Archive

September 25th, 2016

Hillary, Trump "In Dead Heat" WaPo Finds, As Latest Poll Gives Trump 1 Point Lead Ahead Of Debate

According to the latest WaPo/ABC News poll, Hillary and Trump are set to meet for their first debate "in a virtual dead heat in the race for the White House." While likely voters are split 46% for Clinton vs. 44% for Trump, a sharp rebound for Trump in recent weeks, among registered voters, Clinton and Trump are tied at 41 percent, with Johnson at 7 percent and Stein at 2 percent.

Bond Risk Crashes To 2-Year Lows As VIX Shorts Fold

After 10 straight weeks of increasingly bullish speculative positioning ('longer' stock futures and 'shorter' VIX futures), the last 2 weeks have seen short VIX bets plunge at the fastest rate since pre-Brexit and the Aug 2015 crash. At the same time as this surge to hedging, the day since The Fed's utterly farcical fold have seen bond volatility crash to its lowest in two years.

Dilbert Creator Scott Adams Explains Why He Switched His Endorsement To Trump

"...I don’t understand the policy details and implications of most of either Trump’s or Clinton’s proposed ideas. Neither do you. But I do understand persuasion. I also understand when the government is planning to confiscate the majority of my assets. And I can also distinguish between a deeply unhealthy person and a healthy person, even though I have no medical training. (So can you.)"

Chinese Contagion Risks Surge: Banks' Reliance On Each Other For Funding Hits All Time High

China’s smaller banks have never been more reliant on each other for funding, prompting rating companies to warn of contagion risks in any crisis.  "Contagion risks are definitely rising," according to S&P: "The pace of the development is concerning. If this isn’t stopped in time, the central bank will lose some control and flexibility of its monetary policy."

A Turning Point In The US Presidential Campaign. What Happened?

If Hillary Clinton’s illness had not materialized, someone would probably have had to have made one up for her. The Democratic presidential candidate’s dramatic drop in popularity just over the course of the last month has been attributed to her sudden health issues and pneumonia. Of course they’re claiming that Clinton will recover and that her extraordinary determination to keep fighting will make voters even more sympathetic to her. The biggest US media outlets are helping her spin that.

Why Hedge Funds Remain The Worst Performing Asset Class Of 2016

It's been a bad year for hedge funds as a result of significantly underperforming the market, coupled with the biggest wave of redemptions since the financial crisis. Unfortunately, according to the latest Goldman data, there is no reprieve in sight. As the following chart from David Kostin shows, both global macro hedge funds and equity long short funds are the worst performing assets YTD on both a total return and risk-adjusted basis.

Amazon "Tweaks" Its Hillary Book Stats: Doubles '5-Star' Reviews Overnight

Two short weeks ago, we exposed the gaping difference between Amazon reader reviews of Hillary Clinton's "Stronger Together" book (14% 5-Stars) and Donald Trump's "Great Again" book (74% 5-Stars) as The New York Times described Clinton's propaganda as a "flop." So, as with everything else in this 'new normal rigged' world, something had to be done and WaPo-owner Jeff Bezos' Amazon reviews appear to have been 'tweaked' - more than doubling Hillary's top reviews.