Archive - Feb 13, 2009

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Donald Trump Leaves Trump Entertainment





Developing story... and the end of an era. Ivanka gone too...

This effectively means the Trump Atlantic City Casinos are 4 days away from bankruptcy.

 

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NXP Joins Revolver Drawdown Club





European semiconductor maker NXP, formerly Philips' semiconductor unit which was LBOed in 2006 by a consortium of KKR, Silver Lake and AlpInvest,

 

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Mortgage Subsidies - Arguably Useless But Definitely Expensive





When Reuters yesterday released the rumor of the mortgage subsidy program, the market shot up to close unchanged after being down over 3%. But was the market, as usual, ahead of itself in its optimism? While the news of subsidies may result in some marginal benefits to the most at risk homeowners, it is at best a temporary solution as it does nothing to impact the real toxic asset overhang - the staggering notional size of unserviceable mortgage debt. Additionally, subsidies will obviously not come free.

 

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Warren Buffett Buys Tiffany's Bonds





Warren Buffett has officially turned the corner and while (temporarily) giving up on equities, he has gone full bore into debt.

 

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Charter's Organizational Structure Labyrinth





Having received numerous emails asking for some more info about the highly convoluted relationships between Charter's various entities and inquiries as to why any rational company would have 10+ tiers of debt (ahem, Charter - rational?), Zero Hedge presents a rather simplified version of Charter's Org Chart. Hopefully this will make analyst lives a little less painful at several large funds (you know who you are).

 

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Ken Griffin To Resume Bleeding To $0 AUM Soon





The stampede of Citadel clients who have been eagerly waiting to pull their money (which, despite a 4.95% up January, is still worth roughly 50 cents on the dollar after last year's performance) will be let loose any day now. Bloomberg reports that in a letter to investors, Kenny Griffin has realized that it is beneath any self-styled master of the universe to keep cash locked up despite loud protests to the contrary.

 

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Sirius To File Bankruptcy By February 17 If Exchange Offer Fails





Sirius XM just filed this press release stating that unless it manages to complete an exchange offer of its 10% Convertible Notes due 2009 for a like amount of Senior Secured Notesw due 2011, it will have to file for bankruptcy. The exchange of the $400 million issue has already been accepted by holders of $172.5 million, or less than half the total.

 

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Germany Fails To Place Treasuries Again





As the U.S. is preparing to issue trillions in Treasuries, with the latest twist being to add to the U.S.

 

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Yet Another Rushed Transaction Makes Paulson $50 Million Richer





Showing just how stupid the rushed deals to acquire pre-bankrupt companies are turning out to be (see BOA-Merrill Lynch), Lloyds dropped 30% in London trading after announcing it expects recently taken over lender HBOS to post a $14.5 billion loss.

“The impairments are, principally as a result of applying a more conservative provisioning methodology consistent with that used by Lloyds TSB,” the bank said in statement.

 

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Credit Markets Surprisingly Efficient At Pricing In Defaults (Or Not)





The planets must be in some millennial Friday 13th alignment, as it is finally the case that the high yield credit market is in agreement with rating agency default predictions. As we observed previously the price of the on-the-roll High Yield index (HY10) implies a specific curve of cumulative default probabilities.

 

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Credit Markets Surprisingly Efficient At Pricing In Defaults (Or Not)





The planets must be in some millennial Friday 13th alignment, as it is finally the case that the high yield credit market is in agreement with rating agency default predictions. As we observed previously the price of the on-the-roll High Yield index (HY10) implies a specific curve of cumulative default probabilities.

 

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Biggest Prior Day CDS Movers





The pounding of Conti AG and Eastern Europe continues. Homebuilders join the fray as the entire sector closed much wider. In the positive category, Rio Tinto shorts get burned, as well as holders of CDS of perennial deathwatch candidate New York Times.

 

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Biggest Prior Day CDS Movers





The pounding of Conti AG and Eastern Europe continues. Homebuilders join the fray as the entire sector closed much wider. In the positive category, Rio Tinto shorts get burned, as well as holders of CDS of perennial deathwatch candidate New York Times.

 

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Early Feb 13 Headlines





  • Mortgage rescues fail as price drops spur increase in defaults (Bloomberg)
  • Greenspan admits was mystified by subprime market until 2005 (NYT)
  • Hypo to be nationalized after JC Flowers walks (Bloomberg)
  • Will vulture investors be critical to recovery (
 

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Late Thursday News





  • Continental Flight 3407 crashes in Buffalo suburb with 48 passengers (WSJ)
  • China's hyped recovery is a pipe dream (Naked Capitalism)
  • Now, how does the government spend the money?
 
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