Archive - Apr 22, 2009
What Are Credit Markets Implying For The Equity Rally
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/22/2009 16:58 -0500As Zero Hedge has repeatedly pointed out in the past, the credit market is usually the best barometer of trends and perceptions, not least due to its liquidity (especially in CDS) and size which is multiples higher than the equity market, and thus much less susceptible to outright nudges here and there. A comprehensive report out of Goldman Sachs presents some interesting observations on the credit - equity relationship, which (whether due to correlation or causation) may put the recent rally in a more coherent perspective than its daily technically-driven fluctuations.
California Foreclosures Jump 80% In Q1 From Q4
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/22/2009 16:32 -0500Data out of dataquick indicates that the housing market in California is about to take second major leg down. In line with Zero Hedge expectations upon the expiration of the foreclosure moratorium.
Steve Grasso about to have an orgasm on air: "This is great news, consumers are stronger, market is going higher from here."
Is the Fed going to buy more bonds next week?
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/22/2009 15:44 -0500In light of next week's scheduled meeting of the Fed, we thought we would look at the potential for further announced quantitative easing. Last month, the Fed rocked most major markets with the announcement of a major purchase of long rates to push down yields. Since then, many have dismissed the purchases as a one-time event that are not likely to repeat.
Is the Fed going to buy more bonds next week?
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/22/2009 15:44 -0500In light of next week's scheduled meeting of the Fed, we thought we would look at the potential for further announced quantitative easing. Last month, the Fed rocked most major markets with the announcement of a major purchase of long rates to push down yields. Since then, many have dismissed the purchases as a one-time event that are not likely to repeat.
Is the Fed going to buy more bonds next week?
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/22/2009 15:44 -0500In light of next week's scheduled meeting of the Fed, we thought we would look at the potential for further announced quantitative easing. Last month, the Fed rocked most major markets with the announcement of a major purchase of long rates to push down yields. Since then, many have dismissed the purchases as a one-time event that are not likely to repeat.
GM CFO Says Company Won't Make $1 Billion June 1st Debt Payment
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/22/2009 15:26 -0500Developing Story out of WSJ
Banks Need 3% Minimum Tangible Equity
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/22/2009 15:05 -0500According to CNBC, regulators will demand banks have a minimum of 3% tangible equity in worst case.
No Trend Reversal, Market Trading Action Continues To Be A Historic Outlier
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/22/2009 14:26 -0500Some good commentary out of Lehman's Matt Rothman released yesterday. The squeeze is merely the last method available to prevent the trend from normalizing.
As we highlighted in our note of Tuesday, April 14th, we were concerned about an impending reversal in the underperforming Sentiment Theme index and the outperforming Valuation Theme index.
SPY Have Become Hard To Borrow
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/22/2009 12:33 -0500Developing story: Traders confirm several locations indicating SPDRs are no longer automatic borrow and have made their way to the Hard To Borrow list: pre-borrow call is needed versus automatic short prior, as not enough underlying inventory.
Have fun hedging the market when you can not short. Wholesale market squeeze is being orchestrated.
10:23 am update:
SPY Have Become Hard To Borrow
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/22/2009 12:33 -0500Developing story: Traders confirm several locations indicating SPDRs are no longer automatic borrow and have made their way to the Hard To Borrow list: pre-borrow call is needed versus automatic short prior, as not enough underlying inventory.
Have fun hedging the market when you can not short. Wholesale market squeeze is being orchestrated.
10:23 am update:
SPY Have Become Hard To Borrow
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/22/2009 12:33 -0500Developing story: Traders confirm several locations indicating SPDRs are no longer automatic borrow and have made their way to the Hard To Borrow list: pre-borrow call is needed versus automatic short prior, as not enough underlying inventory.
Have fun hedging the market when you can not short. Wholesale market squeeze is being orchestrated.
10:23 am update:
Vornado Prices 15,000,000 Shares At $43
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/22/2009 12:30 -0500Merrill Lynch would like to thank the academy, God, and Cohen and Steers, in that order.
Top 5 Pre-Market Losers
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/22/2009 12:13 -0500The following stocks were the top percentage losers before the open on solid volume of at least 50K shares, trading at over $10 the prior day. COF (-8.97%), MS (-8.6%), TXT (-8.01%), VNO (-5.4%), USB (-5.03%).
Source: www.theflyonthewall.com
Loans Versus Bonds Relative Value: Week Of April 16
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/22/2009 12:03 -0500Some massive tightening in the universe of 30 tracked names with both major loan and bond moves. The average loan spread tightened by 100 bps to 700 bps while bonds tightened by almost 200 bps to 1,381 bps from two weeks ago. Taking a cue from the equity markets, the most horrendous HY names saw the biggest tightening with Neiman Marcus and Sealy Mattress bonds both collapsing by over 800 bps.
Loans Versus Bonds Relative Value: Week Of April 16
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/22/2009 12:03 -0500Some massive tightening in the universe of 30 tracked names with both major loan and bond moves. The average loan spread tightened by 100 bps to 700 bps while bonds tightened by almost 200 bps to 1,381 bps from two weeks ago. Taking a cue from the equity markets, the most horrendous HY names saw the biggest tightening with Neiman Marcus and Sealy Mattress bonds both collapsing by over 800 bps.


