Archive - Apr 2009

April 17th

Tyler Durden's picture

Suiciding The Market





Zero Hedge presented some perspectives on how broken the market is yesterday. The trend continues as today's quant deleveraging trade already finished (market neutral quants down 17% in March, April likely much worse).

 

Tyler Durden's picture

Suiciding The Market





Zero Hedge presented some perspectives on how broken the market is yesterday. The trend continues as today's quant deleveraging trade already finished (market neutral quants down 17% in March, April likely much worse).

 

Tyler Durden's picture

More Technical Perspectives





California unemployment hits record 11.2%, market spikes on the news. Market next stop 1,200.

compliments of http://www.creditresearch.com/

 

Tyler Durden's picture

More Technical Perspectives





California unemployment hits record 11.2%, market spikes on the news. Market next stop 1,200.

compliments of http://www.creditresearch.com/

 

Tyler Durden's picture

Weekly Observations





Choice selections among David Rosenberg's main weekly observations.
Down profit cycle has more to run

The S&P 500 can still rally another 15% from here without violating any long-term trendline that has defined the bear market. So, who is to say that this upturn does not have more legs? But we are still convinced that the down profit cycle has more to run.

 

Tyler Durden's picture

Weekly Observations





Choice selections among David Rosenberg's main weekly observations.
Down profit cycle has more to run

The S&P 500 can still rally another 15% from here without violating any long-term trendline that has defined the bear market. So, who is to say that this upturn does not have more legs? But we are still convinced that the down profit cycle has more to run.

 

Tyler Durden's picture

BlackRock Hires Vice Chairman Of U.S. Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee





Bloomberg reports that Larry Fink's BlackRock has taken over R3 Capital Management, a $1.5 billion credit hedge fund started by ex-Lehman corporate bond trading desk head Rick Rieder.

 

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Open Letter To Quant Funds





In his April 14th report Matt Rothman wrote about a dramatic, parabolic outperformance trend for names with high short interest, low prices and fundamentally weak names. He opined that all conditions for this trend to end are in place. Contrary to his very valid arguments, the trend accelerated yesterday.

Stocks with poor fundamentals, market share losses and poor earning prospects that quantitative managers tend to short, gained more than higher quality long positions.

 

Tyler Durden's picture

Open Letter To Quant Funds





In his April 14th report Matt Rothman wrote about a dramatic, parabolic outperformance trend for names with high short interest, low prices and fundamentally weak names. He opined that all conditions for this trend to end are in place. Contrary to his very valid arguments, the trend accelerated yesterday.

Stocks with poor fundamentals, market share losses and poor earning prospects that quantitative managers tend to short, gained more than higher quality long positions.

 

Tyler Durden's picture

The General Growth Emperor's New Clothes





Zero Hedge discloses all the deals and loans which will inevitably suffer as a result of GGP's bankruptcy, in order to allow readers to make their own conclusions whether or not Bill Ackman's thesis is correct.

 

Tyler Durden's picture

IMF's World Economic Outlook: Not Good





Excerpts from the IMF's World Economic Outlook (chapter 3 and 4).

Amazing comparisons with the Great Depression. The main difference:

 

Tyler Durden's picture

IMF's World Economic Outlook: Not Good





Excerpts from the IMF's World Economic Outlook (chapter 3 and 4).

Amazing comparisons with the Great Depression. The main difference:

 

Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: April 17





  • Citi group's loose interpretation of accounting rules summarized (Bloomberg)
  • Ditto for GE (Bloomberg)
  • Evans-Pritchard: IMF warns over parallels to Great Depression (Telegraph)
  • Hey economic geniuses! What happened?
 

Tyler Durden's picture

Overalottment: April 16





  • Must Read: Steve Rattner investigated by SEC for NY pension fund kickbacks (WSJ)
  • Mortgage cram-down stalls in senate, may be revised (Bloomberg)
  • CDS blamed for role in bankruptcy filings (FT)
  • An analysis of jobless claims in the week after Easter (
 

April 16th

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Will TALF 3.0 Be Enough For A CRE Lazarus Act





Several reports came out today on CNBC and other MSM conduits about a brand new government effort which may consider expanding the already many-times revised TALF program to capture all sorts of commercial real estate securities, including the uber toxic ones, and extend the duration on TALF loans from the established 3 years to 5 or more years.

 
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