Archive - Sep 22, 2011

I fully believe that the Great Collapse, the time when the Fed completely loses control of the markets, has arrived. We're going to be seeing Market Crashes, Bank holidays, riots, food shortages, and more in the coming months.

No big surprise as Europe opens to a crowd of sellers. The EUR has stabilized from its drop a little in the last hour or so but commodities and PMs continue to slide. Italian banks appear to be bearing the brunt for now with Intesa and Unicredit down 4-5%, but most of the major banks are down at least 3%. Credit markets appear worst hit overall with dramatic moves in XOver and Senior Financials. As we noted in a previous post, Asian credit was hit hard, particularly the major sovereigns and for now S&P futures are back to their overnight lows down around 1% from the US close.

China's HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI was released earlier this evening and showed continued weakness at 49.4 (below 50 implying a majority of manufacturers saw conditions deteriorating). The continuing moderation of growth is weighing on the Shanghai Composite which is down around 2% but it is the CDS market that is really cracking. 5Y China CDS is now an additional 20bps wider than the 10bps decompression we saw during Wednesday and is back to March 2009 levels at 167bps. It seems global markets are disrupted.

UPDATE: A number of Asia-Pac Sovereigns are cracking wider this morning.