Archive - Oct 2009 - Blog entry

I originally wrote this list of recommended books last year; recently I updated and added a few more. I hope to keep adding to it every year. It contains six sections: Selling, Think Like an Investor, Behavioral Investing, Economics, Stock Market History, and Books for the Soul. Due to its length, I divided it into two parts. Here is part 2. I hope you enjoy it.

The defenders of the TBTFs say that bigger is more efficient.

Are they right?

Janet Tavakoli with some more great quotes ...

If history has taught us anything, it is that those with the most money are not necessarily those that are best at investing money. There is a saying that encapsulates this in a somewhat more erudite manner (I would never be so forward, or so rude :-)) - "When playing poker, look around the table. If you can't find the sucker, it is probably you!". Obviously, the guys at Capmark didn't read BoomBustBlog...

The Rydex market timer was buying yesterday's sell off.

You know, I happen to really, really appreciate the blogoshpere. There are a select handful of blogs that offer unique, insightful and very difficult to come by expertise, opinion and commentary. Much more so than the mainstream media and even more so than the more specialized media. Despite this, there are certain components of the MSM and corporate America that still do not respect the blogs. Now, why is that? Well, I dare you - no, I double dare you - to find an MSM outlet that performs investigative analysis at the level of the top blogs. I'm not even going to bother to mention who those blogs are (hint, hint), but just want to throw the challenge out there as I show how PNC may have possibly pulled the wool over the collective media, sell side and market's eyes.

Surprisingly good earnings, 10%+ rise in share price, declining charge offs and 90 day late paying loans, lower loss provisioning, rosy review from the media and more BUY, BUY, BUY signals from the sell side - what more could one ask from an anointed 19 bank? Well, for starters, we could request that their non-performing assets stop increasing at unprecedented rates. If not that, then we can always ask why reduce loss provisioning in the face of climbing non-performing loans...

The rally in global stock markets has helped fuel the partial recovery in OECD pension assets but it will take years before these assets fully recover. Why? Because given the low bond yields throughout the developed world, it is unrealistic to expect stocks to continue rising at this blistering pace. Moreover, the fundamentals suggest the recovery will be more modest than what is currently priced in.

My criticism of the "public option" proposal urged by MoveOn spokesperson Heather Graham drew some jeers from the pack, so I thought I'd expound on the topic of national health care. This first article is about the experience of other countries. To come up with the best system possible, why not take a look at systems around the world that are run or sponsored by governments. Do some research and find out what works and what doesn’t. Also, we should be very skeptical of cost estimates for the proposed system.

In crazy times like today, all one could and actually should ask for is sanity. Yes, sanity – a clear mind free of noise to deal with the insanity that is thrust upon us by a volatile and noise-making machine also known as the stock market. We find ourselves glued to the computer screens or CNBC waiting to find out what the Dow’s next tick is going to be. Unfortunately, we are left with only a headache and wasted time. OK, what’s next? Here is my advice: read. Read books that will bring you sanity, the ones that will snap you back into the shell of investor and out of the sorry shell of nervous observer of the daily stock market melodrama. The following books are excellent choices and come with plenty of sanity and sage advice.

What economic system do we really have in America right now?

Project Mayhem, professor of Oligopoly Studies at NYU, sorts through the various squid tentacles of the past week.

Definitely some interesting articles in my weekly link fest. We’ve got inflation, deflation, oil, jobs and of course plenty of Goldman barbs. What more could you ask for?

Since the financial crisis last fall, currency markets have taken their cues mostly from stock markets. When stocks plunged in March of this year, investors rushed to the safety of U.S. government bonds, pushing the dollar index up to 89.62, the highest point this year. The value of the euro has risen by 79% in nine years since euro hit 0.84 in Oct. 2000. What's next for the U.S. Dollar, and its impact on the market?

Swine flu is killing teenagers more than any other age group. This sets up a big conflict with traditional users of ventilators. The experts have sorted this all out. Kind of.