Archive - Apr 13, 2015

• As reported here first a month ago: The $9 Trillion Short That May Send the Dollar Even Higher (BBG)
• As an instant target for foes, Clinton may struggle to get message heard (Reuters)
• Emerging Stocks Rally 11th Day as Aussie Weakens on China (BBG)
• Puerto Rico, Investors Enlist Ex-IMF Officials (WSJ)
• Dollar’s Rise Reshuffles Global Economy (BBG)
• Indonesia eyes regular navy exercises with U.S. in South China Sea (Reuters)
• Banca Monte dei Paschi Breaches Exposure Limits to Nomura (WSJ)
• European Bond Buyers Find Negative Doesn’t Necessarily Mean Bad (BBG)

If there was any doubt that global trade is stalling, it was promptly wiped out following the latest abysmal Chinese trade data which saw exports tumble by 15% - the most in over a year - on expectations of a 8% rebound, with the trade surplus coming in at CNY18.2 billion, far below the lowest estimate. While unnecessary, with the Chinese GDP growth rate this Wednesday already expect to print at a record low, this was further evidence of weak demand both at home and abroad. Weakness was seen in most key markets, and the strength of China's currency was partly to blame, which again brings up China's CNY devaluation and ultimately QE, which as we wrote some time ago, is the ultimate endgame in the global reflation trade which, at least for now until the CBs begin active money paradropping to everyone not just the 0.01%, is only leading to inflation in stocks and deflation in everything else.v

This isn’t yet another in a long series of articles lamenting the Federal Reserve... this article is about something else: you.