Archive - Mar 2010 - Blog entry

The Greek saga continues, exactly as was anticipated. For all of those who don't regularly read me, this is really not about Greece but about the start of either default or significant depression throughout a large swath of the Eurozone. Greece is the firestarter and it looks as if we are starting to burn...

Sometimes I have to actually read articles twice, because it really seems that I have somehow missed the point the first time around. Well, on my third glance at this Bloomberg article, I still don't get it: SLM Sells Debt at Higher Interest Rate Than Students Pay

After a decade in the penalty box, is the son of the Dotcom Bubble returning? The industry represents the last, best hope that America has for competing globally. Tech companies are among the few that make things foreigners want to buy. Foreign stocks wearing cowboy hats and pearl snap buttoned shirts There will be product shortages and much higher prices in any recovery. (CSCO), (JNPR), (JDSU), (SNDK), (MU), (ASML).

One of the world's largest pension funds is suing Bank of America for more than $90m over its 2008 takeover of Merrill Lynch, claiming the banking giant failed to disclose the full extent of losses at the US investment bank. It's about time pensions got tough, but is it too little, too late?

I recently provided evidence that banks create credit out of thin air.I've just found two more pieces of evidence ...

Germany is openly saying what we all really know, Greece is probably !@#!$%. The problem is, how can Greece go down without pulling half the Euro zone with it? The Greek tragedy saga is much worse than the mainstream media is making it out to be. Reference my annotation on today's Bloomberg article...

The world is desperately need a second green revolution. Rising emerging market standards of living are consuming increasing amounts of food. Reserves are now at 20 year lows. The world population has doubled from 3.5 to 7 billion since the sixties, eating up surpluses, and is expected to rise to 9 billion by 2050. An impending global famine has not escaped the notice of major hedge funds. (POT), (AGU), (MON), (DBA).

New Jersey Governor Chris Christie proposed a $29.3 billion budget that would suspend property-tax rebates, skip the state’s $3 billion pension contribution and fire 1,300 workers next year. Not to worry, the state pension fund is investing billions into hedge funds and other alternative investments to get them out of their pension hole. I wish them luck...

We think that China is an indestructible economic juggernaut but its economy is very fragile and it is sitting on a property bubble which will burst. What China does in response has major implications for their economy and the rest of the world. This is the second part of a three-part series on this topic.

How do YOU spell deflation (followed by runaway inflation)?

Daily charts of EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, USDCAD, NZDUSD & USDSGD

I have warned my readers about following myths and legends versus reality and facts several times in the past, particularly as it applies to Goldman Sachs and what I have coined "Name Brand Investing". Very recent developments from Senator Kaufman of Delaware will be putting the spit-shined patina of Wall Street's most powerful bank to the test, as it appears he ain't playin'. Here's the speech from the esteemed Senator from Delaware (yes, the most corporate friendly state in this country), complete with an analysis that you will NEVER see in the mainstream media!!!

A second deflationary tidal wave may hit the US early as April. The Dow is going to crash, possibly heading for a double bottom at 6,000, and bonds are going up for the rest of the year. Gold has had it for the foreseeable future. First, deflation, then inflation. The greatest trade of your lifetime is setting up. This trend could start tomorrow, or in two years. Blow your entry point, and you’ll get wiped out. Oh, and by the way, crude oil futures are discounting war with Iran by 2013!

“The private equity industry always pitches how constructive it is as an investor force to create jobs and growth,” says Mr. des Pallières. “But there are private equity funds that get rich by breaking companies and making others poor — whether they are creditors, states or employees.”

Instead of going into a lengthy analysis about the pros and cons of Chris Dodd's financial reform bill, I'll let the Senator speak for himself ...