US Manufacturing PMI Misses By Most Since 2013, Presidential Election Blamed

Given the extraordinary jumps in several regional Fed surveys, hope was rife that US Manufacturing PMI's flash print would jump... it didn't. Hovering near multi-year lows at 51.4, PMI missed expectations of 51.9 by the most since Aug 2013. With record highs in wholesale inventories, Markit claims that "pre-production inventories decline at the steepest pace in over 2 years." The blame for this plunge: dollar strength, weak global demand, and Trump.

Janet Yellen: Monetary Arsonist - Armed, Dangerous And Lost

Simple Janet should have the decency to resign. The Fed’s craven decision last week to punt on interest rate normalization is not merely a reminder that she is clueless and gutless; we already knew that much. Given the overwhelming facts on the ground - 4.9% unemployment, 2.3% core CPI and a 23.7X PE multiple on the S&P 500 - her decision to “pause” after 87 months of ZIRP actually proves she is a blindfolded monetary arsonist - armed, dangerous and lost.

Goldman Says To Sell Risk Assets, Go To Cash Ahead Of "Expected Elevated Volatility"

The latest to join in the skepticism rally is none other than Goldman Sachs strategist Christian Mueller-Glissmann who in the latest "Global Opportunity Asset Locator" report, writes that the "relief rally across risky assets might fade over the near term", warns that "sharp declines in oil prices are likely to weigh on risky assets again", suggests to go to "reduce risk allocation", warns against holding US HY bonds as "the risk/reward is least favourable if oil prices reverse course" and "go to cash" ahead of "expected elevated volatility."

Frontrunning: March 22

  • Brussels Rocked by Deadly Attacks With Blasts at Airport, Subway (BBG)
  • Death count climbs in Brussels blasts (Reuters)
  • Europe on High Alert After Blasts in Belgium (WSJ)
  • Brussels Phone Users Urged to Text Not Call as Networks Jammed (BBG)
  • U.S. Embassy Urges Citizens in Brussels to Shelter in Place (BBG)
  • Oil prices swept lower after Brussels blasts spook investors (Reuters)

Global Markets, S&P500 Futures Fall After Brussels Bombings

This morning's Brussels suicide attacks have led to risk-off sentiment across European asset classes, with Bunds higher and equities firmly in the red, although if the Paris terrorist attacks of November are any indication, today's tragic events may be just the catalyst the S&P500 needs to surge back to all time highs. FX markets have also been dominated by events in Brussels, with USD and JPY strengthening, while EUR and GBP softening throughout the European morning.

Whose Bright Idea Was It To Show A Naked Melania Trump In An Attack Ad?

If anything, this ad could lead to a surprising last minute surge for Trump. And yes, if the democrats (and non-Trump republicans) want to desperately lose the national election, they should certainly show more naked photos of Melania Trump on social networks and/or TV. 

Will The American People Succeed In Clawing-Back Their Democracy?

In 1994 Christopher Lasch wrote in The Revolt of the Elites: “In our time, the chief threat seems to come from those at the top of the social hierarchy.” As Lasch said, the greed of the elites for money and power have undermined the constitutional basis of the United States. The elites have used their power to betray democracy. Will the American people succeed in clawing back their democracy?

Soon After We Sounded The Alarm, Canada's Regulator Warns Local Banks Are Underreserved To Energy Losses

Two months after we first suggested that Canadian lenders are woefully underreserved to future oil and gas loan losses, we are happy to announce that Canada's regulator has heard our warning, and as the WSJ reported, "Canada’s banking regulator is urging the country’s major banks to review their accounting practices to ensure they have sufficient reserves as the commodity-price collapse takes a toll on the economy."

Turkey Is Now Paying The Price For "Creating ISIS Monster It Can No Longer Control"

"...you cannot expect to train a monster like this in Turkey and expect to use it against your enemies alone. One should expect that ISIS would turn against the regime in Ankara and in Turkey at some point. When Turkey was buying the oil from ISIL, it knew very well that was a way... to finance ISIL. So Turkey now is paying the price of playing with a devil and creating a monster that it cannot control anymore."

This Critical Consumer Is Buying Gold For The First Time In Three Weeks

Major news in the gold market over the weekend. With the world’s largest gold-consuming nation reaching an agreement to resume metal sales for the first time in nearly three weeks. That’s in India. A critical gold consumer globally, where buying had been idled since the beginning of March by a nation-wide strike by the jewelry sector.  But that strike is now officially over. With the president of India Bullion and Jewelers Association, Mohit Kamboj, announcing late Saturday that jewellers have reached an agreement with the government to return to work.

Mystery Billionaire Members Of "Stop Trump" Campaign Revealed

Earlier this month in “GOP Leaders, Tech Execs Plot Against Trump At Secret NeoCon Island Meeting,” we discussed the American Enterprise Institute’s annual World Forum, a secretive event held on Sea Island, Georgia. At this year’s gathering the main topic, according to Huff Post, was “how to stop Trump.” Thanks to FEC filings out Sunday we discover still more evidence that conspiracies to stop The Donald are proliferating.

Misplaced Confidence In The ECB - Lessons From John Law's Mississippi Bubble

 

Everyone in the Eurozone believes that the ECB is all-powerful, because to believe otherwise is unthinkable. This was also true of Banque Royale, until it faltered. It was not a loss of confidence in the bank that was responsible for the collapse, it happened as a result of the difficulties encountered in sustaining the bubble. The lesson is that it need not take a loss of confidence in the ECB to start its destruction.