Archive - Nov 7, 2015 - Story

"Defeated isn’t the right word. The right word is annihilated.”

"Sluggish activity will spur firms to repurchase shares in an effort to boost EPS growth" - Goldman Sachs

In case you have been hibernating, the European Union (EU) is already in a complete state of disarray. Everywhere you look - economy, politics, security, society, demographics - there are very serious problems with no credible solution in sight. This does not bode well for the future of the EU, starting with those who will be living in it.  The EU doesn't need any nationalists to destroy its future prospects. It’s doing absolutely fine on its own.

"Things are crazy," says Charles Biderman summing up this bizarre situation. "We’re seeing the impact of the global slowdown on the US and that’s going to continue" adds the TrimTabs founder, and, in contrast to the mainstream view on Wall Street, he doesn’t think that the Fed is going to raise interest rates (and is more likely to start a new stimulus program). "Ultimately there will be a major correction," he warns and any new stimulus will merely serve the drug-addicted market.

"Not happy w $19k/yr prems, up 4x since ACA. Destruction of small business, middle class & private ins market "

The latest small business survey from NFIB shows mounting pressures for small business resulting from limited pricing power and modestly rising wages (in fact the worst pressure since 2008's crash and 1999/2000's plunge). This has not ended well in the past...

As mass migration (otherwise known as refugee crises) remains a topic of concern for much of the world, an increasing number of the world's population is choosing to become American citizens (even as those renouncing American citizenship hits record highs). As MarketWatch notes, nearly 800,000 people decided to become American citizens in the last 12 months and more than a third of them came from Asia...

Taking the Chinese GDP statistics at face value (an increasingly big assumption these days) we point out a rather ominous scenario which seems to be developing in the productivity dynamics of Chinese debt-financed growth.

It must be somewhat ironic for the U.S. progressive moment that a day after Obama officially slammed the seal shut on Transcanada's Keystone XL pipeline after a seven year "review" (and days after the company itself withdrew its application, something which the admin ignored just so it could have the final say on the mater), moments ago an oil tanker train derailed north of Alma, Wisconsin along the Mississippi River 80 miles south of Minneapolis, with at least 32 cars off the tracks.

Forget anything you might read about “brutal dictators” that need to go or the importance of “democracy” to the region. That's dumbed-down pablum for the masses and has literally nothing to do with the motivations of the (clinically insane) external power brokers actually driving the events on the ground and crafting the narrative that is faithfully scribed and re-told by the media. In fact, disturbingly often, the scribed narrative is exactly opposite of the truth.

"The Fed is a relic of the age of command and control. The Fed is an anachronism,” Grant tells Bloomberg TV in this excellent interview, "The Fed ought to get out of the business of masterminding ‘the American enterprise,’ what we call the U.S. economy." Central bankers, Grant adds, by pressing rates to nothing, have given rise to this "very pleasant kind of inflation we call bull markets." While bull markets are great insofar as they reflect what is actually going on, "they are very dangerous to the extent that they are the artificial creation of artificial interest rates."

While the stock market had one of its best months in years, it was, like the jobs report, uncorroborated by almost everything else. The junk bond bubble, in particular, stands in sharp and stark refutation of whatever stocks might be incorporating, especially if that might be based upon assumptions of Yellen’s re-found backbone. As noted on several prior occasions, swap spreads have been sinking fast and to unprecedented levels. Though mainstream commentary will provide plausible-sounding excuses, mostly about corporate or even UST issuance, that is only because these places will not even consider that Janet Yellen has it all wrong; thus, they only search for possibilities that allow that narrative to remain undisturbed even though that narrative itself can never account for negative spreads.

The truth... will set you debt-serfs free.