Steve H. Hanke
    02/11/2016 - 16:08
    The burgeoning literature contains a great deal of hype, which validates the 95% Rule: 95% of what is written about economics and finance is either wrong or irrelevant.

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European Banks Soar On Rumor ECB May Monetize Bank Stocks; Japan Crash Continues

While algos patiently await the only thing that matters for US stocks today which is Janet Yellen's testimony before Congress. expected to be released at 8:30 am (and previewed here), the rest of the world this morning is a hot mess of schizophrenic highs and lows.


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"Investors Have Completely Lost Faith In Deutsche Bank" A Top 10 Shareholder Admits

After a day of "rock solid" Lehman-isms, emergency bond buyback plans, and a stock price still unable to close green, Deutsche Bank is on the ropes (despite CNBC proclaiming that "it doesn't feel like a Lehman moment.") However, as dawn breaks across the motherland, something more insidious is breaking for Germany's largest bank. Deutsche faces an uphill task rescuing its stock from record lows, especially, as Reuters reports, a top 10 shareholder exclaims "investors have completely lost faith in the bank," and a fast recovery from this crisis was unlikely.


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Doland Trump, Bernie Sanders Win New Hampshire Primary - Live Feed

Literally one second after the polls closed at 8:00 pm, virtually all the media outlets, including AP, NBC and CNN, covering the NH primary called the outcome:

Republican winner: Donald Trump
Democrat winner: Bernie Sanders


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Is The American Dream Dead?

The American dream is not a thing in physical terms but an idea that lives or dies with certain beliefs in society. Can it die? Yes it can if those beliefs are purged from the conscience of society. This is what Jefferson meant by watering the tree of liberty with the blood of patriots from time to time.


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This Is What Central Bank Failure Looks Like (Part 2)

Following The BoJ's utter collapse from omnipotence to impotence, it seems the rest of the world is losing faith in Central Banks "control," as nothing says The Fed knows nothing like the collapse of Fed credibility to... nothing...


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What Janet Yellen Could Say Tomorrow To Unleash A Market Surge

"The dovish surprise is if she explicitly removes March from the hiking calendar (which would be Draghi-esque in front running the FOMC), broadly hints at a delay or expresses concern on downside risk to long term inflation or structural stagnation. The intention would be to show US households, business and investors that the Fed has their back... It is unlikely, however, that pointing to negative rates or QE4 would work, as investors are increasingly skeptical that more of the same policy mix would be effective in hitting final goals."


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Global Stocks Enter Bear Market

With stock markets from every continent plunging (Japan most recently), it should be no surprise that MSCI's world index has entered a bear market - dropping over 20% from its April 2015 record highs. However, as Gavekal notes, while much of the drag on global stocks is from collapsing emerging markets, the average developed market stock is down 23% in the past year.


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"I Don't Trust Deutsche Bank" David Stockman Unleashes Truth Bomb: "When The Crunch Comes, Bank CEOs Lie"

"I don't trust Deutsche Bank. I don't trust what they're saying. And there's reason why the banks are being sold all across the world... because people are realizing once again that we don't know what's there [on bank balance sheets]."


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"Jingle Mail" Makes Comeback In Canada As Underwater Borrowers Mail Keys Back To Banks

"People [are] saying that we can't make a go of it and mail the keys to the bank. In the big cities, not so much because the average sale prices haven't really dropped much, we haven't seen the pain yet. But Calgary is getting pretty tight."


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Carnage Continues - Japanese Stocks Crash (Again) As Australia Enters Bear Market

Another night, another utter bloodbath in AsiaPac. Japanese markets are plunging (NKY down 600 from US session close and NKY is down 2200 points from post-NIRP highs) along with USDJPY as Kuroda readies himself to face parliament (and Abe says he "trusts Governor Kuroda.") Once again banks leading the pain. Australia is also in trouble, after admissions of cooked data sent stocks lower pushing the ASX 200 into bear market territory.


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If It Looks Like A Recession, And Smells Like A Recession...

Then we must be "peddling fiction..."


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Deutsche Bank Is Scared: "What Needs To Be Done" In Its Own Words

"So back to the  original question WHAT NEEDS TO BE DONE. Simple?  Recognize the problem. It is not oil, it is not in the banks..it is a run on central bank liquidity, especially dollar based and there needs to be much more ($) liquidity.... Cash shd be charged interest -- put the micro chip in large denom notes/tax cash withdrawals.. encourage spending not saving."


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America's Most Hated Man Martin Shkreli Sued Over Ol' Dirty Bastard Cartoons

Now, even the Wu-Tang Clan has become a liability for America's most hated biotech entrepreneur. “In a complaint filed on Tuesday in Manhattan federal court, Jason Koza said he never allowed his fan art depicting Wu-Tang members to be used in packaging for the hip-hop group's ‘Once Upon a Time in Shaolin,’ the sole copy of which Shkreli bought,” Reuters reports


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The Walking Dead: Something Is Rotten In The Banking System

All signs are that things are in fact in danger of getting out of hand...


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Nasdaq Volatility Spikes As "Exuberance Has Turned To Panic"

With the "generals" finally meeting their reality-maker, investors appear to be questioning the DotCom bubble-like highs as momentum collapses. "Exuberance has turned to panic pretty quickly," notes one asset manager and after a very rapid plunge in recent days, options traders are piling into protection at a pace not seen since Q4 2008.


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