Archive - Mar 15, 2010

Some have asked us what is the reason for the earlier poll asking who is more trustworthy: Liesman or Santelli. The following clip from earlier this morning should explain it. First Liesman points out "there is a point in time when ignorance goes from being amusing to being dangerous, and I think Rick's crossed that point long ago" Next, all hell break loose.

The FDIC raised $1.8b with a junk deal and a guaranty. Who cares? We all should.

The first just released TIC data, post the latest major annual revision, indicates that the two biggest holders of US Treasury securities continue to pare their holdings. We will present a more granular look shortly as the revision has made all historical numbers irrelevant, however the consolidated picture demonstrates that China sold $6 billion in USTs going into January, with Japan paring just slightly, at $1 billion. This was more than compensated by accumulation by the three other major players: the UK, Oil Exporter countries, and Caribbean banking centers, a proxy for hedge funds, whose holdings grew by a substantial $28 billion, $11 billion and $15 billion, respectively. The UK, which is most certainly a proxy for China, has seen its holdings grow by $100 billion in 4 months, from $106 billion in October to $206 billion most recently.

In this two-part special on CBS's 60 minutes, Michael Lewis continues on his crusade of exposing Wall Street's massive delusion that it provides a service of value to society. "The incentives for people on Wall Street got so screwed up, that the
people who worked there became blinded to their own long term
interests. And because the short term interests were so overpowering.
And so they behaved in ways that were antithetical to their own long
term interests." His observations and conclusions are, as always, spot on.

• Ah, the benefits of monopolies: Goldman Sachs Demands Derivatives Collateral It Won’t Dish Out (Bloomberg)
• FASB hypocricy: banks face mark-to-market hypocricy (WSJ)
• Rising money market rates hint Treasury losses amid Fed exit (Bloomberg)
• EU to discuss Greek aid, Germany skeptical (Reuters)
• Stocks decline in China economy concern; pound, euro weaken (Bloomberg)
• Paul Murphy: The truth about speculators - they are doing God's work (FT)
• Could Lehman be E&Y's Enron (Reuters)

RANsquawk 15th March Morning Briefing - Stocks, Bonds, FX etc.

• Asia stocks, commodities fall on China tightening speculation.
• China’s stocks decline to five-week low on tightening concern.
• Debate brewing in OPEC over what its post-recession production might look like.
• EU finance chiefs to weigh Greek rescue as ministers seek to avoid bailout.
• Euro near 5-week high versus Yen on Greece bailout, BOJ policy.
• Consumer tax hikes hit Greece as EU to discuss debt crisis.
• The Federal Aviation Administration ordered airlines to perform an emergency inspection of some 600 Boeing 737 airplanes.

RANsquawk 15th March Morning Briefing - Stocks, Bonds, FX etc.

The rating agency, whose "objectivity" was recently fully exposed after it has been persistently the one rater who refuses to downgrade Greece, even after its peers S&P and Fitch have made Greek bond eligibility for ECB collateral contingent purely on Moody's lack of conscience, is pretending that it has some credibility after all, by doing a little extra posturing, and grumbling that if things get much worse, it may, just may, consider dropping the US AAA rating. This, of course, despite Tim Geithner's promise that the US would only be downgraded over his dead body, or something like that. Furthermore, as we have recently learned, the FRBNY has a "proactive" influence in rating agency decisions. To assume that Mr. Brian Peters of the New York Fed would return a Moody's call and say "yes, we agree with your assumption that the US is not really AAA-worthy, please go ahead and downgrade us" requires copious amount of prior consumption of LSD and other hallucinogenics. Yet for those who still care about what output Moody's produces, here is the full relevant text discussing the outlook for the United States.