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Jobless Claims: 454,000 - Stagflation Baby (Confirmed By Durable Goods)

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Expectation of 405,000... Print: 454,000! Worst print in forever (well, October). The BLS calls it a "weather related backlog." Read - snow. Call it what it is - Stagflation, baby.

Non-seasonally adjusted number came at 482,399, as 161,913 people fell off extended benefits.

Continuing claims: 3,991K on expectations of 3,873K.

And just to complete the stagflationary picture, durable goods decreased by 2.5% on expectations of plus 1.5%, down from -0.1%. "This decrease, down four of the last five months, followed a 0.1 percent November decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.5 percent. Excluding defense, new orders decreased 2.5 percent."

Note the level of deterioration: durables down from -0.1% to -2.5%, durables ex transportation to 0.5% from 4.5%; Orders non-defense ex aircraft: 1.4% from 3.1%... Bloodbath.

QE3 here we come!

The state by state breakdown is like the insider selling to buying ratio, only flipped, and very much made up.

STATES WITH A DECREASE OF MORE THAN 1,000 (unadjusted)


State

Change

 

State Supplied Comment

NY

-28,714

 

Fewer layoffs in the construction, service, and transportation
industries.

GA

-19,429

 

Fewer layoffs in the construction, trade, service, and manufacturing
industries.

NC

-16,132

 

Fewer layoffs in the construction, trade, service, food,
textile, furniture, rubber/plastics, and lumber/wood industries.

PA

-14,859

 

Fewer layoffs in the construction, service, and transportation
industries.

CA

-14,309

 

Fewer layoffs in the service industry.

IL

-10,155

 

No comment.

AL

-9,550

 

Fewer layoffs in the construction, service, and manufacturing
industries.

MI

-9,464

 

Fewer layoffs in the construction industry.

SC

-7,318

 

Fewer layoffs in the manufacturing industry.

TX

-7,190

 

Fewer layoffs in the trade, service, and manufacturing industries.

OH

-6,776

 

No comment.

WI

-6,640

 

No comment.

CT

-6,545

 

Fewer layoffs in the transportation and manufacturing industries.

WA

-6,228

 

No comment.

VA

-6,107

 

State offices were closed 1/14/2011, as well as fewer layoffs
in the manufacturing industry.

MO

-5,871

 

No comment.

IN

-5,608

 

Fewer layoffs in the automobile and trade industries.

MA

-5,317

 

Fewer layoffs in the construction, trade, service, and manufacturing
industries.

NJ

-4,579

 

Fewer layoffs in the construction, trade, service, transportation,
warehousing, and manufacturing industries.

TN

-4,576

 

Fewer layoffs in the trade, service, and manufacturing industries.

KS

-4,541

 

No comment.

KY

-3,218

 

No comment.

MN

-3,054

 

No comment.

MD

-2,957

 

No comment.

OR

-2,203

 

No comment.

CO

-1,733

 

No comment.

MS

-1,728

 

No comment.

LA

-1,504

 

No comment.

AZ

-1,328

 

No comment.

AR

-1,266

 

Fewer layoffs in the trade industry.

MT

-1,206

 

No comment.

UT

-1,017

 

No comment.


STATES WITH AN INCREASE OF MORE THAN 1,000 


State

Change

 

State Supplied Comment

FL

+6,646

 

Layoffs in the construction, trade, and service industries,
and agriculture.

 

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Thu, 01/27/2011 - 10:08 | 909087 apberusdisvet
apberusdisvet's picture

Guess the Shadowstats number will be close to 30%.

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 10:09 | 909089 sabra1
sabra1's picture

aren't humans considered durable goods?

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 10:48 | 909180 bingaling
bingaling's picture

No but the CFTC is working a new Wash DC initiative to get more people employed with trade labor cost contracts . Delivery will be 10000 humans willing to work at whatever delivery price was agreed upon in the open market  . If you are looking for work you just register with the homeland security ,after a backround check and 12 strip searches,  they then send you to a Fema camp to be trained where you either get a job or are never heard from again .

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 10:11 | 909091 The Talmud Kid
The Talmud Kid's picture

chairman maOBAMA's 5 year plan is realizing it's intended consequences.

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 12:18 | 909445 Rule of 72
Rule of 72's picture

Way ahead of schedule, too.

Just amazing that a "communist organizer" (Alinsky's term for "community organizer") would be so destructive.  Knock me over with a feather.

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 10:12 | 909092 The Axe
The Axe's picture

SNOW   bitches..its snow...ha ha ha 

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 10:12 | 909097 ak_khanna
ak_khanna's picture

The jobs could have been saved if :-

The government had let the big banks fail.
OR
Pressed criminal charges on the people in top management positions of those banks for fraud and changed the management of those banks before offering it a bailout.

Immediatel­y Reinstated the Glass Stegall Act.

Government could have used the bailout money to fund infrastruc­ture projects around the country which would have created jobs immediatel­y. Instead they chose to hand free money over to their buddies (same people who caused the crises because of speculatio­n and leverage) for speculatio­n in stock and commoditie­s markets.

