WTI Crude Tumbles To $45 Handle - Erases Post-FOMC Euphoria

Having pushed up towards $49 in its exuberant "a hawkish fed must mean everything in the world is awesome" way, yesterday's reality check on inventories (rising), production (rising), and The Fed (we are going to hike no matter what) which means the dollar too is surging and is pushing down on commodity prices, has dumped WTI Crude back below $46 and erased all of the gains post-FOMC.

2.1 Million Greeks Face Blackout As Public Power Company Unpaid Bills Soars

Greece’s Public Power Company is angry. The amount of unpaid bills by its customers has reached the astronomic EUR 2.5 billion. The PPC is so angry that it plans to cut the power to those without outstanding debts as soon as possible - a whopping 2.1 million Greeks face darkness.

 

What Rate Hike: US Economic Output Worst Since Q1 2014 With Jobs Now Rolling Over

"Real Output" is perhaps an even more accurate indication of the true state of the US domestic economy considering all the complaints by the Fed over the state of the global economy and eliminate the "noise" from trade which has been depressing GDP for quarters. Unfortunately, what the real output data reveals is not pretty. Rising by 2.3% Y/Y in Q3, this was not only down substantially from 3.4% in Q3 and 3.5% in Q1, but this was the weakest increase since Q1 2014! And then there are jobs...

How One Retailer Is Preparing For The Apocalypse

Zero Hedge first revealed the contingency plans that libertarian online retailer Overstock has implemented "in preparation for the next collapse" ten days ago. Today, the strategy outlined by Overstock Chairman Jonathan Johnson has resonated across the Atlantic and this morning as the Financial Times catches up to the story of an "online retailer hoarding gold as crisis defense" in which it calls the retailer a "redoubt of doomsday conservatism" adding its policy to prepare for the loss of central-planning control is "redolent of the small band of US survivalists preparing for the end of civilisation."

Unit Labor Costs Miss For 3rd Quarter In A Row (For The First Time In 12 Years)

A modest 1.4% rise in unit labor costs in Q3 was dramatically below the expected (and hope-strewn) 2.5% growth and means unit labor costs have missed expectations for the 3rd quarter in a row for the first time since 2003. Perhaps just as bad, historical (weak) data was revised notably lower but of course, as Yellen and Fisher have made clear - none of this matters for the data-un-dependent Fed's December decision.

Initial Jobless Claims Jump Most In 8 Months As Energy Sector Layoffs Spike Back To 6-Month Highs

Just when you thought (for the 10th time this year) that the worst was over in the US energy space, Challenger Grey reports a massive spike in Energy sector layoffs - to six-month highs. For context, energy sector layoffs are 9 times higher in 2015 than 2014 and Texas - with 103,422 layoffs - is the worst state for job cuts (despite Dallas Fed Fisher's previous insistence that the state is 'diversified'). Despite the ongoing side in initial jobless claims, employers have announced 543,935 job cuts in 2015 so far, 31% higher than 2014.

Frontrunning: November 5

  • BOE Stays Cautious on Rate-Hike Timing as Inflation Outlook Cut (BBG)
  • China Enters Bull Market (WSJ)
  • Britain says Islamic State likely brought down Russian plane (Reuters)
  • Dollar jumps as markets fix on December rate expectations (Reuters)
  • Activist Investor Bill Ackman Plays Defense (WSJ)
  • BOJ Survey Data Reveals Signs of Growing Inequality in Japan (BBG)
  • UAW Warns of General Motors Strike If Workers Fail to Approve Contract (WSJ)

Muslim Man Warns Germans: "We Will Marry Your Daughters And Conquer You With Births"

A week ago, we showed a video of what we hoped was not representative of the general sentiment among Germans towards the refugee crisis  as two ladies suggested, "Every year 2-3 million arrive...it’s generally about foreign infiltration." Now we have the other side as the following video shows a muslim man threatening a German that "his daughter will wear a headscarf and marry a Muslim and that Germans stand no chance with their low birth rate," adding that muslims will will "conquer Europe not with weapons, but with birth rates."

The Tools Collectivists Use To Gain Power

Collectivism requires the homogenization of society, to the point that individualism is frowned upon and success is treated as negligible. The nightmare of collectivism is the defining battle of our age. It is in this era that we will decide whether or not individual liberty and freedom of thought are more important than the illusory security and “harmony” of the collective. Collectivism and individualism cannot coexist; confrontation is inevitable. Recognizing this, and preparing for it, is our duty as free human beings.

A "Zero Tolerance" Police State

We’ve almost become numb to horrendous videos like these.. It seems like a new shocking police abuse video sweeps the nation almost every week. These viral videos help bring a small dose of accountability to government employees. And they don’t like it one bit. It’s all part of a long trend. The government will always try to shield itself from the fallout from its behavior. Another favorite tactic is to simply declare troublesome information “classified” or to withhold it because of “national security,” a vague and misused term. It’s an upside down situation. The government can monitor almost any aspect of the average citizen’s life whenever it wants. But it’s difficult to impossible for the average citizen to monitor the government. In a free society, the opposite would be true.

Mission Accomplished? Chinese Stocks Re-Enter "Bull Market" - Up 24% From August Lows

For the 3rd time since the crash in June, Chinese stocks have staged a magnificent recovery. Amid the selling bans, arrests, deaths, manipulation, massive direct government buying, and general happy-talk propoganda, Chinese stocks are now up 24% from the August lows... Of course, we are sure every one of the grandmas and farmers - fully levered - clung on through the dips.. and are now still 32% down from the June highs...

Desperate-To-Hike Fed Admits "Inflation Is Not As Low As You Think"

Following this morning's basic admission by Janet Yellen that "no matter what" The Fed is raising rates in December (which was then solemnly supported by an obedient Bill Dudley who "100% agrees with Yellen"), Fed Vice-Chair Stan Fischer, speaking tonight, reaffirmed this belief by, as we detailed previously, telling investors to ignore weak inflation. After San Fran Fed's Williams admission that "there's something going on here we don't understand," Fischer tonight admitted "US inflation is not as low as you think," at once contradicting Yellen's earlier comments and the various market-based measures, while confirming our previous detailed solving of the mystery of the hidden inflation.

October Gun Sales Hit Record High For Six Consecutive Months

Today the FBI released its latest background check data - a proxy for total gun sales in the United States as most gun purchases require a background check - in which we find that, as expected, Obama's latest threat to implement stricter gun controls backfried once more, and the month of October saw a record number of background checks. The same was true for September, August, and so on: in fact, October the sixth consecutive month to see a record number of checks

War, Big Government, & Lost Freedom

The lasting legacy of the First World War has been the rationales and implementations of paternalist Big Government in the Western world, with its diminished recognition and respect for individual liberty, free association, freedom of competitive trade and exchange, reduced civil liberties and weakened impartial rule of law. From this has followed the regulating and redistributing State, which includes political control and manipulation of the monetary and banking systems to serve those in governmental power and others who feed at the trough of governmental largess. It is a legacy that will likely take another century to completely overcome and reverse, if we are able to devise a strategy for restoring the idea and ideal of a society of liberty.