Bruce Krasting's blog

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On Banning CDS





Those that want to ban CDS don't understand how the world works. They certainly don't get the fact that the US mortgage market is one gigantic CDS mess.

 
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Social Security Trust Fund 1st Q 2010 Results - Still Slipping





1st Q for the SSTF is like all of last year. Bad news.

 
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Barney Eats Seconds - Or Blows Smoke - Or Both





It's dump on Barney day. He deserves it.

 
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Barney Makes Hash





Our pal Barney Frank puts his foot in his mouth, again.

 
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Some Thoughts on Fannie's Horrible Year





What do you do to follow up a massive $75 billion dollar loss? Work hard and see if you can break a $100b this year. Should be a piece of cake for our boys at Fannie.

 
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What's Up With HUD's REO Sales?





I found a funny connection between the sellers of REO for HUD and the FDIC. Surprised? Nah!

 
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Arnold and Ed – Good Plan/Bad Plan





Some big governors on TV. What do they propose? Spend an additional $350b a year, that we don't happen to have. When will the bond market say no to all of this? Sooner than Ed and Arnie know.

 
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Toyota – The Japanese Perspective





A silly story in a Japanese paper. Based on this you would have to conclude that our biggest creditor doesn't think too much of us.

 
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A "Tell" on the NFP Numbers??





A statistics problem. One I would love to solve. Me and a few thousand other people. A big payoff if you do solve it. The question is, has some already figured this out?

 
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Goldman on the Yuan - What Do They Know?





When big shots at Goldman start talking I listen. I was surprised at what they said today

 
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Mankiw on Goldilocks Debt - Phooey!





Greg Mankiw is talking debt again. He tries to say that the Obama budget is over the top. But he defends a "just right" policy of perpetual deficits. The markets are not going to let that fly. Not in 2010. Greg also blows smoke in our direction about how "good" things were when he was running the show.

 
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Solvency and Liquidity - Two Different Numbers





What's a difference of a Trillion dollars in Spain's reported External Debt mean? It changes the debate from solvency to liquidity. An important difference.

 
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A Uruguay - Greece Story





A story of some folks who stumbled and why. This story could be Greece or Spain in a year or two.

 
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Hank's Book - My Take





I take issue with some of Hank Paulson's tell all book "On The Brink". I don't think he told all the story. Parts of the story he told do not jibe with the facts. It was still an interesting book.

 
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FX Intervention an Option? - Maybe





The market action today makes me wonder if FX intervention is in the cards. A long shot that might happen.

 
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