Archive - Jul 6, 2015 - Blog entry

Greece is not the real issue for Europe. The entire Greek debt market is about €345 billion in size. So we’re not talking about a massive amount of collateral… though the turmoil this country has caused in the last three years gives a sense of the importance of the issue.

Spain has over $1.0 trillion in debt outstanding… and Italy has €2.6 trillion. These bonds are backstopping tens of trillions of Euros’ worth of derivatives trades. A haircut on them would trigger systemic failure in Europe.

Run for cover!

Presented for your consideration...

Like a game of chess Tsipras may have just sacrificed a knight in order to achieve a greater strategic aim – the marketing of a compromise deal to highly sceptical northern European countries. Were Greece to be expelled, and our television screens filled with Greek humanitarian causes, the likelihood of any euro nation passing additional powers to an increasingly European feckless elite has become essentially zero.

Why having a "Terminator" mindset of being focused is critical to success in trading and investing

The Greek default is a forcible contraction of credit, and bound to be negative for the prices of ordinary assets. But something extraordinary happened to silver this week.