Blackrock's chief multi-asset strategist summed up tomorrow's anxiously awaited ECB meeting best by noting that "what’s priced into markets is a fully fledged extension of the [bond-buying] program," but warns that, thanks to a muted reaction to the Italy vote and recent encouraging data, "there’s a significant chance the ECB disappoints markets." As bond traders bet on a six-month QE extension, Citi warns, anything less will be seen as hawkish and send EUR surging.
Interest rates on U.S. fixed-rate mortgages rose to their highest levels in more than two years, sending weekly home loan application activity to its weakest since early January according to the MBA and the braoder US housing market reeling.
Moody's has cut Italy's long-term senior unsecuredd government debt rating outlook from 'stable' to 'negative', leaving it at Baa2 for now. Citing "slow and halting progress" on economic and fiscal reform in Italy, noting that reduction in Italy’s large debt burden will be further postponed given subdued medium-term growth prospects, recent fiscal slippage.
"After a year in which reality has managed to surpass even seemingly unlikely calls, 2017 may be a wakeup call which sees a real departure from the 'business as usual'..." Will this be the year when China exceeds growth expectations, Brexit turns into Bremain, the Mexican peso soars and Italian banks turn out to the best performing equity asset class?
Global stocks extended the longest winning streak since September, with Asia up 0.8% and Europe rising 0.7% while bonds and credit markets strengthened amid hopes that the European Central Bank will prolong quantitative easing, while optimism an Italian bailout of Monte Paschi will prevent European bank contagion, has pushed European financial stocks higher. US equity futures were little changed.
Having exposed the "current global establishment’s (including Trump’s) overall plan" consisting of 8 simple steps to solve the global debt crisis,Bill Gross then goes on to say that "it pays to not fight the tiger until it becomes obvious that another plan will by necessity replace it."
"This has been a momentum-driven market rather than one driven by well-reasoned fundamental analysis... It’s amazing what pseudo-intellectual havoc can be caused by a couple hundred points bounce in the markets..."
So long as inflation remains within those bounds the Beijing Boys can stuff bad loans made to steel mills into the Great Wall Asset Management company, which is financed through a bond, bought by some bank, guaranteed by the government.
Donald Trump sold all of his shares in companies in June, according to a Trump spokesman, a move that would have raised substantial cash ahead of the presidential election and could ease concerns about potential conflicts of interest.