Frontrunning: July 13

  • Greece Capitulates to Creditors’ Demands to Cling to Euro (BBG)
  • Euro zone strikes deal with Greece after all-night struggle (Reuters)
  • Tsipras Moves From Predator to Prey at Euro 'Torture' Summit (BBG)
  • Euro’s Greek Boost Evaporates as Analysts Predict Losses to Come (BBG)
  • Greek Fury Meets Resignation at Demands for Concessions (BBG)
  • Poland Blames ‘Carefree’ Greek Populists for Tough EU Aid Deal (BBG)
  • Europeans Press for Iran Nuclear Deal on Monday (WSJ)
  • Iran nuclear talks: Deal 'near completion' (BBC)
  • In speech, Clinton to put wages at heart of economic policy (Reuters)
  • China’s Incendiary Market Is Fanned by Borrowers and Manipulation (NYT)

Deal Struck Following Total Capitulation By Tsipras: Market Awaits Greek Reaction To Draconian Deal Terms

Just around 9am CET, after a 17-hour mammoth all-night session, Greece did manage to cobble together a "deal" if one may call this latest embarrassing can-kicking that, which was nothing short of total capitulation by Tsipras. As part of the deal, Greece "surrendered to European demands for immediate action to qualify for up to 86 billion euros ($95 billion) of aid Greece needs to stay in the euro" in the words of Bloomberg.

America - We Have A Problem

If "everything is awesome'... and 70% of the US economy is personal consumption... and Q1 weakness was all weather and port related? Then why are these charts doing this...

China Stocks Mixed After Regulators "Bust Illicit Stock Sellers" And Unhalt Over 400 Securities

A modestly positive open in China quickly turned negative as regulators un-halted 408 more stocks, reducing the number suspended to just 36% of all stocks. Along with disappointing trade data (and expectations of "extreme pressure in the next 2-3 months") and regulators cracking down on investors with multiple illegally-obtained margin trading accounts, early strength has faded (for now). Unsurprisingly, the three regions with the most exposure to the crash in stocks are Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Guangdong and, as Bloomberg notes, Chinese police have found their scapegoat some trading companies may have manipulated stock futures (lower we assume, as manipulating a price higher appears to be policy). Stocks are mixed with high beta ChiNext and Shenzhen higher and Shanghai and the CSI-300 lower (the latter having gone nowhere for the last 2 days).

Why NATO Fears 'Grexit'

As far as transatlantic security is concerned, the danger posed by the Grexit is not confined to the questions it raises over Greece's NATO membership, or the security ripple effects caused by the Greek economy's collapse. Grexit's danger lies in the fact that it serves as a symbol of the reversal of transatlantic institutions' fortunes in their attempts to build and maintain a hegemonic political, economic and military order in Europe.

GMO's Montier Shifts To 50% Cash, Sees 3 "Hellish" Scenarios For Markets

"This is definitely the most difficult time to be an asset allocator," warns GMO's James Montier, telling conference attendees in Munich that he hasn't been this risk-averse since 2008. Having warned six months ago that "stocks are hideously expensive...in a central bank sponsored bubble," Montier sees three different "hellish" scenarios and as CityWire reports, warns investors, "I think it's best to stand a bit and hold onto some dry powder," despite the groupthink idolatry being practiced around the world.

Immigration Policy Must Be Decentralized

Last month, the United States Supreme Court declined to take up a case involving Arizona’s and Kansas’s attempts to require proof of citizenship to vote in federal elections. The refusal of the Supreme Court to hear the case yet again sends a message to state and local governments that the federal government shall continue to centrally direct election and immigration law. The net effect is an imposition of a migrant subsidy scheme across all states regardless of the local economic and demographic realities, while ignoring the fact that residents of certain states bear a greater tax burden in subsidizing migrants.

How Fascist Capitalism Functions: The Case Of Greece

There is democratic capitalism, and there is fascist capitalism. What we have today is fascist capitalism; and the following will explain how it works, using as an example the case of Greece. Simply out - The whole system is a money-funnel, from the public, to the aristocracy.

The Crony Capitalist Pretense Behind Warren Buffett's Banking Buys

When Warren Buffet put $5 billion in Berkshire Hathaway funds into Goldman Sachs the week after Lehman failed, amidst total turmoil and panic, it appeared from the outside a high risk bet. Buffet had long tried to portray himself as a folksy engine of traditional stability, investing only in things he could understand, so jumping into a wholesale run of chained liabilities may have seemed more than slightly out of character. We have no particular issue with Buffet making those investments, only the pretense of intentional mysticism that surrounds them. The reason the criticism of crony-capitalism sticks is because this was not Buffet's first intervention to "save" a famed institution on Wall Street. If Buffet's convention is to stick with "things you know" then he has been right there through the whole of the full-scale wholesale/eurodollar revolution.