Archive - Jun 2015

And just like that, game theory just became over theory:

• DIJSSELBLOEM SAYS REST OF EUROGROUP REGRETS GREEK REJECTION
• DIJSSELBLOEM SAYS `GREAT CONCERNS WITH CREDIBILITY' OF GREECE
• DIJSSELBLOEM SAYS REST OF EUROGROUP REGRETS GREEK REJECTION
• DIJSSELBLOEM: SITUATION IN GREECE WILL DETERIOATE IN BETWEEN

And the punchline, which as we hinted earlier is the biggest problem with the Greek referendum:

• DIJSSELBLOEM: THE PROGRAM WILL EXPIRE ON TUESDAY NIGHT

So just what will the Greeks vote on next Sunday if the proposal is no longer on the table?

Meanwhile, Tsipras gets a standing ovation in the Greek parliament!

While the path ahead suddenly just got very confusing for both Greece and Europe, one thing is clear: going forward the Greeks will only have themselves to blame for whatever the final outcome is. That, and the Greek trargicomedy which has now lasted for over 5 years, may finally be over.

Following Tsipras' surprise referendum decision (and subsequent pulling of proposals by Troika the institutions), Greece's bank jog has turned into a full sprint. ATM lines began to form at 2am, minutes after the announcement and now many ATMs are out of money and, as Bloomberg reports, some Greek banks are drastically limiting cash transactions. Despite all the reassurances that "banks will open Monday," two senior bank executives have warned that some lenders will not be able to open Monday (unless more emergency liquidity is released). Crucially, this is not just about banks being in trouble - drained of deposits electronically - this is running out of physical banknotes, there is literally no more 'real' money left in Greek banks.

With the ATMs literally running out of cash in Greece after PM Alexis Tsipras announced a referendum in a dramatic, early morning televised address to the nation, EU finance ministers are meeting in Brussels today to determine what the next steps are now that Athens has effectively given creditors an ultimatum. According to MNI, three options are being discussed at the Eurogroup emergency session.

A look at the psycholgoy of traders as reflected in the price action ahead the new week which promises to be eventful.

For the first time since October, 2008, China cuts both the benchmark lending rate and RRR on the same day, in a frantic attempt to sustain the country's equity bubble after stocks collapsed to the edge of bear market territory on Friday.

Relative to the monetary base, the gold price is currently at an all time low. In our opinion, this is a temporary anomaly, which we believe provides an extraordinarily favorable buying opportunity.

Greek PM Tsipras just delivered the biggest Friday night bomb in recent European history: he stunned the Troika and his peers in Europe with the biggest shocker of all - a referendum announcement, aka the Greek "nuclear option", something which cost his predecessor George Papandreou his job. At this point there is no turning back, and the Greeks - of which 80% want to stay in the Euro even as 80% want an end to austerity - will get to choose their own fate. Whatever choice they make, they will now only have only themselves to blame.

We cannot forget that crisis is in itself a distraction as well. Whatever pain we do feel tomorrow, or the next day, or the next decade, remember who it was that caused it all: the international banks and their globalist political counterparts. No matter what happens, never be willing to accept a centralized system. No matter how reasonable or rational it might sound amid the terror of fiscal uncertainty, never give the beast what it wants. Refuse to conform to the dialectic. This is the only chance we have left to get back to true prosperity. Once we cross the line into the realm of worldwide institutionalized interdependency, we will never know prosperity or freedom again.

For the average American citizen, this may well become the "scariest" chart...

The Fed's QE policies of recent years have, for all intents and purposes told the world that “the dollar is our currency and your problem.” And, in recent years, the dollar has been a genuine problem for a number of emerging countries. Following this traumatic event, and the change in the perception of US stability, China went around the world and invited the likes of Brazil, Indonesia, South Africa, Turkey and Korea to shift some of their China trade away from the dollar and into renminbi. China started doing this in 2011 and, as we see it, the renminbi’s attempt to become a trading currency is potentially one of the most important financial developments. Yet no-one seems to care.

Presented with no comment...

An extensive look at what would happen if Greece were to leave the Eurozone, through a legal fudge.