JPM Cuts 10Y Yield Forecasts "Significantly Lower" Due To Weaker Inflation Outlook

Just one day after Goldman reluctantly cut its 2017 year end forecast on the 10Y yield, it was JPMorgan's turn, and over the weekend JPM announced it was adjusting its US rate forecast "significantly lower", slashing its year end 10Y yield target to 2.75% from 3%, reflecting “a weaker outlook on core inflation and reduced expectations around tax reform and infrastructure spending.”

Here's How Facebook Decides What You Can And Can't See

One of Facebook’s overwhelmed content moderators – who reportedly sometimes have just 10 seconds to decide whether or not a piece of content is appropriate for the site's immense user base or not – appears to have leaked a slideshow outlining the company’s complex rules for governing what Facebook’s 2 billion users can and cannot see to the Guardian.

Bannon, Priebus Return To Washington As Trump Trip Continues

Trump's two key advisors, Reince Priebus and Steven Bannon, returned to Washington after President Donald Trump wrapped up his visit to Saudi Arabia, the first stop on his foreign trip. The decision for Priebus to return to the US was pre-planned, not spur-of-the-moment, White House spokeswoman Huckabee Sanders said.

Key Events In The Coming Week: FOMC Minutes, GDP, BOC, OPEC And More

The key economic releases this week are the durable goods report and Q1 GDP revision on Friday. The minutes of the May FOMC statement will be released on Wednesday at 2PM. In addition, there are several scheduled speaking engagements by Fed officials this week

Russian Hackers Infected 1 Million Bank Customer Smartphones

Russian hacker used malware planted on more than a million Android smartphones to steal over 50 million roubles from domestic bank customers and were planning to target European lenders before their arrest, Reuters reports, noting that the entire group has been arrested.

Dollar Demise Continues To Escalate - Trump-Bump Dumped

It's official, the post-Trump-election gains in the dollar have now been 100% erased as the broad dollar index drops for the 8th day in the last 9 (down 2.4% in that period), to its lowest level since November 6th 2016 - before Trump was elected...

Bitcoin Blows Through $2100

Bitcoin is now up over 135% year-to-date, having screamed above $2000 and $2100 overnight as the dollar limped to 6-month lows...

TINA's Legacy: Free Money, Bread & Circuses, And Collapse

After the collapse of bread and circuses, the population of Rome eventually fell to roughly 25,000. But no worries--this time it's different. We'll get away with it because we buy our own debt, technology is deflationary, and so on. Simply put: the free bread and circuses will never end because we're so powerful and nothing is outside our control.

FX Week Ahead: Highlights Include FOMC, BOC And OPEC

Politics dominate yet again, as focus on Comey testimony set to determine Trump and USD fate.  Fed minutes and OPEC meeting on the same day with the BoC thrown in!  EUR on the front foot and leading the pack as growth and inflation stats heighten tapering expectations, greenback flagging.

Frontrunning: May 22

  • Trump Arrives in Israel, May Show His Cards on the Peace Process (BBG)
  • Taxes, Budget Are Focus for White House Despite Probes (WSJ)
  • Paul Manafort’s Lucrative Ukraine Years Are Central to the Russia Probe (BBG)
  • Ford set to fire CEO Mark Fields as shares founder (Reuters)
  • Producers Set to Extend Cuts as Rally Stalls: OPEC Reality Check (BBG)

Bill Blain: "My Prediction Is That Around October 12 Markets Will Get Horribly Interesting"

"There are just too many contradictory currents out there. The unsustainability of burgeoning consumer debt, unfeasibly tight credit spreads, the sandcastle foundations of student loans, autos, housing and the CLO market, China, Trump, politics.. worries about what follows Brazil in the EM market, and whatever... The risks of a massive consumer sentiment dump."

In Major Shake Up, Ford Fires CEO Mark Fields As Punishment For Declining Stock Price

Confirming weekend rumors of a dramatic management shakeup at Ford, late on Sunday Forbes reported that Ford would replace CEO Mark Fields with Jim Hackett, the former head of office-furniture maker Steelcase who joined the auto maker in 2016. Fields leaves after a 28-year career?at Ford, including a prominent tenure as the head of the company’s North American operation.

Asia Jumps, Europe Stutters As Political Rumblings Return; Oil Nears $51

Global stocks were mixed to start the week, with Asian stocks higher, European stocks initially advancing then fading gains, while S&P futures are little changed after the biggest weekly drop since April (which for those keeping record was -0.4%). European shares, the euro and the pound all stumbled on Monday as rumblings in Spain, Britain and Brussels reminded investors that the region still has plenty of political uncertainty left in the tank.

Euro Surges After Merkel Says Euro Is "Too Weak", Blames ECB

“The euro is too weak - and that’s because of ECB policy  - and so German products are cheap in relative terms,” Merkel told school students in Berlin in discussion of trade surplus. “So they’re sold more.” Merkel added that additional investment in Germany could help to reduce trade surplus.