Archive - Nov 9, 2015 - Story

"On our estimates $360bn of capital left China during the previous two quarters and an additional $210bn left from the rest of EM." That folks, is what you call an exodus...

Does it really take courage for unelected economic bureaucrats to print up trillions of dollars of taxpayers’ money in order to bail out Wall Street banks? I’m sure it will certainly take courage if the taxpayer finally wakes up to the ruse before it fails. And sooner or later, every ruse does fail, even when run by the world’s most powerful cartel.

20...!

Last week, under pressure from companies including Buffett’s BNSF - which has spent more money lobbying Congress this year than any other railroad - U.S. legislators passed, and President Obama signed, a law that delays the so-called positive train control mandate. That means railroad operators can put off having to buy and install equipment that safety advocates say would have prevented accidents that have claimed more than 245 lives and caused over 4,200 injuries since the NTSB began calling for the technology in 1969.

The world is bankrupt after thirty years of borrowing from the future to throw a party in the present, and the authorities can’t acknowledge that. But they can provide the conditions for disguising it, especially in the statistical hall of mirrors that once-upon-a-time produced meaningful signals for the movement of capital. The Dow, the S&P, and the NASDAQ are the only signaling mechanisms that the legacy media pays attention to, and the politicos take their cues from them, in a feedback loop of false information that begets more delusional positive psychology in those same markets.

“Nobody wants to go back to the days of the Cold War ... but the concept of contingency forces … that is exactly what we should be doing.”

"What difference does it make?"

Today’s system is essentially a system that can drift ever further away from reality through temporal discoordination, resource misallocation and eventually capital consumption. The final coordinating mechanism is nothing less than economic recession. Without them society would regress, impoverishing first the poor, then the middle class and in the end all socioeconomic layers of society.

The EU expects 3 million refugees in 2016. This year, there will be ‘only’ 1 million. Of which resettlement deals have been made for 160,000, and at last count 116 have actually been resettled. The 1 million refugees in 2015 have already strained resources, international relationships and indeed entire governments to such an extent, wars could start just because of that. Add another 3 million, and the chances of a peaceful 2016 in Europe grow terribly slim.. The fact is that Europe risks being strained to the point of military conflict.

It has not been a good year for former Bear trader "right person at the right time" with his subprime short, John Paulson who after getting slammed on Valeant, if not quite as badly as Ackman, moments ago saw a quarter of his investment in Mallinckrodt - where he is a top3 holder - wiped out, when Citron tweeted that "MNK has significantly more downside than Valeant" and is a far worse offender of the reimbursement system.

Having dramatically converged to the tumbling price of WTI Crude, Trannies are jumping dramatically after Bloomberg runs the following flashing-red headline: *CANADIAN PACIFIC SAID TO EXPLORE TAKEOVER OF NORFOLK SOUTHERN. Amid crashing railcar loadings (down over 23% YoY - worst since the financial crisis), this 'syngery' may make some sense but will likely only mean moar layoffs as "two wrongs do not make a right."

"Historically, the statistical or mathematical properties of the financial markets have shifted as the economic recovery nears full employment (i.e., at about the 5% unemployment rate the contemporary recovery has reached). Traditionally, at this point in the recovery, the stock market suffers more frequent declines, bond yields rise more often, average annualized returns from both asset classes are lower, diversification benefits tend to diminish, and recession risk is enhanced."