Taken quicker steps to reduce housing loan principle in order to make it easier for the majority of the population to pay their monthly installmen­ts while staying in their homes thus avoiding foreclosur­e.

But of course we can keep on dreaming.

http://www­.marketora­cle.co.uk/­Article245­81.html

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 10:58 | 909226 bingaling
bingaling's picture

We are way past solutions around here buddy . We are just looking for a way to get through the tsunami that's coming

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 21:40 | 911645 Buck Johnson
Buck Johnson's picture

I agree with the first poster that all that should have been done but they had to save their friends and it's now to late.  You are correct, we are way past any viable solution.  Because like any problem the longer you let it go the worst it can get, and in this case they have allowed it to go so long and with half hearted or no attempt whatsoever, is that the only thing that is left is to accept what is coming.  What is coming toward the US economy is an imploded economy.  All those people who thought these paper promises and judgements protected them is in for a rude shock.  When they don't get their SS or medicaid or food stamps or whatever federal govt. subsidy that is needed, they will be crying literally.  Because our own leaders and even our society as a whole as dumbed down most americans and made them almost child like in their view of the world and reasoning.

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 11:48 | 909378 QQQBall
QQQBall's picture

No, the jobs would not have miracvulously been saved. Too much fraud and deamnd pulled forward. It would have been a shit sadwich either way; they are just making it worse as J6P provides the fuel to let the insiders out of the market and backstop losses on shit paper passed to GSEs and anywhere else they can stuff it on a Market to Myth basis.

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 10:15 | 909109 monopoly
monopoly's picture

you guys just do not get it. It was the wx. Has nothing to do with the economy. Come on. Steve Leisman, that CNBC intelligent, well spoken and honest hack, I mean commentator, always gets it right.

It just goes on and on. No shorts.

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 10:21 | 909119 Racer
Racer's picture

And in the meantime, the market continues to go up so the richer can get richer selling into this fake market whilst pushing up prices on essentials for the poor, sick and elderly

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 10:20 | 909121 Rodent Freikorps
Rodent Freikorps's picture

We went off a cliff and they are trying to convince us we are flying.

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 10:29 | 909153 Bob
Bob's picture

We are precious snowflakes!

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 11:02 | 909240 KickIce
KickIce's picture

We're Wyle E Coyote, we just havn't looked down yet.

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 19:46 | 911293 hamurobby
hamurobby's picture

Exactly what Im thinking.

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 10:21 | 909126 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

SNOW WAY , dont believe it !

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 10:30 | 909155 Seasmoke
Seasmoke's picture

well we have now found out the TRUE meaning of SNOW JOB

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 10:32 | 909160 Gimp
Gimp's picture

QE3, 4, 5, and 6 are being loaded as we speak...print our way into prosperity, all is well. DOW 36,000....

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 10:37 | 909169 Boilermaker
Boilermaker's picture

The REITs are soaring as usual...you can't even make it up anymore.  It's just ridiculous at this point.

SPG is, of course, over it's $100 per share threshold.  The IYR and RMZ are in their gravity defying launch mode.

I quit...I really do.

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 10:37 | 909171 dcb
dcb's picture

but it didn't touch the futures

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 10:49 | 909203 whatz that smell
whatz that smell's picture

IF: headline(x)

THEN: btfd

ELSE: go broke

RETURN

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 10:52 | 909209 profoundlogic
profoundlogic's picture

Snow job or blow job, either way we're fucked.  Just how many crooks, er I mean economists attend the world economic forum in Davos?

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 11:03 | 909244 UnRealized Reality
UnRealized Reality's picture

Pending home sale 2.0% exp. 1.0%. What about the Fucking SNOW. The fuckers should rot in HELL.

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 11:04 | 909247 Alex Lionson
Alex Lionson's picture

From CNBC on the topic of Gold's decline:

A raft of positive economic data from the United States and more hawkish signals from some other central bank officials have also sparked speculation that certain major economies would move to raise interest rates sooner than previously thought.

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 11:31 | 909334 mophead
mophead's picture

Unemployment is a lagging indicator...wa wa.

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 11:45 | 909368 Calculated_Risk
Calculated_Risk's picture

"JOBLESS RECOVERY" beotchess!!!!

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 11:58 | 909401 Thunder Dome
Thunder Dome's picture

CUT THE CORD!

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 12:18 | 909444 blunderdog
blunderdog's picture

When is someone going to come up with a 3x leveraged UI ETF?

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 12:23 | 909457 Rule of 72
Rule of 72's picture

Guys, the good news is that there are still over 130 million people working.  Dear Leader has saved over 130 million jobs by bailing out the banksters and unions.  Aren't you happy?!

Thu, 01/27/2011 - 14:36 | 909964 ThirdCoastSurfer
ThirdCoastSurfer's picture

Bravo to Illinois!  The tax increase hasn't caused panic. Apparently, outside of hiring the lame and the useless as a civic duty,  employment is based on need regardless of the cost. 

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