Archive - Jan 16, 2011 - Blog entry

Pervasive bullishness combined with current market fundamentals, the need for QE2 to continue (amid hints of QE3 and beyond), and the mass outbreak of riots over runaway inflation, leaves us rather reluctant to start waving our market rally pompoms.

HO HO HO! Santa Claus rally did happen (again!!!). Perhaps, this seasonal phenomenon is really worth playing. Following the previous analysis in November, technically the markets were carving out bullish structure across the board with the fundamental backdrop of QE2 – therefore a few conditional (bullish/reversal candles at key levels) calls were made, which went down successfully. However, at this juncture probability increases for sizeable pullbacks and corrections in risk assets.

Counter trade the flood?

Many years ago, there was an Emperor so fond of the Keynesian style...