When It Comes To The US Economy, The Age Divide Has Never Been Wider

Despite a rise in headline consumer confidence, there are increasingly gaping divergences between various cohorts that suggest all is not well in America. Regionally, Pacific 'confidence' has surged while New England has plunged. Plans to buy a car or a major appliance or a home all dropped, with the latter at its lowest in 10 months. But most worrisome is the record divide between 'young' and 'old' Americans confidence in the US economy...

Richmond Fed Dead-Cat-Bounce Crashes To 3-Year Lows

With the biggest miss in two years, Richmond Fed collapsed to -7 (lowest since Jan 2013) from March's 22 print (six year highs). The farcical flip-flop leaves the average workweek plunging into contraction, number of employees dropping, New Order volume crashing, and worse still, future expectations of hisring and work week is plunging.

What Is The Source Of Today's Buying Panic: RBC Explains

"For what it’s worth, the buying in high risk periphery and banks is not “real money” nor is it on any real volume (which thus smells of short covering), while most of our real buying is a downshift in risk-profile from long onlys who have to be invested and are loading the boat in obvious sectors like utilities today." - RBC

Brexit Is What Happens When The Pie Is Shrinking

A great many narratives are drifting around the Brexit pool: a return to sovereignty, class war, "controlled demolition," nothing-but-another-political-Kabuki- spectacle, end of the European Union, etc. We think it boils down to something much simpler: the pie is shrinking, and the illusion that it's about to start growing has been shattered.

Case-Shiller Home Prices Rise At Slowest Pace In 8 Months As San Francisco Sales Slump

April was not a good month for home prices - despite hopeful signs from seasonally adjusted sales data. S&P Case-Shiller 20-City index rose just 0.45% MoM (well below expectations and March's 0.85% gain) - the weakest rise since Aug 2015. The broader Home Price Index hovered near unchanged for the 2nd month - the weakest since January 2012. Most worrisome, perhaps, is the 18.16% YoY plunge in San Francisco home sales... as perhaps the bubble is finally bursting.

About That Historic Collapse In Sterling: It Was "Only" The 9th Biggest Drop Going Back To 1862

Over the past several days, the financial media has been preoccupied with the fascinating - and historic - drop in sterling which as this site also noted, was the biggest in history. As it turns out, that is not the case, as the data was limited by the available records on file with major service providers such as Bloomberg and Reuters. However, if one goes back in time, as DB's Jim Reid has done, it appears that Friday's sterling move was rather puny by true historical comparisons.

Final Q1 GDP Rises 1.1% Despite Worst Personal Consumption In Two Years

And so the final, and largely irrelevant, estimate of Q1 GDP is in the history books. Moments ago the BEA reported that in the first quarter GDP rose a tepid 1.1%, higher than the first and second estimates of 0.5% and 0.8%, respecitvely, and also higher than consensus estimates of 1.0%. The bad news: the all important personal consumption expenditures component of GDP rose a modest 2.0% annualized and contributing just 1.02% to the bottom line GDP. This was the worst showing by the US consumer since Q1 of 2014.

How They Hedged Brexit: Soros Was Short Deutsche Bank, Druckenmiller Was Long Gold

Soros Fund Management took a short position in Deutsche Bank AG of about 7 million shares, or a total notional of about $100 million, as turmoil from the U.K.’s decision to leave the European Union sent bank stocks lower. The position taken on Friday was equivalent to 0.51 percent of Deutsche Bank’s share capital, according to a German filing published on Monday. The document doesn’t show at which price the fund took the position.

Previewing Today's Main Event: David Cameron Arrives In Brussels

For the first time since triggering a political earthquake that’s shaken Europe's foundations with his now massively backfired decision to hold a EU membership referendum in 2015, a decision which won him the parliamentary election battle but lost him, and Europe, the war, UK Prime Minister David Cameron is set to face his fellow - and very angry - European Union leaders at what may be Cameron's last summit in Brussels, even as back in London, the race to succeed him is heating up.

This Is What Draghi Said To Spark Speculation Of Another Global Central Bank Bailout

The head of the ECB avoided mentioning the U.K.’s vote to leave the European Union but instead called for greater alignment of policies globally to mitigate the spillover risks from ultra-loose monetary measures.  “We can benefit from alignment of policies,” Draghi said at the ECB Forum in Sintra, Portugal. “What I mean by alignment is a shared diagnosis of the root causes of the challenges that affect us all; and a shared commitment to found our domestic policies on that diagnosis."