This time really is different, jokes Grant Williams, as it appears the New Cold War is, suggested by the chart below, apparently not even remotely troubling. In fact, gold is trading below where it was when the Russians first dipped their toes in Ukraine to test the water. Curious, opines Williams, but when it comes to gold, there are the thinkers; there are the traders, like the millions day-trading GLD for a penny here and there; and then there are the holders. The question for all of them is the same: why? The last time the world faced a meaningful threat of a large-scale conflict between East and West, the gold price soared. This time it hasn’t moved. Why?
Why So Much Anger In Ferguson? 10 Facts About The Massive Economic Gap Between White & Black AmericaSubmitted by Tyler Durden on 08/19/2014 - 21:48
When people feel like they don't have anything else to lose, they are likely to do just about anything. Many in the mainstream media seem absolutely mystified as to why there is so much anger in Ferguson, but as I pointed out yesterday, all of this anger did not erupt out of a vacuum. Economic conditions in Ferguson, and for African-Americans as a whole, have been deteriorating for years. Sadly, many white Americans are totally oblivious to any of this.
The constant chant from Washington over the past few years has been one of falling just short of labeling China "a currency manipulator" and proclaiming unilaterally that the Yuan is being artificially maintained at a lower level than it should be. However, as Bloomberg Briefs' Fielding Chen notes, based on a trade-weighted basket, China's currency is actually 20% over-valued. Having stayed close in value to this basket until 2007, China's policy since has been a stronger-than-market currency, but as the world increasingly de-dollarizes, and the Yuan gains more global prominence, the following chart suggests the direction of the next trend in China's currency.
The arrogance, hubris and contempt for morality displayed by the ruling class is breathtaking to behold. They think they are untouchable and impervious to norms followed by the rest of society. They may have won the opening battle, but will lose the war. Discontent among the masses grows by the day. The critical thinking citizens are growing restless and angry. They are beginning to grasp the true enemy. The system has been captured by a few malevolent men. When the stock, bond and housing bubbles all implode simultaneously, all hell will break loose in this country. It will make Ferguson, Missouri look like a walk in the park.
With events in Ferguson deteriorating from day to day, despite the arrival of the Missouri National Guard, some have asked what further escalation steps are possible. The answer is not pleasant.
Ferguson Tonight: Tensions Boil Over Again, "Ferguson Ain't America No More, You Can't Even Walk" - Live FeedSubmitted by Tyler Durden on 08/19/2014 - 20:41
UPDATE: Shots Fired. Protesters throwing projectiles. Protesters forming line in front of Police. Police responding..."Get that camera out of my fucking face." -- officer who pointed gun at protestors. Protesters maced, Reporters cordoned off.
UPDATE: Tactical teams have moved in to move protesters along. Community leaders are trying to calm both sides.
Following the death of another young black male in St.Louis, tonight has all the possibility of being another one of violence in Ferguson, Missouri. Missouri Governor Jay Nixon commented, the Mike Brown shooting has "ripped open old wounds," and calls for "vigorous" prosecution.
Any day, week, month, year now... Japan's adjusted trade balance missed expectations by the most since October 2013 (back over a JPY1 trillion deficit) as the QQE-ing, j-curve-any-minute-now nation awaits the arrival of the competitive pickup for the 40th month in a row. Exports beat expectations (which we are sure will be the headline crowed about by all) but imports surged by 2.3% (against expectations of a 1.5% drop). It appears you single-handedly devalue yourself to prosperity in an interconnected world after all - whocouldanode? As we said before, "Monetary debasement does NOT result in an economic recovery, because no nation can force another to pay for its recovery."
The world’s central bankers have given companies the urge to merge. Merger and Acquisition (M&A) activity has already reached $2.2 trillion this year according to Thomson Reuters Deals Intelligence, up 70% from this time a year ago. The deals are big, with eight acquisitions, each over $5 billion, being announced in just a single week in July. However CEO buying sprees do not create new jobs and new products that make our lives better, but are instead just wasteful malinvestments that destroy capital. The cost of capital is integral to making these assumptions. The lower the assumed interest rate or cost of capital, the higher the price for the acquisition that the models will justify. Once interest rates go up, these valuation models will be blown to pieces.
Presented with little comment... because if this doesn't wake people up to the unreality of the stock 'market', nothing will. Hertz has ripped higher 8 days in a row, surging over 18% in that period as analysts and talking heads piled on proclaiming how wonderful it is.. and then:
*HERTZ HAS DECIDED TO WITHDRAW 2014 FINANCIAL GUIDANCE
*HERTZ EXPECTS TO BE WELL BELOW LOW END OF 2014 GUIDANCE
Must be a one-off idiosyncratic issue right?
The FOMC has used experimental tools for so long to keep the accelerator pressed that it fears what happens when the car stops. Therefore, the FOMC believes they have little choice other than to keep the car going forward, which works until it doesn’t. The risk/reward tradeoff continues to skew unfavorably. The farther markets move into the right-tail side of the distribution curve, the deeper they will eventually more into the left-tail. Vrooom...Crash.
"At a time when so much may seem uncertain, the people of Ferguson can have confidence that the Justice Department intends to learn - in a fair and thorough manner - exactly what happened... In order to begin the healing process, however, we must first see an end to the acts of violence in the streets of Ferguson."
The angry mobs have assembled early today, with KTVI reporting that moments ago the Justice Center in Clayton, MO has been put on lockdown. The reason: a flash mob has just appeared outside. We understand their anger, but what we don't get is why don't they just buy stocks instead: wouldn't the protesters rather be wealthy than furious and screaming? Plus, it's not as if there is any risk in buying stocks.
Nobody really believes the official narrative that the "recovery" is powering the remarkable strength of U.S. stocks, bonds and real estate. The real Main Street economy is quite obviously struggling, outside the energy and Federal government sectors, and so many see the Federal Reserve's free money for financiers (a.k.a. quantitative easing) bond and mortgage-buying programs as the real reason bond yields have declined and stocks have soared. This leads us to wonder if capital inflows into the U.S. aren't a largely overlooked driver of rising U.S. markets.