Archive - Oct 2010 - Blog entry

Our research on Interoil (IOC) leads us to believe there may be a lot of skeletons in its closet, making it a top choice for our next bearish position.

Another day another falling dollar.

Good thing too or we'd be heading for the toilet this morning.

An aid for visualizing the full ponzinomic spectrum.

This sure sounds like a perfect set up for a reversal to me. On that note, I expect this week we’ll probably see a final impulse high on stocks, but that stocks will end the week down, creating a reversal week. This in turn I believe will be the beginning of a larger, VIOLENT collapse that will take stocks back to 1,040 on the S&P 500 in a matter of weeks. And ultimately, I believe we're heading to 875 by year-end.

Things are much worse than the Case Shiller index, and the media that quotes it ad nauseum, are leading many to believe...

Retail Traders as a herd are wrong…most of the time (sorry guys its true).

This daily report is designed to help traders find opportunities to trade against this group. The premise is very simple we are looking for 66% of retail traders to be trading either long or short a currency pair, we then look for opportunities to fade (trade against) this group.

Is it time to buy China? China believes that its workers are being exploited by American companies by keeping wages low. Any attempt to sell their massive US Treasury bond holdings might cause their value to collapse and freeze relations with the US.

Last week the shorts were all lined up for another bearish inventory report for Petroleum products from the EIA, but lo and behold, miracles do actually occur.

The Commitment of Traders Report is created by the CFTC – The Commodity Futures Trading Commission and is published weekly every Friday. This body gathers and publishes the open futures positions on all publicly traded US futures contracts as well as the corresponding options. The data consists of 3 main categories.

A round up of views on the currency wars ...

An interesting week in the making.

The white metal has soared by 33% in the past two months as investors desperate for fiat currency alternatives pour into the marginal metals. Warning: moves like this by industrial commodities do not occur in the face of a collapsing economy. A long position in palladium gives you a free call on political instability in two less than perfectly run countries. (PALL)

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Ummmmm….

Wow…

Sure looks that way....

For the little guy or the economy as a whole, that is ... But it's GREAT for the people who really matter