Archive - 2012 - Blog entry

December 8th

AVFMS's picture

Shuffle Rewind 03-07 Dec " Only When I Sleep " (The Corrs, 1997)





Shuffle Rewind 03-07 Dec " Only When I Sleep " (The Corrs, 1997)

This week in review (compared to Fri 30 Nov COB):

Click on day for related post, on title for song.

 

Marc To Market's picture

Currency Positioning and Technical Outlook: Stirred by not Shaken





 

We have been tracking the deterioration of the US dollar's technical tone over the past three weeks.  That ended abruptly.  Weak euro area data, a more dovish than expected ECB, and heightened political uncertainty in Italy, saw the euro reverse lower after briefly moving above an eighteen month-old downtrend.   

 

The UK also cut its growth outlook, and poor data increases the likelihood that the BOE  may have to resume its gilt purchases in the new year, though consumer inflation expectations have ticked up recently.  

 

At the same time, there appears to be little progress on the US fiscal talks.  Whenever a top official signals this, the dollar seems to tick up on risk-off considerations, though with diminishing impact.  The stronger than expected November employment data is not sufficient to stay the Fed's hand and the FOMC will most likely expand the long-term assets purchased under QE3+ at its meeting that concludes on December 12.

 

 

December 7th

George Washington's picture

7.3 Earthquake Rattles Fukushima





Government Warns 8.0 Quake Possible

 

Phoenix Capital Research's picture

Three Charts Every Stock Investor Should See





 

The market continues to track the same pattern it performed going into the failed debt ceiling talks of July 2011. As you’ll recall, then as is the case now, US politicians failed to reach a credible solution to the US’s debt problems. What followed was a credit rating downgrade and a market collapse.

 

 

williambanzai7's picture

TORA, BoRa, TORA!





Pearl Harbor Day 2012

 

AVFMS's picture

07 Dec 2012 – “ Bruttosozialprodukt ” (Geier Sturzflug, 1982)





Hmmm… Need to find another way to kill time until Year End. Morning highs, lunch time lows and then trailing the US. EGBs on the stronger side with augurs seeing a weakening Germany and calls for lower rates putting the EUR under pressure. Ok, Germans: now work! Somebody has to pay the bills!

"Bruttosozialprodukt " (Bunds 1,3% +1; Spain 5,45% -1; Stoxx 2597 -0,3%; EUR 1,295 -20)

 

govttrader's picture

Reading The Bond Market Price Action Post-NFP





In order to make sense of the price action COMING OUT OF the number, we first need to know what positioning was GOING INTO the number.

 

Marc To Market's picture

Dollar Stays Bid: Take Five





The US dollar extended yesterday's gains and remain bid ahead of the November jobs report.   The deterioration of the economic and political situation in the euro area appears to be the single biggest factor behind the greenback's sharp recovery.   The dollar is little changed against the yen as the market grapples with the implication of the earthquake and tsunami.  

 

Asian equity markets were mostly higher with the MSCI Asia-Pacific Index was up about 0.25% and,. of note, the Shanghai Composite extended this week's recovery, gaining 1.6% to bring the weekly advance to 4.1%.  European bourses are bit heavier.    Spanish and Italian bonds remain under pressures, while Greek bond yields continue to fall as a the bond buy back offer expires today and the market anticipates a successful conclusion.  

 

We share five observations today. 

 

December 6th

williambanzai7's picture

PRoPaGaNDA 101





"Propaganda is to Democracy, what the bludgeon is to the Totalitarian State."--Noam Chomsky

 

testosteronepit's picture

The Alarming “Sense Of Pauperization” in France





A “new era”: 48% of the French consider themselves living in poverty or on the way to it.

 

ilene's picture

Thursday - Trading in an Untradeable Market





No politics, no "death crosses" - just simple fundamentals.

 

George Washington's picture

Update On Potential War Against Syria





Chemical Weapons, Russian Warships and Terrorists

 

AVFMS's picture

06 Dec 2012 – “ Magic Carpet Ride ” (Steppenwolf, 1968)





Strong start in Risk to take out new 2012 highs in Equities and trying to retrace near 2012 Credit lows, too. Core EGBs cool. Bunga Square’s rug pulling scuttled all that easy living by noon, weighting on the Periphery and boosting Core EGBs. ECB gloomy. Equity – bond divergence not a flyer yet, though… US sideways and Risk Watchers back to scanning European politics. EUR falling of the carpet.

"Magic Carpet Ride" (Bunds 1,29% -6; Spain 5,46% +8; Stoxx 2605 +0,6%; EUR 1,297 -100)

 

williambanzai7's picture

McAFee ViRuS WaRNiNG





This keeps popping up on my screen. How do I remove it?

 
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