Archive - Dec 2012 - Blog entry

December 15th

CrownThomas's picture

Who Was Ludwig von Mises





"it then dawned on me that all the improvements in the conditions of the working classes were the result of capitalism. social laws brought about the very opposite of what the legislation was intended to achieve"

 

Reggie Middleton's picture

Real Numbers That Show Why Facebook's Ad Model Means Google Will Put It Out Of Business





Isn't it amazing that you can get more notoriety for showing your ass and a pretty smile than you can get for outing the scam of the decade through intellectual analysis? More money was lost through the Facebook scam IPO at $38 than Bernie Madoff could ever have pulled off.

 

Marc To Market's picture

The Trend Wants to be Your Friend Again





 

The US dollar moved lower over the past week against the major currencies, with the notable exception of the Japanese yen.  The greenback's technical tone has deteriorated.  The euro and sterling appear to have convincingly broken above significant down trend lines.  With the holiday season upon us, there seems to be no compelling technical reason not to look for a continuation of dollar weakness into the end of the year.  Few are incentivized to fight the trend.

 

The extent of the Fed's easing, and the implication of its guidance, suggests an even more dovish posture than the expansion of QE3+ (remember it was purposely open-ended, unlike QE1 and QE2). While the euro zone economy appears to be contracting this quarter at a slightly faster pace than in Q3, the slowdown in the US is more dramatic.  Growth may be more than cut in half from the 2.7% annual pace seen in Q3.   The fiscal cliff is the main cause of consternation at the moment.  Although there is private negotiations taking place, the public posturing is what investors have to guide them, and it is not particularly flattering.

 

 

December 14th

George Washington's picture

Biggest Social Media Sites Censor Alternative News





“Unreliable News Sources”

 

drhousingbubble's picture

In housing debt we trust.





The assumption that households are doing much better simply because the stock market is up is really a problematic understanding of how wealth is dispersed across the United States. I vividly remember a handful of parties back during the peak of the bubble where people would often quote how much their net worth went up courtesy of the housing bubble. “My home that I bought in the 1990s is now worth over $1 million.” As all of you know, until you sell the home those gains are largely on paper and many did not sell. In fact, many tapped out large portions of that equity and spent it. This is why even with home prices moderately recovering US households still have close to record low equity in their homes. It probably does not help that low down payment FHA insured loans are such a large part of the market encouraging Americans to make the biggest purchase of their lives with very little down. The Fed reported last week on net worth figures and it is worth digging deep into the data.

 

AVFMS's picture

14 Dec 2012 – “ Stuck in the Middle with You ” (Stealers Wheel, 1972)





Utterly boring Friday session, worsened by year end inactivity… PMI figures, which were actually needed on the more positive side to justify the latest levels in Risk were just so so in Europe. But, who cares? Periphery recovering further with Spain actually the best performer on the week (outside the bailed-out gang). US stuck despite better figures.

"Stuck in the Middle with You" (Bunds 1,35% unch; Spain 5,37% -1; Stoxx 2628 +0,2%; EUR 1,314 +60)

 

williambanzai7's picture

TiMe MaGaZiNe ReaDeR PoLL: PRoPaGaNGNaM STYLe





And this year's winner is...

 

Marc To Market's picture

Europe: The Vision Thing





The euro has been the strongest currency this week.  At pixel time it is up about 1.2%.  The Dow Jones Stoxx 600 made new 18-month highs earlier in the week before consolidating in the second half of the week.  Bond markets were mostly lower, though Greece, for obvious reasons, Spain and Portugal were exceptions to the generalization.   

 

 

Marc To Market's picture

Four Drivers, Little Movement





With few exceptions, the global capital markets which began the week with a bang, are finishing with a whimper.  The US dollar is little changed against the major and emerging market currencies.   Asia stocks were by and large flat, with the notable exception of Chinese stocks, where the major indices jumped a  little more than 4%. 

European bourses are mixed, with gains and losses mostly less than 0.25% near midday in London.  Spanish and Italian bond yields are slightly lower, but activity is quiet.   

Despite the subdued tone there are four developments to note

 

December 13th

testosteronepit's picture

Germany’s Favorite Rabble-Rouser Economist Lashes Out





The longer you delay needed “radical measures,” the more private investors will be able to sell “their toxic paper without haircut to governmental bailout funds, and then hightail.”

 

lemetropole's picture

A Totally Different Ballgame Soon / Crime In A Flash





A.M. Kitco Metals Roundup: Gold Drops Below $1,700 Following another Mysterious Price Drop in Asian Trading

Gold set for dramatic correction: hedge fund manager

 
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